New York Red Bulls vs Saint-Louis Prediction 30 September 2026
🔉 This MLS meeting between New York Red Bulls and St. Louis City looks set to feature a notable contrast in current form. The visitors are on a strong run - unbeaten in their last ten matches - while the hosts have lost five of their last ten. The difference in attacking output over that period is also significant: New York Red Bulls have averaged nearly three times fewer goals scored than their opponents. In that context, the main focus falls on the visitors' ability to convert chances consistently, and on the hosts' tendency to manage very little in attack.
Head-to-Head
📊 Officially, New York Red Bulls and St. Louis City have met only once. That match took place 10 February 2024 at New York Red Bulls' ground and ended 2-2.
Head-to-head statistics New York Red Bulls - Saint-Louis
NY Red Bulls Team Overview
New York Red Bulls are having serious problems in attack. Over their last ten matches, the side have scored just eight goals - an average of 0.8 per game. Even with a couple of wins in their last five, their scoring output has remained low: they have managed more than one goal only once in that period. The defence has not looked reliable either - they have been conceding an average of 1.3 per game in recent matches, with their seasonal figure even higher at 1.85 goals conceded per game. The trend points to a prolonged run of modest attacking numbers: they have now gone eight consecutive official matches without scoring two or more goals.
Match Results: NY Red Bulls
Saint-Louis City Team Overview
St Louis City are in strong form and showing a high level of attacking output - they have scored two or more goals in seven consecutive matches, which is also reflected in their overall scoring rate this season (1.73 per game on average). In their last ten matches, the visitors have found the net 25 times (2.5 goals per game) while conceding at a similar rate to their opponents (1.3). That balance allows them to approach even defensively difficult opponents with confidence, and a run of six wins and four draws underlines the consistency of their results.
Match Results: Saint-Louis City
Match Result Prediction
St. Louis City are unbeaten in 18 consecutive matches, which represents a very consistent trend. Away from home, the side have recorded 4 wins and 5 draws this season against 4 defeats, while New York Red Bulls have won only 4 of their 12 home matches. Given the visitors' extended unbeaten run and the hosts' less convincing home record, the Double Chance - St. Louis City at 1.34* looks a reasonable selection.
Total Goals Prediction
In their last 7 matches, St. Louis City have consistently gone over 2.5 goals, which confirms the current scoring trend. Over the season, St. Louis City average 1.73 goals scored per match, while New York Red Bulls concede 1.85 per game. Across their last 10 matches, St. Louis City also show a high scoring rate - 2.5 goals on average. This gives reason to expect at least three goals in the match. The pick is Total Goals - Over 2.5 at odds of 1.37*.
Corners Prediction
In their last 5 matches, New York Red Bulls have consistently gone over 9.5 corners, pointing to a stable trend in that market. The price on Total Corners - Over 9.5 is 1.83*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
St. Louis City have both scored and conceded in nine consecutive matches, which supports the case for a Both Teams to Score bet. On average this season, St. Louis City score 1.73 and concede 1.38 goals per match, while New York Red Bulls score 1.5 and concede 1.92 at home. These figures point to a high likelihood of both sides finding the net. The odds on Both Teams to Score - Yes are 1.41*.
Reliable Bet
Total Goals - Under 4.5 has come in in eight consecutive New York Red Bulls matches, confirming a consistent low-scoring trend at the highest permissible total. Given the average scoring output of both sides, five or more goals seems unlikely. The Total Goals - Under 4.5 looks reliable at odds of 1.28*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (10.27%), 1-2 (8.6%) and 2-1 (6.98%). The first option carries the highest probability of the three. All three outcomes are fairly close in terms of likelihood, which suggests the match could be a closely contested affair.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
All the key indicators point to a significant advantage for St. Louis City in terms of finishing: the trend towards their team total going over 1.5 is supported by a strong run of attacking form, an unbeaten record in their last ten matches, and New York Red Bulls' recurring defensive problems this season - conceding close to two goals per game on average. Against that backdrop, the editorial selection is St. Louis City Team Total - Over 1.5, backed by several factors: the consistency of the favourites' attack and the drop in form of the home side's defence. Bet - St. Louis City Team Total - Over 1.5.
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Betting Tips: NY Red Bulls - Saint-Louis City
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in 6 of last 7 away games (MLS).in last 18 games.in last 16 games (MLS).in last 8 away games.in last 7 away games (MLS).
in last 13 home games.in last 11 home games (MLS).in last 18 games.in last 16 games (MLS).in 12 of last 13 away games.in last 7 away games (MLS).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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