New York Red Bulls vs New-York City Prediction 16 May 2026
π The clash between New York Red Bulls and New York City stands out for the stark contrast in their home and away form. Both sides are neck and neck in the standings, sitting 6th and 5th respectively. However, their recent trajectories differ: the hosts have suffered three defeats lately, while the visitors have picked up three wins in their last five outings. The key factor here is New York Cityβs attacking effectiveness on the road - a quality that could well keep the overall scoring in check.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 29 April 2026 and ended in a 3-1 victory. Hereβs a look at the key stats from that clash (New York Red Bulls were the home team):
- Possession: 54% vs 46%;
- Corners: 6 vs 11;
- Fouls: 12 vs 17;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 5 vs 5.
π Analytical review of previous official meetings between New York Red Bulls and New York City:
- A total of 36 matches played;
- The hosts have claimed 17 wins, while the visitors have secured 15 victories, with 4 draws between them;
- Goals scored (home/away): 57 to 48;
- Average goals per match: 2.92.
Head-to-head statistics New York Red Bulls - New-York City
NY Red Bulls Team Overview
The team's most recent official fixture took place on in MLS action, with New York Red Bulls hosting Columbus Crew. The match ended 3-2.
Here are the key stats from the game (New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew):
- Possession: 31% vs 69%;
- Corners: 3 vs 2;
- Fouls: 17 vs 7;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 6 vs 4.
New York Red Bulls are currently going through an inconsistent spell, picking up three defeats and two wins in their last five outings. Over their previous ten matches, the team have split results evenly-four victories, four losses, and two draws. On average, the hosts score 2.1 goals per game during this stretch, but their defense has been even more porous, conceding 2.3 goals per match. This high-scoring trend is reflected in their home fixtures, where the over 2.5 goals market regularly comes through, underlining the Red Bullsβ tendency to play open, attacking football on their own turf. Despite their defensive vulnerabilities, their attacking firepower keeps them competitive-even against sides from the top half of the table.
Match Results: NY Red Bulls
New-York City Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in MLS action, with Charlotte hosting New York City. The game ended 1-0.
Hereβs a breakdown of the key stats (New York City vs Charlotte):
- Possession: 53% vs 47%;
- Corners: 2 vs 8;
- Fouls committed: 19 vs 14;
- Yellow cards: 5 vs 4;
- Shots on target: 1 vs 2.
New York City have looked slightly more composed than their upcoming opponents in recent weeks, picking up three wins and suffering two defeats in their last five outings. Over a longer stretch, they maintain a balanced record: four victories, four losses, and two draws across ten matches. During this span, they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. However, their away form remains a concern-New York City have failed to score more than once in six of their last seven road fixtures, underscoring their heavy reliance on home advantage to unlock their attacking potential.
Match Results: New-York City
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 36;
- home team wins - 17, away team wins - 15, draws - 4.
Statistics: NY Red Bulls vs New-York City
- matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
- wins: 5 vs 5;
- win percentage: 38% vs 38%;
- losses: 5 vs 5;
- draws: 3 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- losses: 4 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
- New-York City won with a +1.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 away games against NY Red Bulls.
- New-York City won with a +1.5 handicap in 14 of last 16 away games (MLS).
- New-York City won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 games.
- New-York City won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.58, the guests - 1.33;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.92;
- both teams scored: overall - 16; at the home team's field - 8.
Statistics: NY Red Bulls vs New-York City
- average total in the tournament: 4 vs 3.15;
- average total goals scored: 1.69 vs 1.77;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.69 vs 0.92;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 0.85;
- NY Red Bulls: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- New-York City: average total away in the tournament - 0.8;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.1 (home - 2.5) vs 1.8 (away - 1.8).
- New-York City have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 away games (MLS).
Prediction on corners
NY Red Bulls: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.31; at home field - 5.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.6; at home field - 4.33.
New-York City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.77, away - 2.8;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.2; away - 4.6.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 36;
- both teams scored all-time - 16 times;
- on the home teamβs field - 8 times.
Statistics: NY Red Bulls vs New-York City
- number of matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 7;
- number of BTTS matches for NY Red Bulls at home - 3 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for New-York City away - 2 (40%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for NY Red Bulls at home - 5 (83%);
- BTTS matches for New-York City away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:2 (16/188, 8.5%);
- NY Red Bulls at home most often finish matches: 0:2 , 0:3 , 1:0 , 3:2 , 4:2 , 4:4 (1/6, 16.7%);
- New-York City away most often play: 0:1 , 1:0 , 1:1 , 1:2 , 2:0 (1/5, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10% (odds 7.5)
2:1 - 7.83% (odds 10)
1:2 - 7.49% (odds 10)
β Editorial Prediction
In this matchup, the spotlight falls on New York Cityβs inconsistent attack away from home. The team have consistently struggled to convert their chances on the road-failing to score more than once in six of their last seven away fixtures. This trend highlights a persistent issue with their attacking output outside their own stadium. Even though their overall form this season has been relatively balanced, itβs the away factor that continues to limit the Cityzensβ offensive potential. Our main prediction here is New York City under 1.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: NY Red Bulls - New-York City
in 22 of last 23 games against New-York City.in last 19 games against New-York City (MLS).in 10 of last 11 home games against New-York City.in last 8 home games against New-York City (MLS).
in 14 of last 16 NY Red Bulls games against New-York City.in 6 of last 7 New-York City away games.in last 5 New-York City games.in 13 of last 14 home games against New-York City.in 9 of last 10 home games against New-York City (MLS).
in 12 of last 14 away games against NY Red Bulls (MLS).in last 7 away games (MLS).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
