Athletic Club vs Sport Rec. Prediction 1 October 2026

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Key points

    🔊 Late in the season, Atlético Club and Sport Recife come into this match with different positions in the table. The hosts are in the lower half, seven points adrift of the play-off places, while the visitors sit closer to mid-table but are also well off the automatic promotion spots. Neither side has been particularly consistent: over their last ten matches, neither team has built a significant advantage in wins. The key contrast in this game is the visitors' output in away fixtures, which stands out against the hosts' average numbers.

    Athletic Club and Sport Recife: Deadlock in Their Most Recent Head-to-Head

    📊 Athletic Club and Sport Recife have met just twice in official matches. Their most recent encounter took place on 11 June 2026 at Sport Recife's ground and ended 1-1.

    Head-to-head statistics Athletic Club - Sport Rec.

    50%
    1 Win
    50%
    1 Draw
    0%
    0 Wins
    Total games
    2
    Total Goals Avg
    3
    Both teams scored
    100%
    2
    Total average
    1
    2.5
    Corner
    8
    2.5
    Yellow cards
    1
    18
    Fouls
    11
    Last matches
    11.06.26
    Serie B
    Recife PE
    Recife PE
    Athletic Club MG
    Athletic Club MG
    -
    -
    8
    2
    4
    13
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    8
    2
    4
    13
    1
    2
    18.03.26
    Copa Brasil
    Recife PE
    Recife PE
    Athletic Club MG
    Athletic Club MG
    -
    -
    8
    3
    18
    23
    1
    3
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    2
    -
    -
    8
    3
    18
    23
    1
    3
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Athletic Club: no clear winning streak

    Athletic Club have had an inconsistent season and are no longer in realistic contention for the play-offs. In their last five matches they have won two, drawn two and lost one, which points to an absence of any clear positive run. Over their last ten matches the record is balanced: four wins, four defeats and two draws. Their average home scoring rate is around 1.2 goals per game, with 1.1 conceded, though in recent matches the defence has been slightly more exposed - an average of 1.5 goals conceded over their last ten games. Motivation from a league-table perspective is low, as the gap to the play-off places is sizeable at this stage of the season.

    Match Results: Athletic Club MG

    Last matches
    27.09.26
    Serie B
    Fortaleza
    Fortaleza
    Athletic Club MG
    Athletic Club MG
    -
    -
    5
    1
    15
    16
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    1
    15
    16
    0
    0
    D
    19.09.26
    Serie B
    Athletic Club MG
    Athletic Club MG
    Botafogo San Paulo
    Botafogo San Paulo
    -
    -
    2
    5
    15
    20
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    5
    15
    20
    2
    3
    D
    13.09.26
    Serie B
    Juventude
    Juventude
    Athletic Club MG
    Athletic Club MG
    -
    -
    3
    3
    18
    13
    3
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    18
    13
    3
    2
    W
    08.09.26
    Serie B
    Cuiaba Esporte Clube
    Cuiaba Esporte Clube
    Athletic Club MG
    Athletic Club MG
    -
    -
    2
    6
    13
    8
    1
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    2
    6
    13
    8
    1
    0
    L
    04.09.26
    Serie B
    Athletic Club MG
    Athletic Club MG
    Vila Nova
    Vila Nova
    1
    -
    -
    2
    2
    10
    6
    3
    2
    5
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    2
    2
    10
    6
    3
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Sport Recife: Away Matches Yield More Goals

    Sport Recife's away matches have been notably open: five consecutive away games have finished with over 2.5 goals, and the team have scored and conceded in every single one of them - a trend that holds throughout the current season. Their form has been inconsistent: three defeats and two wins in their last five matches, and an even record over ten matches with five wins and five losses. Their season averages stand at 1.33 goals scored and just over one conceded per game, but their away fixtures have been considerably more high-scoring of late.

    Match Results: Recife PE

    Last matches
    26.09.26
    Serie B
    Nautico PE
    Nautico PE
    Recife PE
    Recife PE
    -
    -
    11
    9
    15
    7
    1
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    11
    9
    15
    7
    1
    1
    L
    19.09.26
    Serie B
    Recife PE
    Recife PE
    Juventude
    Juventude
    -
    -
    2
    3
    19
    14
    2
    4
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    3
    19
    14
    2
    4
    W
    16.09.26
    Serie B
    Brasil
    Brasil
    Recife PE
    Recife PE
    -
    -
    5
    3
    8
    7
    4
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    3
    8
    7
    4
    2
    L
    11.09.26
    Serie B
    Recife PE
    Recife PE
    Ponte Preta
    Ponte Preta
    -
    -
    7
    3
    18
    13
    2
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    3
    18
    13
    2
    2
    W
    05.09.26
    Serie B
    Ceara
    Ceara
    Recife PE
    Recife PE
    -
    -
    9
    9
    16
    7
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    9
    9
    16
    7
    2
    0
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Match Result Prediction

    Sport Recife have lost five consecutive away matches and have gone without a win on the road in 9 of their last 10 away fixtures. Athletic Club, meanwhile, rarely lose at home - just four defeats all season against six wins and five draws. These figures make the Athletic Club (0) Handicap a reasonable selection at odds of 1.84*.

    Total Goals Prediction

    Athletic Club's last 12 matches have all gone over 1.5 goals. The teams' scoring averages also support this line: Athletic Club are averaging 1.2 goals per game this season and 1.7 over their last 10 matches, while Sport Recife average 1.33 per game this season. Both clubs score and concede with reasonable regularity. We're backing Total Goals - Over 1.5 at 1.36*.

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Sport Recife have scored and conceded in each of their last five away matches, with both teams finding the net in every one of those games. Athletic Club are also a consistent scoring threat at home (averaging 1.2 per game this season, 1.8 over their last 10 home matches), and their defence is not without its weaknesses (0.93 conceded at home per game this season, 1.4 over their last 10 home matches). We're backing Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.83*.

    Reliable Bet

    Sport Recife have scored in each of their last 14 matches in a row, which represents a consistent trend. Even away from home, their scoring record is backed up by the relevant statistical indicators. The bet on Sport Recife to Score is priced at 1.36*.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely outcomes are: 0-1 (12.58%), 1-0 (12.37%) and 1-1 (11.75%). A narrow away win has the highest probability, though the difference between these options is minimal, which points to a fairly even contest.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    Sport Recife's away statistics point to a tendency for open, end-to-end football - the team regularly both score and concede on the road, with five consecutive away matches in which both teams have scored. Athletic Club's recent form suggests at least one goal at either end, given the hosts' moderate attacking output and defensive vulnerability in recent rounds. Both clubs have already lost any realistic chance of challenging for the top positions, so the pressure to get a result is low - that could lead to more chances at both ends without either side prioritising caution. The main prediction is Both Teams to Score - Yes.
    Both Teams to Score – (Yes)
    Odds-120
    Published: 29/09/2026, 11:36
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Football expert
    191
    18
    140
    349 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Athletic Club MG - Recife PE

    Recife PE have lost:
    sport-recife-pe-2in last 5 away games (Serie B).
    Athletic Club MG to Win
    Everygame
    +165
    Recife PE have not won:
    sport-recife-pe-2in 9 of last 10 away games (Serie B).
    Athletic Club MG will not lose
    Everygame
    -217
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    athletic-club-mgin 23 of last 25 Athletic Club MG home games.
    athletic-club-mgin 17 of last 19 Athletic Club MG home games (Serie B).
    sport-recife-pe-2in 11 of last 12 Recife PE games (Serie B).
    sport-recife-pe-2in 10 of last 11 Recife PE away games (Serie B).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    -400
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    athletic-club-mgin last 12 Athletic Club MG games (Serie B).
    athletic-club-mgin last 6 Athletic Club MG home games (Serie B).
    sport-recife-pe-2in last 9 Recife PE games (Serie B).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -278
    View more facts

    Athletic Club - Sport Rec. Table position

    Brasileiro Serie B 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    8.
    Operario
    Operario
    30139843-3848
    9.
    Recife PE
    Recife PE
    301111840-3244
    10.
    Cuiaba Esporte Clube
    Cuiaba Esporte Clube
    301013730-2543
    12.
    Sao Bernardo
    Sao Bernardo
    301191040-3142
    13.
    Athletic Club MG
    Athletic Club MG
    301012836-3342
    14.
    Nautico PE
    Nautico PE
    301181138-3741

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 0
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 17
    Conceded - 15
    +2
    +2
    15 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    5
    2
    Draws
    0
    4
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    17
    Scored
    15
    15
    Conceded
    13
    3.2
    Match goals average
    2.8
    1.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.5
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    5
    Both teams scored
    7
    53'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    60'
    View all stats