Bahia Ba vs Fluminense Prediction
🔊 Bahia are set to host Fluminense in the first leg of the Copa do Brasil quarter-finals. The hosts enter the match in strong form, having gone unbeaten in their last 8 matches and consistently performing well in the league, where they occupy a top spot in the standings. The visitors were on a seven-match unbeaten run across all competitions but suffered a defeat in their previous Serie A fixture. Bahia traditionally play solidly at home, while Fluminense are known for their effective attacking play. This clash promises to be intense, where the slightest mistake could prove decisive and every opportunity will be invaluable.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 10 August 2025 and ended in a 3-3 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (with Bahia as the home team):
- possession: 60% vs 40%;
- corners: 8 vs 2;
- fouls: 17 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 5.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Bahia and Fluminense:
- 26 matches played;
- home wins: 7, away wins: 11, draws: 8;
- goals scored: 28 for Bahia, 34 for Fluminense;
- average goals in the first half: 1.19, in the second half: 1.19;
- average total goals per match: 2.38.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Bahia Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in Serie A - Matchday 21 (home team - Bahia, away team - Santos). The game concluded with a 2-0 victory.
Here's the match statistics (Bahia vs Santos):
- possession percentage: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 0;
- fouls: 12 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
🏆 Bahia have advanced to the quarter-finals of the Copa do Brasil, overcoming Retro with a 3-2 aggregate victory-winning 3-2 at home and drawing 0-0 away-despite a tense first leg. In the semi-finals of the Copa do Nordeste, Bahia defeated Ceará (1-0) to secure a spot in the tournament final, where they will face a Serie C side, Confiança.
⚪ In the Brazilian Championship, the team are showing strong performances. In their last three rounds, Bahia drew with Fluminense (3-3), defeated Corinthians (2-1), and claimed a victory over Santos (2-0). Currently sitting fourth in the Serie A standings, they continue to push for top positions. Heading into the upcoming Copa do Brasil quarter-final match, the 'Tricolor' are in confident form and positive spirits, remaining unbeaten in eight matches (five wins and three draws).
Match Results: Bahia
Fluminense Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in Serie A - Round 21 (home team: Bragantino, away team: Fluminense). The match concluded with a score of 4-2.
Here are the match statistics (Fluminense vs Bragantino):
- possession: 64% vs 36%;
- corners: 11 vs 2;
- fouls: 9 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 7 vs 5.
🏆 Fluminense confidently advanced to the quarter-finals of the Copa do Brasil, defeating Internacional with an aggregate score of 2-1 away and 1-1 at home. In the Copa Sudamericana, they also impressed, overcoming Colombian side América de Cali with a total score of 4-1: winning 2-1 away and 2-0 at home.
🔴 Fluminense have been in good form, going seven matches unbeaten. This streak includes victories over Grêmio (1-0) and Fortaleza (2-1) in the league, as well as a draw with Bahia (3-3). However, in their last outing, they fell to Bragantino on the road (2-4). Currently sitting in 9th place in the Serie A standings, Fluminense are still in the hunt for the top spots. Despite their recent defeat, "Flu" are in good shape and ready to compete for a place in the semi-finals.
Match Results: Fluminense
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 26;
- Home wins - 7, Away wins - 11, Draws - 8.
- Fluminense cover the +1.5 spread in 10 of their last 11 meetings against this opponent.
- Fluminense cover the +1.5 spread in 7 of their last 8 matches.
- Fluminense cover the +1.5 spread in 6 consecutive games (Copa do Brasil).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- The home team averages 1.08 goals, the visitors 1.31;
- Average total goals in these encounters - 2.38;
- Both teams have scored: overall - 12 times; at the home team's ground - 7 times.
Statistics: Bahia vs Fluminense
- Tournament average total: 2.5 vs 3.67;
- Average goals scored: 2 vs 3;
- First-half average total: 1.5 vs 1.5;
- Second-half average total: 0.5 vs 1.5;
- Bahia: home tournament average total - 3.5;
- Fluminense: away tournament average total - 4;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 2.4) vs 1.7 (away - 2).
- Over 1.5 goals have been scored in 9 of Fluminense's last 10 matches.
Corners Prediction
Bahia: Statistics
- Season: tournament average total - 7.25; at home - 6;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.7; at home - 4.8.
Fluminense: Statistics
- Season: tournament average total - 7.33, away - 7;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4; away - 4.
- Fluminense take fewer than 4.5 corners away in 8 consecutive head-to-head games.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.3 (1.65 for the home side and 1.65 for the visitors);
- Average yellow cards at the home ground - 3.69 (1.77 for the home side and 1.92 for the visitors).
Bahia: Statistics
- Season: tournament average total - 1.75; at home - 1.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.2; at home - 2.
Fluminense: Statistics
- Season: tournament average total - 1.67, away - 1.25;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2; away - 2.4.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 26;
- Both teams have scored overall - 12 times;
- At the home team's ground - 7 times.
- Fluminense score and concede in their last 5 away matches.
Editor's Prediction
The hosts enter the match in solid form, unbeaten in their last eight games, showing consistency in both the Copa do Brasil and Serie A. The visitors have also been performing well in the Copa do Brasil and South America, but in their last league outing, "Flu" fell to Bragantino, highlighting a slight vulnerability in away matches. The head-to-head history suggests a level playing field, but Bahia traditionally perform reliably at home. Considering their recent high-scoring match in the league, our prediction is: over 2 goals total.
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Betting Tips: Bahia - Fluminense
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