Bahia Ba vs Fluminense Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 On August 10th, at "Fonte Nova", two teams with distinct ambitions and forms will clash. Bahia are confidently holding their spot in the Copa Libertadores zone, remaining unbeaten at home and increasingly eyeing the top of the table. Their game is solid, their defense stable, and doubts about their presence in the upper echelons are fading. Fluminense, on the other hand, are experiencing a rollercoaster ride: their away performances are unconvincing, they concede frequently, and often seem like a team that has lost its balance. This away match is crucial for "Flu"-not just for points but to regroup and stay in contention for an international spot. The match promises to be tactical and intense-with the hosts having the edge, yet maintaining the intrigue that Brazilian Serie A is known to deliver until the final whistle.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official clash between these teams took place on 04 August 2024 and ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Fluminense were the home side):

    • possession: 49% vs 51%;
    • corners: 3 vs 3;
    • fouls: 12 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 3.

    📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Bahia and Fluminense:

    • 25 matches played;
    • home victories - 7, away victories - 11, draws - 7;
    • goals scored - 25 by home side, 31 by visitors;
    • average goals in the first half - 1.12, in the second half - 1.12;
    • average total goals per match - 2.24.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    27%
    8 Wins
    30%
    9 Draws
    43%
    13 Wins
    Total games
    30
    Total Goals Avg
    2.3
    Both teams scored
    43%
    1
    Total average
    1.3
    1.73
    Yellow cards
    1.73
    Last matches
    05.02.26
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    1
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    1.65
    1.55
    6
    4
    12
    13
    0
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.65
    1.55
    6
    4
    12
    13
    0
    3
    07.12.25
    Serie A
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    Bahia
    Bahia
    0.89
    0.54
    5
    4
    12
    22
    2
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0.89
    0.54
    5
    4
    12
    22
    2
    3
    10.09.25
    Copa Brasil
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    Bahia
    Bahia
    1.3
    0.11
    2
    3
    16
    17
    2
    5
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1.3
    0.11
    2
    3
    16
    17
    2
    5
    28.08.25
    Copa Brasil
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    0.86
    1.01
    7
    8
    9
    18
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.86
    1.01
    7
    8
    9
    18
    1
    1
    10.08.25
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    1
    1.41
    0.57
    8
    2
    17
    13
    2
    2
    3
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1.41
    0.57
    8
    2
    17
    13
    2
    2
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    Bahia Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on during the Round of 16 of the Copa do Brasil, where the home team was Retro Brasil and the visitors were Bahia. The match ended in a 0-0 draw.

    Here are the match statistics (Bahia vs Retro Brasil):

    • possession: 67% vs 33%;
    • corner kicks: 11 vs 4;
    • fouls: 8 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 2.

    ⚪ In their latest fixture, Bahia played to a goalless draw against Sport Recife (0-0). The team showcased a solid defense but struggled to create chances in the attacking third. Despite this, Bahia confidently hold the fourth spot in the standings and continue their push for a Copa Libertadores berth.

    🔵 The upcoming match against Fluminense carries significant importance. A victory would solidify their position in the upper echelons of the table and boost their confidence. However, a loss or another lackluster performance would increase the pressure on the team, with fans demanding more from the attack. For Bahia, finding a balance between a sturdy defense and an effective offense is crucial to strengthening their standing.

    Match Results: Bahia

    Last matches
    30.05.26
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    1
    2.16
    1.04
    10
    4
    14
    16
    4
    5
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    2.16
    1.04
    10
    4
    14
    16
    4
    5
    W
    25.05.26
    Serie A
    Coritiba FC PR
    Coritiba FC PR
    Bahia
    Bahia
    1.28
    1.21
    3
    6
    11
    17
    0
    3
    3
    2
    0
    1
    3
    1
    1.28
    1.21
    3
    6
    11
    17
    0
    3
    L
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Gremio
    Gremio
    1.75
    0.18
    7
    3
    18
    14
    4
    5
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.75
    0.18
    7
    3
    18
    14
    4
    5
    D
    14.05.26
    Copa Brasil
    Remo Belem
    Remo Belem
    Bahia
    Bahia
    -
    -
    7
    8
    12
    12
    2
    4
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    8
    12
    12
    2
    4
    L
    10.05.26
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    1.16
    1.77
    6
    8
    14
    16
    3
    4
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1.16
    1.77
    6
    8
    14
    16
    3
    4
    L
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    Fluminense Team Overview

    The visitors played their last official match on in the Round of 16 of the Copa do Brasil (Fluminense hosted Internacional). The game ended in a 1-1 draw.

    Here are the match statistics (Fluminense vs Internacional):

    • possession: 36% vs 64%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
    • fouls: 16 vs 18;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 5;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 2.

    🔴 In their latest fixture, Fluminense secured a crucial victory over Grêmio with a 1-0 win. This result provided a breath of fresh air following a streak of setbacks, with four consecutive losses after the Club World Cup. However, the team still sits only in 9th place, far from the Copa Libertadores spots.

    🟢 Against Bahia, "Flu" need a win to keep pace with their rivals and climb higher in the standings. Otherwise, they risk languishing in mid-table, where motivation and consistency are hard to come by. For Fluminense, the upcoming match is an opportunity to make a statement and turn their season around.

    Match Results: Fluminense

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Serie A
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    1.06
    0.26
    5
    4
    5
    9
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.06
    0.26
    5
    4
    5
    9
    2
    2
    D
    28.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    Deportivo La Guaira
    Deportivo La Guaira
    1.5
    0.79
    2
    1
    11
    7
    0
    0
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1.5
    0.79
    2
    1
    11
    7
    0
    0
    W
    23.05.26
    Serie A
    Mirassol
    Mirassol
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    0.55
    0.7
    4
    5
    12
    14
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.55
    0.7
    4
    5
    12
    14
    2
    3
    L
    19.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    Club Bolivar
    Club Bolivar
    2.66
    0.35
    5
    1
    14
    9
    5
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    2.66
    0.35
    5
    1
    14
    9
    5
    2
    W
    16.05.26
    Serie A
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    1.25
    1.02
    3
    5
    13
    9
    3
    4
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    1.25
    1.02
    3
    5
    13
    9
    3
    4
    W
    Empty
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 25;
    • Home wins - 7, Away wins - 11, Draws - 7.

    Statistics: Bahia vs Fluminense

    • Matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
    • Victories: 8 vs 7;
    • Win percentage: 50% vs 44%;
    • Losses: 3 vs 7;
    • Draws: 5 vs 2.

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Wins: 5 vs 4;
    • Losses: 1 vs 5;
    • Draws: 4 vs 1.
    Trends
    • Bahia have won at home in 8 of their last 9 matches.
    • Bahia are on a 6-match home winning streak (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Bahia Win(odds: 1.69)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Today's home team averages - 1, away team - 1.24;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.24;
    • Both teams have scored: overall - 11 times; at the home team's ground - 6 times.

    Statistics: Bahia vs Fluminense

    • Average total in the tournament: 2.06 vs 2.38;
    • Average goals scored: 1.25 vs 1.13;
    • Average first-half total: 0.5 vs 0.38;
    • Average second-half total: 0.75 vs 0.75;
    • Bahia: average home total in the tournament - 1.63;
    • Fluminense: average away total in the tournament - 1;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 2) vs 1 (away - 1.25).
    Trends
    • Total over 1.5 goals has hit in 7 of Fluminense's last 8 away matches (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (1.5)(odds: 1.38)

    Corners Prediction

    Bahia: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 4.5; at home - 3.88;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 4.2; at home - 3.8.

    Fluminense: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 4.56, away - 3;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 4; away - 2.25.
    Trends
    • Fluminense have delivered fewer than 4.5 corners away in their last 7 head-to-head matches against Bahia (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Fluminense Total Under (4.5)(odds: 1.55)

    Cards Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches

    • Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.28 (1.64 for the home team and 1.64 for the away team);
    • Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 3.67 (1.75 for the home team and 1.92 for the away team).

    Bahia: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 2.19; at home - 2.25;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 1.8; at home - 1.6.

    Fluminense: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 1.75, away - 2.13;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2.4; away - 3.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (4.5)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 25;
    • Both teams have scored overall - 11 times;
    • At the home team's ground - 6 times.

    Statistics: Bahia vs Fluminense

    • Total matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
    • Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 8;
    • BTTS for Bahia at home - 5 (63%);
    • BTTS for Fluminense away - 3 (38%).

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Total BTTS matches: 4 vs 5;
    • BTTS for Bahia at home - 3 (60%);
    • BTTS for Fluminense away - 2 (50%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.63)

    Editorial Prediction

    Both teams enter this match with different mindsets: Bahia are confidently holding their spot in the Copa Libertadores zone, showcasing solid performances at home, while Fluminense, despite a recent win, are still hovering in the middle of the table and struggling on the road.

    The head-to-head history of the last three home encounters against Fluminense favors Bahia, who have triumphed three times with a combined score of 5-1 at their stadium. Considering the home side's consistency and the visitors' inconsistency, we anticipate a controlled and fairly cautious match. Our final bet: Bahia win. This reflects the cautious playing style and home strength of the "Tricolor," as well as Fluminense's sluggishness away from home.

    Our choice
    Bahia Win at odds of -145*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (8 August 2025, 20:08)

    Betting Tips: Bahia - Fluminense

    Bahia have won
    ec-bahia-bain 8 of last 9 home games.
    ec-bahia-bain last 6 home games (Serie A).
    Bahia Win
    Bovada
    -154
    Bahia have not lost
    ec-bahia-bain 18 of last 19 home games.
    ec-bahia-bain 10 of last 11 games.
    ec-bahia-bain last 8 home games (Serie A).
    ec-bahia-bain last 6 games (Serie A).
    Bahia will not lose
    Everygame
    -714
    Bahia have scored
    ec-bahia-bain 23 of last 24 home games.
    ec-bahia-bain last 8 home games (Serie A).
    Fluminense have conceded
    fluminense-rj-1in 8 of last 9 games.
    Bahia will score goal
    Everygame
    -556
    Bahia have scored under 2.5 goals
    ec-bahia-bafluminense-rj-1in 19 of last 20 games against Fluminense (Serie A).
    ec-bahia-bafluminense-rj-1in 9 of last 10 home games against Fluminense (Serie A).
    ec-bahia-bain 14 of last 16 games (Serie A).
    ec-bahia-bain 7 of last 8 home games (Serie A).
    Bahia Total goals Under (2.5)
    Everygame
    -455
    View more facts

    Bahia Ba - Fluminense Table position

    Brasileiro Serie A 2025
    gWDLGDPForm
    4.
    Mirassol
    Mirassol
    381813763-3967
    5.
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    381971250-3964
    6.
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    381712958-3863
    7.
    Bahia
    Bahia
    381791250-4660
    8.
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    381491543-4751

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 19
    -5
    0
    13 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    4
    3
    Draws
    3
    5
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    13
    19
    Conceded
    13
    3.3
    Match goals average
    2.6
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    1.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    9
    Both teams scored
    7
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats