TPS vs Jaro Prediction 27 June 2026
✨ The upcoming Matchday 13 clash in the Finnish league between TPS Turku and FF Jaro promises plenty of intrigue, given the current standings. TPS Turku, sitting seventh, are fighting to break into the top six, which adds extra significance to this fixture. The visitors, FF Jaro, languish in 11th place, but despite their struggles, they’ll be eager to spring a surprise. Check out our prediction for this encounter below.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides ended in a 2-2 draw. Here’s a comparative breakdown of the key stats from that fixture (FF Jaro were the home team):
- Possession: 56% vs 44%;
- Corners: 6 vs 5;
- Fouls committed: 19 vs 8;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- Shots on target: 3 vs 6.
📊Statistical head-to-head preview: TPS Turku vs FF Jaro:
- The sides have met 39 times in official competitions;
- The hosts have claimed 19 wins, while the visitors have 11 victories and there have been 9 draws;
- Goals scored: 72 for TPS Turku, 53 for FF Jaro;
- Average goals in the first half: 1.46; in the second half: 1.74;
- Average total goals per match: 3.21.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

TPS Turku Team Overview
Their most recent official fixture came in the Veikkausliiga, with Lahti hosting TPS Turku. The match ended in a goalless 0-0 draw.
Here’s a breakdown of the key statistics (TPS Turku vs Lahti):
- Possession: 45% vs 55%;
- Corners: 2 vs 5;
- Fouls committed: 21 vs 15;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 2.
TPS Turku are showing clear intent to cement their place in the upper half of the table, and their motivation for this round is evident. Despite suffering four defeats in their last five outings, the team have maintained respectable defensive numbers, conceding on average less than a goal per game. However, TPS have struggled to convert chances up front, a recurring issue highlighted in recent matches. Playing at home could prove crucial for TPS in this fixture, as the passionate support from their fans often gives them an extra boost.
Match Results: TPS Turku

Jaro Team Overview
The visitors’ most recent official outing came in the Veikkausliiga, where FF Jaro hosted Gnistan. The match ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here’s a breakdown of the key stats (FF Jaro vs Gnistan):
- Possession: 48% vs 52%;
- Corners: 6 vs 6;
- Fouls committed: 12 vs 15;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
- Shots on target: 5 vs 4.
FF Jaro are enduring a season that can hardly be called successful, as they languish in the bottom half of the table with little hope of climbing higher. The lack of any clear objective in the league has impacted their consistency, a fact reflected in their uninspiring results over the last five matches. Jaro’s defensive line has been a major concern, conceding an average of three goals per game. Their attacking efforts have also left much to be desired, particularly away from home, where they seldom manage to score more than once.
Match Results: Jaro
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 39;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 10; for visitors away - 7; number of draws - 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.46;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.87, while the visitors net 0.59.
First-Half Stats: TPS Turku (home) vs Jaro (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 7;
- wins: 2 (33.33%) vs 1 (14.29%);
- losses: 1 (16.67%) vs 4 (57.14%);
- draws: 3 (50%) vs 2 (28.57%);
- Average goals scored: 0.5 vs 1.29;
- Average goals conceded: 0.17 vs 1.14.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 1 vs 2;
- losses: 3 vs 6;
- draws: 6 vs 2;
- Average first-half total: 0.8 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.5) vs 1.8 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 1.3).
- TPS Turku scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 home games against Jaro (Veikkausliiga).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 39;
- home team wins - 19, away team wins - 11, draws - 9.
Statistics: TPS Turku vs Jaro
- matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 13;
- wins: 4 vs 1;
- win percentage: 33% vs 8%;
- losses: 4 vs 7;
- draws: 4 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 1;
- losses: 5 vs 7;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
- Jaro have lost in last 6 away games.
- Jaro have lost in last 5 away games (Veikkausliiga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.85, the guests - 1.36;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.21;
- both teams scored: overall - 23; at the home team's field - 13.
Statistics: TPS Turku vs Jaro
- average total in the tournament: 1.92 vs 3;
- average total goals scored: 1 vs 0.85;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.33 vs 0.54;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.67 vs 0.31;
- TPS Turku: average total at home in the tournament - 1.33;
- Jaro: average total away in the tournament - 0.29;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 1.5) vs 1.2 (away - 0.67).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 8 TPS Turku home games against Jaro (Veikkausliiga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 39;
- both teams scored all-time - 23 times;
- on the home team’s field - 13 times.
Statistics: TPS Turku vs Jaro
- number of matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 13;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 6;
- number of BTTS matches for TPS Turku at home - 3 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Jaro away - 2 (29%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for TPS Turku at home - 1 (25%);
- BTTS matches for Jaro away - 2 (33%).
- TPS Turku have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games against Jaro (Veikkausliiga).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (15/76, 19.7%);
- TPS Turku at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (2/6, 33.3%);
- Jaro away most often play: 5:0 (2/7, 28.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 11.08% (odds 6.86)
2:0 - 11.04% (odds 7.91)
1:1 - 10.97% (odds 5.95)
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Given the current form and recent stats of both sides, this clash promises to be a high-scoring affair. TPS Turku, despite their attacking struggles, will be pushing for a win and looking to capitalise on home advantage. FF Jaro, on the other hand, have nothing left to lose and could play with more freedom, which should open up additional chances in front of goal. With the visitors’ shaky defence and the hosts’ urgency to make up ground, both teams are likely to find the net. That’s why backing over 2.5 goals looks like a well-founded prediction for this match. A 2-1 scoreline is a real possibility.