KuPS vs Vaasa Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 18 October 2026
🔊 KuPS last won on 19 September, when the reigning Finnish champions beat VPS 2-0 away from home. Since then they have lost three matches in a row across all competitions and dropped out of first place to Inter. On Sunday, VPS come to the champions, and the visitors need the points just as badly - they are in the mix for a European spot. Can KuPS end their losing run by beating the same opponents again?
Head-to-Head
KuPS won the last meeting between the two sides. They beat VPS away from home 2-0 in the Veikkausliiga, scoring both goals before half-time. VPS had 17 shots to KuPS's 7 and won 10 corners to 4, but managed just one shot on target.
KuPS have a clear edge over VPS in their head-to-head record, winning 29 of 51 official meetings to VPS's 11, with 11 draws. The goal difference stands at 90-48 in KuPS's favour.
Head-to-head statistics KuPS - Vaasa
Kuopion Palloseura Team Overview
KuPS lost to Trabzonspor at home in their last Conference League match, going down 4-2. The hosts were 2-0 down at half-time, and both teams registered eight shots on target across the game.
KuPS are at risk of missing out on a third consecutive title. Miika Nuutinen's side first lost at home to Oulu, who sit bottom of the top six, then went down 0-1 to Inter in Turku - two defeats, both by the same scoreline. KuPS are now third on 48 points, four behind the leaders, with five rounds of the season remaining. Their home form has been a particular problem: they have gone without a win in 7 of their last 8 matches at their own ground across all competitions.
There is no time to rest. On Thursday the club lost 2-4 to Turkish side Trabzonspor in the opening round of the Conference League league phase, leaving them just three days to recover before Sunday. Even on the eve of that European match, Nuutinen had warned that over the coming month the team would not be able to field a squad of just 11 or 12 players.
Match Results: Kuopion Palloseura
Vaasa PS Team Overview
VPS won their previous Veikkausliiga home match against Gnistan 1-0. The only goal came before half-time. The shot count was almost level at 11-10, with VPS hitting the target three times and Gnistan four.
VPS kept their European hopes alive on the final matchday. On 8 October, Jussi Nuorela's side conceded six goals without reply against HJK, one of the title contenders. "Today we were poor in everything," the manager admitted. Four days later, VPS beat Gnistan - who sit fourth - 1-0. Nuorela said that a defeat would most likely have made the remaining five matches meaningless. VPS now have 39 points and sit fifth, three behind Gnistan.
The real test for the visitors is only just beginning. Both of VPS's wins in the championship group, against Oulu and Gnistan - their main rivals for fourth place - came at home. "There are still difficult away trips ahead," Nuorela warned, and the next of them is in Kuopio, against KuPS.
Match Results: Vaasa PS
Corner Kick Prediction
VPS have been generous with corners away from home: they have had fewer than four in only one of their last seven league matches. Four corners from the visitors will be enough for the bet to land. The pick is VPS Team Total Corners - Over 3.5.
The Reliable Bet
In matches on KuPS's ground, VPS have scored more than one goal just once in their last eight head-to-head meetings. Away from home, VPS's attack has been equally frugal in front of goal this season. We don't expect the visitors to reach two. The bet is VPS Team Total - Under 1.5 Goals.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely outcomes for this match are 1:0 (12.06%), 1:1 (11.1%) and 2:0 (9.87%). All three scorelines reflect an expectation of relatively low scoring and KuPS dominance.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
VPS matches in the Veikkausliiga are rarely high-scoring: in 6 of their last 7 games, the two sides combined for fewer than three goals. VPS themselves have failed to score more than one goal in 12 of their last 13 league matches. KuPS are not much more prolific at home, having scored a maximum of two goals in nine consecutive home matches. We are not expecting more than two goals in this one. Our pick is Total Goals - Under 2.5. Predicted score: 1-1.
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: Kuopion Palloseura - Vaasa PS
in 7 of last 8 home games.in 11 of last 12 games against Vaasa PS.in 7 of last 8 games against Vaasa PS (Veikkausliiga).in 7 of last 8 away games against Kuopion Palloseura.in 12 of last 13 games (Veikkausliiga).in 6 of last 7 away games (Veikkausliiga).in 12 of last 13 Kuopion Palloseura games against Vaasa PS.in last 9 Kuopion Palloseura games against Vaasa PS (Veikkausliiga).in 8 of last 9 Kuopion Palloseura home games against Vaasa PS.Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
