Lahti vs TPS Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 October 2026
🔊 Two Veikkausliiga newcomers meet in the final round, with seventh place on the line for Lahti. The hosts have led the 7-12 play-off group throughout the second phase, but Ilves are just one point behind them. TPS could yet spoil things for Lahti, though the visitors have not scored since September. Can TPS finally get off the mark?
Head-to-Head
The last head-to-head meeting in the Veikkausliiga ended 0-0. Lahti had more possession and more shots - 11 to 8 - but were outshot on target 2-4.
In head-to-head meetings, the home side has tended to hold a clear advantage: Lahti have won 11 of their 21 home meetings with TPS Turku, while TPS have won 9 of their 18 home matches against Lahti. Away from home, each side has four wins.
Head-to-head statistics Lahti - TPS
Lahti Team Overview
Lahti lost 0-1 away to SJK in their last Veikkausliiga match. They had 62% possession and won nine corners to three, but were outshot on target 3-6.
Lahti go into the final stretch of the season as group leaders, but without a win in their last three matches. First place in the bottom six means seventh in the overall table. Gonçalo Pereira's side are on 36 points, with Ilves on 35. Ahead of the away trip to SJK, the manager stated his objective plainly: "We still have a clear target for the rest of the season - seventh place. We can't relax until we've secured it." But in Seinäjoki, Lahti lost 0-1. The only goal came as early as the sixth minute from a quick counter-attack, and crucially, the team also lost their attacking leader Momodou Sarr. Late in the match against SJK, the forward picked up a yellow card for disputing an assistant referee's decision, and that booking took him over the limit.
Match Results: Lahti
TPS Turku Team Overview
TPS Turku lost 0-1 at home to FF Jaro in their last Veikkausliiga match. Despite having 69% possession and managing 21 shots, six of them on target, they failed to score.
TPS went four matches in the second phase without scoring a single goal, picking up just one point from those games. The last time they found the net was on 31 August, in a 1-1 draw with Gnistan. Their final home match of the season at Veritas brought no improvement: TPS barely let the ball out of Jaro's half but conceded the only goal of the game to lose 0-1. "This is the worst way to end the home part of the season," admitted manager Ivan Piñol. Saturday will also see Piñol come up against a former club - before joining TPS, he worked as an assistant at Lahti.
Match Results: TPS Turku
Prediction for the 1st half
At home, Lahti don't take long to get going: they have scored in the first half in five consecutive Veikkausliiga matches on their own ground. At home they score more readily than their overall seasonal numbers suggest. We're expecting them to find the net in the first half here. The bet is Lahti Team Total 1st Half - Over 0.5.
Total Goals Prediction
Neither Lahti nor TPS have been prolific scorers this season, but the two sides seem to be a different proposition against each other. In 7 of their last 8 head-to-head meetings there have been at least three goals between them, and fewer than two has happened only once in the last ten. We're expecting at least three goals from this fixture. The bet is Total Goals - Over 2.5.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely outcomes are: 1:0 (14.11%), 1:1 (10.65%), and 2:1 (9.73%). The single most likely outcome is a narrow 1:0 win for Lahti.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
There are no concerns about Lahti's attack: at home, they have scored in 12 of their last 13 matches. TPS, meanwhile, have conceded in 17 of their last 18 away games. The question is whether the visitors can find the net: TPS have failed to score in four consecutive Veikkausliiga matches. In the head-to-head, though, the picture is different - in 14 of the last 15 meetings between these two, both teams have scored. We expect TPS to end their run on Saturday. Our bet is Both Teams to Score - Yes. Predicted score: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Lahti - TPS Turku
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