Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire Prediction 26 October 2025
🔊 This promises to be an intriguing clash as the conference champions take on a team that had to battle through an extra playoff round. The race for the MLS title is on, meaning there are no more easy games. Philadelphia Union and Chicago Fire face off in the first leg of their two-legged encounter. Here's our prediction for the match.
Head-to-Head
📊 The rivals have clashed twice this season. Philadelphia came out on top in both encounters, keeping a clean sheet each time.
Head-to-head statistics Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union Team Overview
⚫️ This team could very well win the season. Why? Simply because Philadelphia's playing style is tailor-made for knockout matches. While they might lack standout names, they boast balance and adaptability to play against any opponent. Union have consistently showcased impressive football throughout the regular season, deservedly securing the top spot in the conference, and they did it ahead of schedule. Their last match against Charlotte (0-2) was inconsequential.
⚪️ The team secured their playoff spot quite some time ago, so we probably haven't seen them at full throttle in the past month. Nevertheless, it's worth noting that their victories have been impressive. Take, for example, their dominant win over D.C. United (6-0). Before the game against Charlotte, the team chalked up three consecutive wins without conceding a single goal. Defense is undoubtedly one of Philadelphia's strengths.
Match Results: Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire Team Overview
🔵 One of the most entertaining teams in MLS has finally reached the main stage of the playoffs. Mission accomplished, but the road ahead is challenging. Chicago's aggressive style might not be well-suited for knockout matches. The team is too inconsistent. Just look at their head-to-heads with Philadelphia this season: not a single goal in two attempts. And this is a club that managed to score five against Inter Miami.
🔴 The Fire are definitely in form. They played in the round of 16, or the wild card round, whichever you prefer. They managed to defeat Orlando City (3-1). All the action took place in the second half, with Chicago leading 3-0. Confident, bold, and in their favorite style. Notably, Hugo Cuypers scored twice. He is arguably the only real wildcard in their lineup.
Match Results: Chicago Fire
Latest news
Philadelphia Union
⚠️ A significant loss for the team is forward Sullivan. While he's not a key player in the lineup, he consistently gets his share of playing time.
Chicago Fire
✅ No new injuries reported. Only players who have been undergoing long-term treatment remain on the injury list.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 38;
- home team wins - 18, away team wins - 11, draws - 9.
Statistics: Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire
- matches played in the tournament: 34 vs 34;
- wins: 20 vs 16;
- win percentage: 59% vs 46%;
- losses: 8 vs 11;
- draws: 6 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 6;
- losses: 4 vs 2;
- draws: 0 vs 2.
- Chicago Fire won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 away games (MLS).
- Chicago Fire won with a +1.5 handicap in last 6 games (MLS).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.74, the guests - 1.34;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.08;
- both teams scored: overall - 22; at the home team's field - 12.
Statistics: Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire
- average total in the tournament: 2.71 vs 3.77;
- average total goals scored: 1.68 vs 2.03;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.68 vs 1.03;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 1;
- Philadelphia Union: average total at home in the tournament - 2.12;
- Chicago Fire: average total away in the tournament - 2.53;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 2.25) vs 2.4 (away - 2.5).
- Chicago Fire have scored under 1.5 goals in 9 of last 10 away games against Philadelphia Union.
Prediction on corners
Philadelphia Union: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.18; at home field - 7.06;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; at home field - 5.
Chicago Fire: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.46, away - 3.94;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; away - 4.
- Over 9.5 corners in 9 of last 10 Philadelphia Union home games (MLS).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.22 (1.61 for home team and 1.61 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.27 (1.74 for home team and 1.53 for away team).
Philadelphia Union: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.59; at home - 2.29;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.6; at home - 2.25.
Chicago Fire: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.97, away - 2.06;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.3; away - 1.75.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 38;
- both teams scored all-time - 22 times;
- on the home team’s field - 12 times.
Statistics: Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire
- number of matches played in the tournament: 34 vs 34;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 14 vs 26;
- number of BTTS matches for Philadelphia Union at home - 9 (53%);
- number of BTTS matches for Chicago Fire away - 14 (82%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 2 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Philadelphia Union at home - 1 (25%);
- BTTS matches for Chicago Fire away - 2 (50%).
Editorial Prediction
It's the first match, and it's crucial to set the tone early, easing future concerns about their fate in the competition. Philadelphia are playing at home and clearly know the game plan. This is the time to go all out and claim what’s theirs. During the regular season, they faced no issues against Chicago, and there’s no reason to expect any now. Our bet is on a Philadelphia Union victory.
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Betting Tips: Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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