Toronto FC vs Montreal Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 10 October 2026
🔉 Toronto come into this match on the back of a difficult run and sit four points outside the playoff places with seven rounds of the regular MLS season remaining. CF Montréal are bottom of the table and have no real incentive at this stage of the campaign. The key contrast is the difference in what each side is playing for: the hosts are still fighting for a chance to reach the knockout phase, while the visitors are seeing out the season with nothing riding on their league position.
Head-to-Head
Montreal Impact and Toronto played out a goalless draw in their MLS match on 16 July 2026 - 0:0. Despite equal possession, the hosts had more shots (14:8), and Toronto did not register a single shot on target.
📊 Across 51 official meetings, Toronto have won 22, Montreal Impact 20, with nine draws. Toronto's slight edge is also reflected in the goals - 87-70 - and they have won half of the home head-to-head fixtures, 12 of 24.
Head-to-head statistics Toronto FC - Montreal
Toronto Team Overview
Toronto's previous MLS match 27 September 2026 ended in a 0-2 away defeat to Nashville. Both goals were conceded before half-time, and Toronto were outshot on target 3-11. They also blocked a further nine attempts from their opponents.
Toronto have managed only three wins in their last ten matches, though they have maintained an average of 1.6 goals per game over that period. In their last five matches they have not won once, but they have avoided defeat four times thanks to a high number of draws. Conceding an average of two goals per ten games points to problems with defensive reliability, which makes the task of getting back into the play-off race harder. Their league position means they need to pick up points in almost every remaining match.
Match Results: Toronto
Montreal Impact Team Overview
Montreal Impact's home MLS win over Cincinnati on 26 September 2026 came despite the visitors holding the edge in shots - 18 to 15 - and expected goals - 2.50 to 2.21. Montreal Impact won 3-1, with five shots on target to Cincinnati's four.
CF Montréal have won two and lost three of their last five matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and two conceded across their last ten games. Their attacking output away from home is limited: six consecutive away matches with a total of under 3.5 goals suggests a tendency towards more closed games against stronger opposition. The absence of a clear objective in the standings could affect both their concentration and their willingness to take risks in the second half of the season.
Match Results: Montreal Impact
Total Goals Prediction
In their last six matches, Total Goals - Under 3.5 has consistently come in for CF Montréal, which supports the trend. The statistics also back a low-scoring outcome: CF Montréal average 1.26 goals per match, while Toronto average 1.44. Both sides concede just under two goals per match on average, and neither has shown a strong tendency to score freely. We're backing Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.64*.
Corners Prediction
Montreal Impact have taken fewer than 4.5 corners in 8 of their last 9 away matches, which is a consistent trend. There is no alternative data to contradict it. We're backing Montreal Impact Team Total Corners - Under 4.5 at 1.88*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Toronto have both scored and conceded in six consecutive home head-to-head matches against Montreal Impact, and have conceded at least one goal in 14 of their last 15 home meetings with them. Toronto's recent home form - an average of 2.4 goals scored and 2 conceded over their last 10 home matches - supports the likelihood of goals at both ends. We're backing Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.45*.
Reliable Bet
In 6 of Toronto's last 7 matches, the total has come in under 4.5 goals, which supports the trend. Montreal Impact also rarely feature in high-scoring games. The bet on Total Goals - Under 4.5 looks as reliable as it gets at odds of 1.27*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes are 1-1 (9.5%), 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-2 (7.21%). The 1-1 result stands out as the most probable, though the gap between the top three is not particularly large. This reflects an expectation of a relatively even and open game in which both teams are likely to find the net.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.*
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Given Montreal Impact's poor form and the visitors' lack of any clear motivation in terms of the standings, it is hard to expect a notable improvement in their attacking output right now. The team consistently produces fewer goals in matches against Toronto and rarely exceeds a team total of more than one goal, even when the season context or the opponent's home status might suggest otherwise. With the main trend backed by a run of low-scoring performances by the visitors against this opponent, and Montreal Impact's average attacking efficiency across the season, the editors' pick is Montreal Impact Team Total - Under 1.5.
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Betting Tips: Toronto - Montreal Impact
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