Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 1 November 2025
🔊 The MLS playoffs are in full swing. The first matches have been played, and we can already draw conclusions about the readiness of the clubs. Chicago Fire will host Philadelphia Union, who currently lead the series. Can the Fire put up resistance once again? Let's dive in. Our editorial team offers their prediction for the matchup.
Head-to-Head
📊 Philadelphia have held the upper hand in recent head-to-head encounters. Only the recent playoff game was closely contested; prior to that, they faced no issues.
Head-to-head statistics Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire Team Overview
🔵 Once again, the team has proven to be one of the most entertaining sides in MLS. Even a playoff match is no exception for them. Chicago came back from 0-2 down in their first match, pushed it to penalties, but ultimately fell short. It was the most thrilling battle among all the opening matches of the Round of 16.
🔴 Up until the 70th minute, there were no goals at all, and then Fire conceded twice within five minutes. For some, that would be the end, but not for Chicago. They managed to level the score during that stretch but were a bit unlucky afterward. It's worth noting that their xG remained modest at 1.07, and their attack underperformed. Even Capers went unnoticed. The two goals seemed to come against the odds, as the stats were far from impressive.
Match Results: Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union Team Overview
⚫️ Continuing the thought, Philadelphia's first match against Chicago wasn't entirely convincing, but the team proved they can pull off a win even in challenging circumstances. Conceding a goal in added time didn't break their spirit, and they eventually triumphed in the penalty shootout. Not everyone performed at their best, but the squad's interchangeability came through. Milan Iloski had a standout game, registering both a goal and an assist.
🟤 What can we expect from Philadelphia moving forward? First and foremost, a strong mindset. The club knows how to learn from its mistakes. We've seen time and again that after a disappointing match, Union often follows up with a triumphant one. And in this case, it wasn't even a failure-just unconvincing football. Players like Tai Baribo, for instance, haven't made their mark yet, but he has the ability to find an opportunity to score. Back in June, Philadelphia already defeated Chicago on their turf (1-0).
Match Results: Philadelphia Union
Latest news
Chicago Fire
✅ No injury concerns.
Philadelphia Union
⚠️ Quinn Sullivan's injury remains a significant issue. He could have injected some fresh energy into the team's play by coming off the bench, as he has done multiple times throughout the season.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 39;
- home team wins - 11, away team wins - 19, draws - 9.
Statistics: Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union
- matches played in the tournament: 34 vs 34;
- wins: 16 vs 21;
- win percentage: 44% vs 60%;
- losses: 12 vs 8;
- draws: 8 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 6;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 0.
- Philadelphia Union won with a +1.5 handicap in last 6 away games against Chicago Fire (MLS).
- Philadelphia Union won with a +1.5 handicap in 29 of last 31 games (MLS).
- Philadelphia Union won with a +1.5 handicap in 18 of last 20 away games (MLS).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.36, the guests - 1.74;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.1;
- both teams scored: overall - 23; at the home team's field - 10.
Statistics: Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union
- average total in the tournament: 3.78 vs 2.74;
- average total goals scored: 2.03 vs 1.69;
- average total in the 1st half: 1 vs 0.66;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.03 vs 1.03;
- Chicago Fire: average total at home in the tournament - 1.56;
- Philadelphia Union: average total away in the tournament - 1.24;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.3 (home - 2.2) vs 1.6 (away - 1.33).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 11 of last 12 Chicago Fire games (MLS).
Prediction on corners
Chicago Fire: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.47; at home field - 4.94;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; at home field - 5.6.
Philadelphia Union: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.23, away - 5.29;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.5; away - 4.5.
- Chicago Fire have taken under 5.5 corners in last 7 games against Philadelphia Union (MLS).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.88 (1.44 for home team and 1.44 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.73 (1.26 for home team and 1.47 for away team).
Chicago Fire: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2; at home - 1.89;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.6; at home - 1.2.
Philadelphia Union: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.6, away - 2.88;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.7; away - 2.83.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 39;
- both teams scored all-time - 23 times;
- on the home team’s field - 10 times.
Statistics: Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union
- number of matches played in the tournament: 34 vs 34;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 27 vs 15;
- number of BTTS matches for Chicago Fire at home - 12 (67%);
- number of BTTS matches for Philadelphia Union away - 5 (29%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 2;
- BTTS matches for Chicago Fire at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Philadelphia Union away - 1 (17%).
- Chicago Fire have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games (MLS).
- Chicago Fire have scored and conceded in last 5 games (MLS).
Editor's Prediction
Almost every matchup between Chicago and Philadelphia is a tough contest, as their head-to-head history suggests. This season hasn't deviated much from that trend, with Philadelphia winning all encounters so far. Do the Fire have a chance in the third game? We believe those chances are minimal. Philadelphia clearly didn't show their full potential in the first game and have room to improve. They excel at catching opponents on the counterattack, especially since Chicago needs to push forward. The teams' resources seem unmatched at this point in time. We won't take unnecessary risks and predict that Philadelphia Union will not lose. The visitors are evidently stronger.
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Betting Tips: Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union
in 7 of last 8 games against Philadelphia Union (MLS).
in last 7 games (MLS).in 6 of last 7 Chicago Fire games against Philadelphia Union (MLS).in 7 of last 8 Chicago Fire games (MLS).in 18 of last 20 Philadelphia Union games (MLS).in 15 of last 17 Philadelphia Union away games.in 12 of last 13 games against Philadelphia Union (MLS).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
