Atl. Mineiro vs Cruzeiro Prediction
🔊 Matchday 28 of Serie A brings the Mineiro derby as Atlético Mineiro host Cruzeiro at the MRV Arena. For the hosts, it's an opportunity to stabilize their performance and climb the standings after a challenging season, currently sitting in 14th place. The visitors arrive in third place but are winless in their last three matches. Atlético will aim to leverage their home advantage and seek revenge for their first-round defeat at the Mineirão (0-2), while Cruzeiro look to solidify their position at the top end of the table. The derby promises to be intense and emotional, given the traditional rivalry between these clubs.
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between these teams took place on 11 September 2025 and ended with a 2-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative analysis of that encounter (Cruzeiro were the home side):
- possession percentage: 26% vs 74%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 10;
- fouls: 19 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Atlético Mineiro and Cruzeiro:
- 63 matches played;
- home wins - 23, away wins - 23, draws - 17;
- goals scored - 78 against 80;
- average total goals in the 1st half - 1.1, in the 2nd half - 1.41;
- average total goals per match - 2.51.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Atletico Mineiro Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Serie A tournament, with Atlético Mineiro hosting Sport Recife. The match ended with a 3-1 victory.
Here's the game statistics (Atlético Mineiro vs Sport Recife):
- possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 9;
- fouls: 13 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 2.
⚫ In a rescheduled match from the 14th round, Atlético Mineiro secured a 3-1 home victory over Sport Recife. This win slightly improved their recent run: in the last five matches, the 'Galo' have recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses. Atlético currently sit 14th in the league standings, holding a seven-point cushion above the relegation zone. The main objective for new head coach Jorge Sampaoli, who took charge on September 2nd, is to guide the team back into the Copa Sudamericana spots. In this season's tournament, Atlético have already reached the semifinals and will soon face Ecuadorian side Independiente del Valle in the first leg.
Match Results: Atletico Mineiro
Cruzeiro Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Serie A tournament, facing Cruzeiro as the home team and Sport Recife as the visitors. The match ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Cruzeiro vs Sport Recife):
- Possession: 62% vs 38%;
- Corners: 10 vs 3;
- Fouls: 11 vs 15;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 7 vs 5.
🔵 Leonardo Jardim's squad is navigating a challenging stretch as Cruzeiro have gone three matches without a win. After a 2-0 defeat to Vasco da Gama, they settled for draws against one of their main title rivals, Flamengo, away (0-0), and at home against Sport Recife (1-1), who are the league's bottom dwellers. Consequently, the team trails significantly behind league leaders Palmeiras, with a six-point gap and Palmeiras holding a game in hand as they head into the final 10-11 rounds. This scenario complicates the Foxes' title chase and ramps up the pressure on Leonardo Jardim and his players for the remainder of the season.
Match Results: Cruzeiro
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- total encounters - 63;
- home victories - 23, away victories - 23, draws - 17.
Statistics: Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro
- matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 27;
- wins: 8 vs 15;
- win percentage: 31% vs 56%;
- losses: 10 vs 5;
- draws: 8 vs 7.
Last 10 Matches:
- wins: 3 vs 6;
- losses: 4 vs 1;
- draws: 3 vs 3.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- today's home team average goals - 1.24, away team - 1.27;
- average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.51;
- both teams scored: all-time - 32 times; at the home team's ground - 14 times.
Statistics: Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro
- average total in the tournament: 2.12 vs 2.22;
- average goals scored: 0.96 vs 1.48;
- average first half goals: 0.35 vs 0.85;
- average second half goals: 0.62 vs 0.63;
- Atlético Mineiro: average home total in the tournament - 1.33;
- Cruzeiro: average away total in the tournament - 1.08;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 1.2) vs 1.3 (away - 1).
- Atlético Mineiro have scored at home in 10 of their last 11 head-to-head Serie A encounters.
Corners Prediction
Atlético Mineiro: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 6.19; at home - 7.25;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.5; at home - 4.4.
Cruzeiro: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 6.04, away - 4.62;
- last 10 matches: average total - 5.6; away - 4.6.
- Cruzeiro have taken fewer than 5.5 corners away in 7 of their last 8 head-to-head encounters.
- Cruzeiro have taken fewer than 5.5 corners away in 7 of their last 8 Serie A matches.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 4.66 (2.33 for the home side and 2.33 for the visitors);
- average total yellow cards at the home ground - 4.53 (2.33 for the home side and 2.2 for the visitors).
Atlético Mineiro: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 2.69; at home - 2.75;
- last 10 matches: average total - 3.4; at home - 3.6.
Cruzeiro: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 2.67, away - 2.54;
- last 10 matches: average total - 3; away - 3.4.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- total encounters - 63;
- both teams scored all-time - 32 times;
- at the home team's ground - 14 times.
Statistics: Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro
- matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 27;
- matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 12;
- BTTS for Atlético Mineiro at home - 6 (50%);
- BTTS for Cruzeiro away - 3 (23%).
Last 10 Matches:
- BTTS matches: 3 vs 5;
- BTTS for Atlético Mineiro at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS for Cruzeiro away - 2 (40%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The match promises to be intense: the hosts will aim to capitalize on their home advantage and seek revenge for their first-round defeat, while the visitors will play cautiously, aiming not to drop points and to build confidence. The head-to-head record is evenly matched, with each team securing 23 victories, but Cruzeiro have not lost to Atletico in their last three encounters. This season, the visitors appear more convincing; however, our prediction is: under 2.5 goals, which has occurred in 8 of the last 9 head-to-head matches between these teams in Serie A.
Betting Tips: Atletico Mineiro - Cruzeiro
in 11 of last 12 games against Cruzeiro (Serie A).in 11 of last 12 home games (Serie A).in 13 of last 14 away games.in 9 of last 10 games.in 7 of last 8 games (Serie A).in 10 of last 11 home games against Cruzeiro (Serie A).in 8 of last 9 Atletico Mineiro games against Cruzeiro (Serie A).in last 5 Atletico Mineiro games against Cruzeiro.in 10 of last 11 Cruzeiro away games.in 8 of last 9 Cruzeiro away games (Serie A).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
