Cruzeiro vs Atl. Mineiro Prediction 3 May 2026

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Key points

    🔊 The upcoming clash between Cruzeiro and Atletico Mineiro promises to be intense, given the recent performances of both sides. Cruzeiro have been solid at home, though they haven't always managed to secure victories in their latest outings. On the other hand, Atletico Mineiro struggle on the road and frequently suffer defeats. Both teams are highly motivated in the standings, as they sit mid-table and are eager to improve their positions.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 08 March 2026 and ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (with Cruzeiro as the home side):

    • possession: 49% vs 51%;
    • corner kicks: 1 vs 3;
    • fouls: 24 vs 11;
    • yellow cards: 5 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 0.

    📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Cruzeiro and Atlético Mineiro:

    • 66 matches played;
    • wins for the home side: 24, away victories: 24, draws: 18;
    • goals scored: 83 vs. 81;
    • average goals in the first half: 1.06, second half: 1.42;
    • average total goals per match: 2.48.

    Head-to-head statistics Cruzeiro - Atl. Mineiro

    35%
    24 Wins
    28%
    19 Draws
    38%
    26 Wins
    Total games
    69
    Total Goals Avg
    2.51
    Both teams scored
    54%
    1.25
    Total average
    1.26
    Last matches
    02.09.26
    Copa Brasil
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    1
    -
    -
    8
    2
    11
    13
    1
    5
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    8
    2
    11
    13
    1
    5
    26.08.26
    Copa Brasil
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    -
    -
    4
    3
    15
    19
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    3
    15
    19
    1
    2
    03.05.26
    Serie A
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    2
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1
    1.45
    1.75
    5
    1
    15
    17
    2
    5
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1.45
    1.75
    5
    1
    15
    17
    2
    5
    08.03.26
    Campeonato Mineiro
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    12
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    11
    -
    -
    1
    3
    24
    11
    5
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    3
    24
    11
    5
    4
    25.01.26
    Campeonato Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    -
    -
    8
    0
    11
    13
    3
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    8
    0
    11
    13
    3
    1
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    Cruzeiro Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on in the Copa Libertadores, with Cruzeiro hosting Boca Juniors. The game concluded with a 1-0 victory.

    Here are the match statistics (Cruzeiro vs Boca Juniors):

    • possession: 63% vs 37%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 1;
    • fouls: 11 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 0.

    🔵 Cruzeiro currently sit 12th in the standings and have shown decent form in their last five Serie A matches, securing three victories after two losses. The team averages 1.31 goals per game but also concedes quite a few, with 1.62 goals allowed per match. Despite this, Cruzeiro have the potential for successful performances, thanks to their solid defensive play at home. However, they need to focus on capitalizing on their chances in front of the opponent's goal.

    Match Results: Cruzeiro

    Last matches
    20.09.26
    Serie A
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    0.75
    1.07
    8
    2
    10
    19
    0
    3
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    0.75
    1.07
    8
    2
    10
    19
    0
    3
    W
    13.09.26
    Serie A
    Santos
    Santos
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    2.13
    1.57
    13
    3
    19
    14
    2
    3
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2.13
    1.57
    13
    3
    19
    14
    2
    3
    L
    06.09.26
    Serie A
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    2.87
    1.31
    7
    2
    8
    9
    2
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    2.87
    1.31
    7
    2
    8
    9
    2
    2
    W
    02.09.26
    Copa Brasil
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    1
    -
    -
    8
    2
    11
    13
    1
    5
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    8
    2
    11
    13
    1
    5
    L
    30.08.26
    Serie A
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    4.18
    0.65
    11
    3
    15
    12
    2
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    4.18
    0.65
    11
    3
    15
    12
    2
    1
    L
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    Atletico Mineiro Team Overview

    The visitors last played an official match on in the South American Cup, facing Cienciano away. The game ended 1-0.

    Here are the match statistics (Atlético Mineiro vs Cienciano):

    • possession: 48% vs 52%;
    • corner kicks: 0 vs 5;
    • fouls: 8 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 5.

    ⚫ Atlético Mineiro are currently 15th in the league and going through a challenging phase, with frequent losses, particularly on the road. They've lost eight of their last nine away matches. In their last five games, the team's form has been inconsistent, alternating between two wins and three losses. They are averaging just over one goal per game (1.08), highlighting issues with their attack when playing away from home.

    Match Results: Atletico Mineiro

    Last matches
    19.09.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Chapecoense
    Chapecoense
    2.36
    1.29
    11
    2
    11
    11
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    2.36
    1.29
    11
    2
    11
    11
    2
    1
    D
    16.09.26
    sudamericana
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Santos
    Santos
    1.61
    1.78
    4
    6
    13
    10
    0
    2
    4
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    3
    1
    1.61
    1.78
    4
    6
    13
    10
    0
    2
    W
    12.09.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    1.52
    0.43
    5
    2
    8
    11
    1
    2
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    1.52
    0.43
    5
    2
    8
    11
    1
    2
    W
    09.09.26
    sudamericana
    Santos
    Santos
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1.19
    0.37
    6
    2
    9
    8
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.19
    0.37
    6
    2
    9
    8
    0
    0
    L
    05.09.26
    Serie A
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1.82
    0.69
    16
    2
    17
    12
    1
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1.82
    0.69
    16
    2
    17
    12
    1
    1
    L
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • played - 66;
    • home victories - 24, away victories - 24, draws - 18.

    Statistics: Cruzeiro vs Atlético Mineiro

    • matches in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
    • wins: 4 vs 4;
    • win percentage: 31% vs 31%;
    • losses: 5 vs 7;
    • draws: 4 vs 2.

    Last 10 Matches:

    • wins: 6 vs 4;
    • losses: 2 vs 6;
    • draws: 2 vs 0.
    Trends
    • Atlético Mineiro cover a +1.5 handicap on the road in 9 of the last 10 head-to-head encounters.
    • Atlético Mineiro cover a +1.5 handicap on the road in 15 of their last 17 matches.
    👉Prediction: Atletico Mineiro Handicap (+1,5) (odds: 1.23)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches (average total):

    • home team - 1.26, away team - 1.23;
    • in head-to-head matches - 2.48;
    • both teams scored: all-time - 34 times; at home - 16 times.

    Average Total Statistics: Cruzeiro vs Atlético Mineiro

    • in the tournament: 2.92 vs 2.54;
    • goals scored: 1.31 vs 1.08;
    • in the first half: 0.69 vs 0.54;
    • in the second half: 0.62 vs 0.54;
    • Cruzeiro at home in the tournament - 1.71;
    • Atlético Mineiro away in the tournament - 0.71;
    • last 10 matches: 1.4 (home - 1.5) vs 1.1 (away - 0.83).
    Trends
    • Total under 2.5 goals hit in 9 of the last 10 head-to-head matches at the home ground.
    • Total under 2.5 goals hit in the last 5 consecutive head-to-head matches at the home ground (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Under (2,5) (odds: 1.7)

    Corners Prediction

    Cruzeiro: Statistics

    • season: average total in the tournament - 4.92; at home - 5.57;
    • last 10 matches: average total - 3.4; at home - 4.33.

    Atlético Mineiro: Statistics

    • season: average total in the tournament - 5.54, away - 6.43;
    • last 10 matches: average total - 4.7; away - 4.
    Trends
    • Atlético Mineiro have fewer than 4.5 corners in six consecutive head-to-head matches (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Atletico Mineiro Total Under (4,5) (odds: 1.56)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • played - 66;
    • both teams scored all-time - 34 times;
    • at the home ground - 16 times.

    Statistics: Cruzeiro vs Atlético Mineiro

    • played in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
    • matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 4;
    • Cruzeiro BTTS at home - 4 (57%);
    • Atlético Mineiro BTTS away - 1 (14%).

    Last 10 Matches:

    • BTTS matches: 4 vs 4;
    • Cruzeiro BTTS at home - 2 (33%);
    • Atlético Mineiro BTTS away - 1 (17%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (No) (odds: 1.79)

    Correct Score Prediction

    Frequent Score Statistics (current season):

    • most frequent score in the tournament: 1-1 (17/127, 13.4%);
    • Cruzeiro most frequently finish matches at home: 0-0, 1-1, 1-2, 2-0, 2-1, 3-0, 3-3 (1/7, 14.3%);
    • Atlético Mineiro frequently play away with a score of: 1-0 (3/7, 42.9%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top-3 outcomes:

    1-0 - 13.59% (odds: 6)
    1-1 - 12.81% (odds: 6.5)
    2-0 - 9.55% (odds: 8.5)

    Trends
    • Cruzeiro have drawn with a score of 0-0 at home in four of their last five head-to-head encounters (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Correct Score (0:0) (odds: 7.8)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The hosts enter the game in a more confident state. Atletico, on the other hand, are going through a challenging period and frequently make mistakes, especially in away matches. Moreover, derbies rarely turn into open encounters-they typically involve tight play with plenty of physical battles and limited opportunities. Considering the current form and home advantage, Cruzeiro hold a slight edge. Given the current trends and team statistics, the most likely outcome is under 2.5 goals. This has been the result in 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between these clubs at the hosts' venue.

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    Place a bet-161
    Published: 01/05/2026, 13:25

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    Betting Tips: Cruzeiro - Atletico Mineiro

    Cruzeiro have drawn in the 2nd half:
    cruzeiro-mg-1atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 6 of last 7 games against Atletico Mineiro (Serie A).
    cruzeiro-mg-1atletico-mineiro-mg-1in last 5 home games against Atletico Mineiro (Serie A).
    2nd Half Draw
    Everygame
    +130
    Atletico Mineiro have drawn:
    cruzeiro-mg-1atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 4 of last 5 away games against Cruzeiro (Serie A).
    Draw
    Bovada
    +225
    Atletico Mineiro have lost:
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 8 of last 9 away games (Serie A).
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 7 of last 8 away games.
    Cruzeiro to Win
    Everygame
    -120
    Cruzeiro have not won:
    cruzeiro-mg-1atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 12 of last 13 games against Atletico Mineiro (Serie A).
    cruzeiro-mg-1atletico-mineiro-mg-1in last 9 home games against Atletico Mineiro (Serie A).
    Atletico Mineiro will not lose
    Everygame
    -112
    View more facts

    Cruzeiro - Atl. Mineiro Table position

    Brasileiro Serie A 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    4.
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    28139644-3648
    5.
    Bahia
    Bahia
    281210643-3546
    6.
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    28136942-4045
    7.
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    27117936-3240
    8.
    Santos
    Santos
    27108941-4038
    9.
    Coritiba FC PR
    Coritiba FC PR
    281081037-4338

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 4
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 16
    Conceded - 15
    +1
    +2
    15 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    4
    4
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    16
    Scored
    15
    15
    Conceded
    13
    3.1
    Match goals average
    2.8
    1.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.5
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    10
    Both teams scored
    7
    56'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    60'
    View all stats