Atl. Mineiro vs Vitoria Prediction 29 August 2026

Details
The main thing

    🔊 Ahead of the match between Atlético Mineiro and Vitória, there is a clear contrast in recent form. The hosts have gone five games without defeat, with three wins and two draws underlining their consistency. Vitória, over the same period, have won twice but lost three times. Mineiro are ready to push on and collect more points.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 In official matches between Atlético Mineiro and Vitória, the two sides have met 27 times. Each team has won 10 of those meetings, with 7 ending in draws. Vitória have a slight edge in goals scored - 39 to Atlético Mineiro's 36. The average number of goals in the first half is 1.19, and 1.59 in the second. The average total goals per match is 2.78.

    Head-to-head statistics Atl. Mineiro - Vitoria

    37%
    10 Wins
    26%
    7 Draws
    37%
    10 Wins
    Total games
    27
    Total Goals Avg
    2.78
    Both teams scored
    56%
    1.33
    Total average
    1.44
    1.37
    Yellow cards
    1.3
    Last matches
    14.03.26
    Serie A
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    0.5
    1.3
    4
    10
    17
    13
    2
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0.5
    1.3
    4
    10
    17
    13
    2
    3
    31.08.25
    Serie A
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    0.81
    0.67
    2
    5
    20
    13
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.81
    0.67
    2
    5
    20
    13
    2
    3
    13.04.25
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    2.14
    1.16
    16
    3
    8
    10
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    2.14
    1.16
    16
    3
    8
    10
    2
    3
    05.10.24
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    -
    -
    2
    5
    13
    14
    1
    0
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    5
    13
    14
    1
    0
    20.06.24
    Serie A
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    -
    -
    2
    4
    14
    14
    2
    2
    4
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    -
    -
    2
    4
    14
    14
    2
    2
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    Atletico Mineiro Team Overview

    Atlético Mineiro come into this match in good form, having won three and drawn two of their last five games without a defeat. Over their last ten matches the consistency has been equally solid - four wins and six draws, no losses, averaging 1.3 goals scored and just 0.7 conceded per game. That reliability gives grounds to expect the positive run to continue at home and strengthen their position in the upper reaches of the table.

    Match Results: Atletico Mineiro

    Last matches
    26.08.26
    Copa Brasil
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    -
    -
    4
    3
    15
    19
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    3
    15
    19
    1
    2
    D
    22.08.26
    Serie A
    Internacional
    Internacional
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1.47
    0.92
    6
    5
    18
    15
    5
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.47
    0.92
    6
    5
    18
    15
    5
    3
    D
    19.08.26
    sudamericana
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    0.77
    1.57
    5
    10
    7
    11
    1
    2
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    0.77
    1.57
    5
    10
    7
    11
    1
    2
    D
    16.08.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Gremio
    Gremio
    1.84
    0.4
    8
    6
    14
    11
    3
    3
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1.84
    0.4
    8
    6
    14
    11
    3
    3
    W
    12.08.26
    sudamericana
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1.54
    1.68
    7
    3
    7
    8
    2
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.54
    1.68
    7
    3
    7
    8
    2
    0
    W
    Empty
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    Vitoria Team Overview

    Vitória are struggling for consistency: three defeats and two wins from their last five matches tell their own story. Over their last ten games, they have won just three times and lost six. Their attack looks weak - they are averaging just 0.6 goals per game across those ten matches, while conceding 1.3. They will look to make a fight of it, though, as they are only one point behind the qualification place.

    Match Results: Vitoria

    Last matches
    27.08.26
    Copa Brasil
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    1
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    -
    -
    1
    5
    9
    8
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    5
    9
    8
    0
    2
    L
    23.08.26
    Serie A
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    Bahia
    Bahia
    0.67
    3.39
    7
    7
    13
    10
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0.67
    3.39
    7
    7
    13
    10
    2
    3
    L
    16.08.26
    Serie A
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    1
    2.36
    0.92
    8
    4
    19
    18
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    2.36
    0.92
    8
    4
    19
    18
    2
    3
    W
    09.08.26
    Serie A
    Flamengo
    Flamengo
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    1.23
    0.21
    8
    1
    13
    8
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.23
    0.21
    8
    1
    13
    8
    1
    1
    L
    06.08.26
    Copa Brasil
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    -
    -
    8
    6
    13
    18
    5
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    8
    6
    13
    18
    5
    3
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Match Outcome Prediction

    Vitória have lost by no more than one goal or drawn in 8 of their last 9 away head-to-head meetings with Atlético Mineiro. This supports a bet on Vitória Handicap +1.5 at 1.38*, despite Vitória's weak away scoring record - the head-to-head matches show that the hosts rarely win by a large margin. No significant statistical conflicts were identified.

    Corners Prediction

    Atlético Mineiro have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 6 of their last 7 matches. That is a consistent trend over a decent sample, suggesting a low output in this area. No contradicting data has been found for this line, which makes the bet reasonable. The selection is Atlético Mineiro Team Total Corners - Under 5.5 at odds of 1.83*.

    Risky Bet

    Vitória have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches, and their away scoring record this season is extremely low overall, averaging just 0.58 goals per game. Atlético Mineiro score 1.7 goals per home match, and if the hosts make their advantage count, there is a chance of a two-goal-or-more winning margin. Historically, though, Vitória rarely lose heavily away to Atlético Mineiro, which is a risk factor for this bet. The bet is Vitória to Score: No at odds of 2.24*.

    Reliable Bet

    Vitória have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 11 of their last 12 away matches. On top of that, the team average just 0.58 goals per away match this season, which confirms their low scoring record on the road. Given those numbers, the Vitória Team Total - Under 1.5 Goals looks reliable at 1.24*.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes are 1:0 (13.95%), 1:1 (12%) and 2:0 (11.07%). The highest probability belongs to a narrow Atlético Mineiro win by 1:0, though the gap between the three leading scenarios is small. This suggests that a narrow home win and a draw are considered roughly equally likely.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The key trend in this match concerns Vitória's attacking problems: they have failed to score in five of their last six Série A matches, which is reflected in their low average of 0.6 goals per game over their last ten fixtures. Atlético Mineiro, meanwhile, have a solid defence and are rarely troubled at home, with generally consistent results. In our view, this dynamic justifies a bet against the visitors finding the net - the editorial selection is Vitória Team Total - Under 0.5.
    Vitoria will not score goal
    Published: 27/08/2026, 19:50
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Football specialist
    31
    0
    33
    64 predictions
    Statistics for August 2026

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    Betting Tips: Atletico Mineiro - Vitoria

    Atletico Mineiro have not won:
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1vitoria-ba-1in last 6 games against Vitoria (Serie A).
    Vitoria will not lose
    Everygame
    +102
    Atletico Mineiro have not lost:
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 21 of last 22 home games.
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1in last 12 games.
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 10 of last 11 home games (Serie A).
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 9 of last 10 games (Serie A).
    Vitoria have not won:
    vitoria-ba-1in last 12 away games (Serie A).
    Atletico Mineiro will not lose
    Everygame
    -556
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1vitoria-ba-1in 15 of last 17 Atletico Mineiro games against Vitoria (Serie A).
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1in last 6 Atletico Mineiro home games (Serie A).
    vitoria-ba-1in 21 of last 23 Vitoria away games.
    vitoria-ba-1in 11 of last 12 Vitoria away games (Serie A).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -333
    Atletico Mineiro have scored:
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1vitoria-ba-1in last 13 home games against Vitoria.
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1vitoria-ba-1in last 12 home games against Vitoria (Serie A).
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 17 of last 19 home games.
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 10 of last 11 home games (Serie A).
    Vitoria have conceded:
    vitoria-ba-1in 20 of last 21 away games.
    vitoria-ba-1in 11 of last 12 away games (Serie A).
    Atletico Mineiro will score goal
    -667
    View more facts

    Atl. Mineiro - Vitoria Table position

    Brasileiro Serie A 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    8.
    Coritiba FC PR
    Coritiba FC PR
    2497830-3134
    9.
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    2396830-2733
    10.
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    2488826-2432
    11.
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    2386937-3730
    12.
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    24851123-3529
    13.
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    23761027-2727

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    6 - Draws
    0 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 7
    +6
    -7
    6 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    3
    6
    Draws
    1
    0
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    6
    7
    Conceded
    13
    2
    Match goals average
    1.9
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.6
    0.7
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    5
    Both teams scored
    0
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    150'
    View all stats