Somalia vs Ivory Coast Prediction 29 September 2026

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Key points

    🔊 Somalia and Côte d'Ivoire meet with a clear gap in class and recent form between them. Somalia sit third but are only three points behind the leaders after one round, so they still have reason to push for the top of the group. Côte d'Ivoire have already opened with a win and temporarily lead the table, which keeps their competitive momentum going. Both sides retain an interest in the race for first place, but current form marks the visitors out as the clear favourites.

    Somalia and Côte d’Ivoire: teams set for their first-ever head-to-head

    📊 These two sides have never met before.

    Somalia look to snatch a rare point as they take on Ivory Coast

    Somalia's run of poor results continues: one win, seven defeats and two draws from their last ten matches tells the story of a side struggling to pick up points. In their previous five games they lost four and drew one, managing to avoid defeat just once. Their attack has been almost non-existent - they average just 0.1 goals per game over the longer run - while their defensive record shows an average of 1.3 goals conceded per match, with the backline coming under pressure against stronger opponents. That said, trends do point to Somalia's ability to keep scoring low at home: Under 4.5 total goals comes in regularly, and heavy defeats are rare even against higher-ranked opposition.

    Match Results: Somalia

    Last matches
    25.09.26
    CON
    Gambia
    Gambia
    Somalia
    Somalia
    -
    -
    1
    3
    16
    13
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    1
    3
    16
    13
    1
    2
    L
    31.03.26
    CON
    Mauritius
    Mauritius
    Somalia
    Somalia
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    4
    W
    27.03.26
    CON
    Somalia
    Somalia
    Mauritius
    Mauritius
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    1
    2
    D
    26.11.25
    WAFF ARAB Cup
    Oman
    Oman
    Somalia
    Somalia
    -
    -
    3
    9
    12
    10
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    4
    1
    -
    -
    3
    9
    12
    10
    0
    2
    L
    17.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Bahrain
    Bahrain
    Somalia
    Somalia
    -
    -
    6
    1
    -
    -
    2
    4
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    6
    1
    -
    -
    2
    4
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Ivory Coast: attack firing on all cylinders, defense well-organized

    Côte d'Ivoire come into this match having won six of their last ten games, with three defeats and one draw - a steady return for a side with high ambitions this season. In their last five matches they have won three and lost two, and their attack has looked reliable, averaging 1.7 goals per game over the last ten matches (two scored according to the latest data). Defensively they have shown discipline, conceding an average of just one goal per game, which points to a structured backline even against varied opposition.

    Match Results: Ivory Coast

    Last matches
    24.09.26
    CON
    Ivory Coast
    Ivory Coast
    Ghana
    Ghana
    -
    -
    6
    1
    17
    16
    2
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    1
    17
    16
    2
    2
    W
    30.06.26
    FIFA World Cup
    Ivory Coast
    Ivory Coast
    Norway
    Norway
    1.83
    1.94
    14
    3
    6
    7
    0
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1.83
    1.94
    14
    3
    6
    7
    0
    1
    L
    25.06.26
    FIFA World Cup
    Curacao
    Curacao
    Ivory Coast
    Ivory Coast
    0.61
    1.27
    4
    6
    11
    6
    2
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0.61
    1.27
    4
    6
    11
    6
    2
    1
    W
    20.06.26
    FIFA World Cup
    Germany
    Germany
    Ivory Coast
    Ivory Coast
    1.67
    1.67
    8
    3
    5
    7
    0
    0
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    1.67
    1.67
    8
    3
    5
    7
    0
    0
    L
    14.06.26
    FIFA World Cup
    Ivory Coast
    Ivory Coast
    Ecuador
    Ecuador
    2.01
    1.04
    3
    5
    10
    13
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2.01
    1.04
    3
    5
    10
    13
    3
    1
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Total Goals Prediction

    In 10 consecutive matches involving the Somalia national team, the total goals has not exceeded 3.5, which points to a consistent trend. Somalia also score very rarely - averaging 0.1 goals per game across their last 10 matches. Côte d'Ivoire are reliably productive, but there is no data to suggest they win by large margins. On that basis, Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 2.40* looks justified.

    Corners Prediction

    Côte d'Ivoire have taken fewer than 8.5 corners in 8 of their last 9 matches, which is a consistent trend. It has held regardless of opponent and context, making it reasonable to expect the run to continue. We're backing Côte d'Ivoire Team Total Corners - Under 8.5 at odds of 1.77*.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes are: 0-1 (25.8%), 0-0 (21.4%) and 0-2 (14.15%). Two of the top three scorelines feature Somalia failing to score, which reflects their low attacking output. The most probable result is a narrow 0-1 win for Côte d'Ivoire.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Looking at the home side's current trends - regularly covering the handicap (+3.5) and low totals in their home matches - the likely shape of this game revolves around Somalia fighting for a respectable result without being heavily beaten by the tournament favourites. The hosts' form is far from ideal in terms of both results and finishing, but they have consistently avoided heavy defeats at home even against stronger sides. Both teams retain strong competitive motivation given how close they are to the top of the table, though the difference in class is clear when you look at the visitors' attacking statistics and the hosts' passivity going forward. The editorial's main prediction is Somalia Handicap +3.5.
    Somalia Handicap (+3,5)
    Odds-119
    Published: 27/09/2026, 19:57
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Football expert
    183
    17
    135
    335 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Somalia - Ivory Coast

    Somalia have drawn in the 2nd half:
    somaliain last 5 games.
    2nd Half Draw
    -
    Somalia have lost:
    somaliain last 5 home games.
    Ivory Coast to Win
    -1111
    Somalia have lost the 1st half:
    somaliain last 4 home games.
    1st Half Ivory Coast to Win
    -
    Somalia have not won:
    somaliain last 16 games.
    somaliain last 5 home games.
    Ivory Coast will not lose
    -
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    1 - Win
    2 - Draws
    7 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 1
    Conceded - 13
    -12
    +7
    17 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    1
    Wins
    6
    2
    Draws
    1
    7
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    1
    Scored
    17
    13
    Conceded
    10
    1.4
    Match goals average
    2.7
    0.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.7
    1.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    1
    Both teams scored
    5
    960'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    53'
    View all stats