Guadalajara vs Queretaro Prediction 17 January 2026
💫 The upcoming Liga MX match promises an exciting showdown between Guadalajara and Querétaro. Both teams are currently displaying varying levels of form, adding an intriguing layer to the game. The home side, Guadalajara, have been delivering consistent performances recently, securing victories in 7 of their last 10 matches. Querétaro, on the other hand, are still trying to find their rhythm with mixed results. Read our prediction for their clash below.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (Querétaro were the home side):
- possession: 26% vs 74%;
- corner kicks: 0 vs 11;
- fouls: 10 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Guadalajara and Querétaro:
- 44 matches played;
- home wins - 14, away wins - 14, draws - 16;
- goals scored - 52 for Guadalajara, 59 for Querétaro;
- average goals in the first half - 1.14, in the second half - 1.39;
- average total goals per match - 2.52.
Head-to-head statistics Guadalajara - Queretaro

Guadalajara Chivas Team Overview
The team's last official match took place in the Liga MX tournament (with Juarez as the home side and Guadalajara as the visitors). The match concluded with a 0-1 scoreline.
Here are the match stats (Guadalajara vs Juarez):
- possession percentage: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 1;
- fouls: 8 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
Guadalajara are firmly holding onto the sixth spot in the standings, thanks to their impressive form: 11 wins in 21 matches this season. Their last five games have resulted in three wins, one draw, and one loss-an impressive +2 win-loss differential. The team excels at controlling the tempo of the game and often dominates, with an average of 1.62 goals scored per match and a solid defense that has conceded just 0.8 goals per game at home over the last ten matches.
Match Results: Guadalajara Chivas

Queretaro Team Overview
The latest official match for the current visitors took place in the Liga MX, with Querétaro hosting Tijuana. The match concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Querétaro vs Tijuana):
- possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corners: 6 vs 6;
- fouls: 11 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
Querétaro continue their quest for stability. Their last five matches have highlighted their inconsistency, with two wins, three losses, and a draw. This run includes both highs and weaknesses, reflected in their -4 goal difference. The team struggles to meet the high demands of the Liga MX this spring. They primarily adopt a defensive approach, aiming to capitalize on counter-attacks. However, their low scoring rate remains a stumbling block-they've only scored one more goal than they've conceded. Each match serves as a learning experience for them.
Match Results: Queretaro
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 44;
- home team wins - 14, away team wins - 14, draws - 16.
- Queretaro have drawn in 4 of last 5 away games against Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.18, the guests - 1.34;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.52;
- both teams scored: overall - 23; at the home team's field - 14.
Statistics: Guadalajara Chivas vs Queretaro
- average total in the tournament: 2.81 vs 2.79;
- average total goals scored: 1.62 vs 1.11;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.9 vs 0.47;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.71 vs 0.63;
- Guadalajara Chivas: average total at home in the tournament - 1.91;
- Queretaro: average total away in the tournament - 0.9;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 2.4) vs 1.2 (away - 1.2).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 6 Guadalajara Chivas games against Queretaro (Liga MX).
Prediction on corners
Guadalajara Chivas: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.81; at home field - 5.64;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; at home field - 5.2.
Queretaro: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.26, away - 3.6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.3; away - 3.4.
- Queretaro have taken over 2.5 corners in 7 of last 8 away games against Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX).
- Queretaro have taken over 2.5 corners in 9 of last 10 away games.
- Queretaro have taken over 2.5 corners in 7 of last 8 away games (Liga MX).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 44;
- both teams scored all-time - 23 times;
- on the home team’s field - 14 times.
- Guadalajara Chivas have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games against Queretaro (Liga MX).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (19/188, 10.1%), 1:1 (19/188, 10.1%);
- Guadalajara Chivas at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 1:2 , 2:0 (2/11, 18.2%);
- Queretaro away most often play: 1:0 , 3:1 (2/10, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:0 - 11.7% (odds 6)
1:0 - 11.36% (odds 6.5)
2:1 - 9.88% (odds 9)
- Guadalajara Chivas drew 1:1 in 4 of last 5 home games against Queretaro (Liga MX).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
We anticipate a tight contest as Querétaro tend to adopt a defensive approach on the road, prioritizing the security of their own goal. Despite being the favorites, Guadalajara often struggle to convert opportunities against teams deploying a deep defensive block. Considering the pragmatic approach of both sides and the high probability of a midfield battle, the match is unlikely to thrill fans with a flurry of goals, making a bet on under 2.5 goals the most reasonable prediction.