Cusco vs Alianza Lima Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 October 2026
🔊 Back in April, Alianza Lima gave Cusco a nightmare of an afternoon, thrashing them 8-0. Six months on, the two sides meet again, but this time on Cusco's own ground. The hosts will surely not have forgotten that humiliation and will be looking to get revenge in front of their own fans.
The table adds extra interest. Cusco sit ninth in the Primera División with 18 points, while Alianza are just behind them on 16. The leaders are only four and six points away respectively, so a win for either side would bring them back into contention at the top.
Cusco are strong on home turf
Alianza Lima thrashed Cusco 8-0 in their most recent Primera División meeting. The score was already 4-0 at half-time. The hosts registered 13 shots on target in that match; the visitors had none. Date of the match: 19 April 2026.
📊 Across 35 official meetings, both sides have won 15 each, with 5 draws. The home-and-away split is stark: Cusco have not lost to Alianza Lima in 16 home matches, while Alianza Lima have never won away in this fixture.
Head-to-head statistics Cusco - Alianza Lima
Cusco have picked up 6 wins from their last 10 matches.
Cusco won their previous Primera División match away at UT de Cajamarca, 2-1. They scored both goals before half-time and held on despite being outshot 11-19 overall and 3-6 on target.
Cusco have been inconsistent but are picking up points regularly. Over 10 rounds of the Clausura, the team have won 6 and lost 4, with no draws. Their attack has been decent, averaging 1.9 goals per match, though the defence has not always held firm, conceding 1.4 per game.
Cusco are particularly dangerous at home. In their 5 home Clausura matches they have won 4, with 3 of those victories coming by a margin of at least 2 goals. Their only home slip came in their previous home match against Melgar, which they lost 1-2.
Match Results: Cusco
Alianza Lima: Solid at the Back, but Struggling to Secure Wins
At home, Alianza Lima beat Tarma 2-0 in their last Primera División match. The hosts had 67% possession and significantly outshot their opponents 21-8.
Alianza Lima have noticeably dropped off. In their last 5 league rounds, they have managed just 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats. The home loss in the derby against Universitario (1-2) was particularly painful, though the capital club did recover by beating Tarma 2-0.
Their defence remains a strong point. Across the season, the team concede an average of just 0.67 goals per match and score 1.63. Away from home, things are more difficult: all 4 of their away matches in the current Clausura have ended in draws. Alianza are capable of keeping opponents at bay, but converting territorial advantage into three points is something they manage far from consistently.
Match Results: Alianza Lima
Goals Prediction
Alianza Lima's away matches rarely produce many goals. In 13 of their last 15 away fixtures, no more than two goals were scored. The Lima club also concede an average of just 0.69 goals per away match this season.
Cusco are fairly solid defensively at home as well, conceding an identical 0.69 goals per match. Given both teams' numbers, it is hard to expect a high-scoring game, despite the hosts' attacking potential. Bet: Total Goals - Under 2.5 at 1.65*.
Corner Kick Prediction
Cusco earn corners at a healthy rate at home. In 7 of their last 8 home matches, they have won at least 4 corners. This trend has held regardless of results. The upcoming opponents are a serious side, but the hosts are confident enough on their own ground to regularly create pressure in the opposition's half. Our pick: Cusco Team Total Corners - Over 3.5 at 1.58*.Risky Bet
A draw is a risky but logical option: Alianza Lima have drawn in 6 of their last 7 away matches, and have also drawn 1-1 in three consecutive away head-to-head meetings. While Cusco are consistently solid at home, the high frequency of draws in the visitors' away record adds further weight to this scenario. The odds on a draw are 3.25.
Correct Score Prediction
The algorithm identifies 1-1 (13.21%), 1-0 (11.01%) and 0-0 (8.77%) as the most likely outcomes. A 1-1 draw is considered the most probable result, though a narrow Cusco win or a goalless draw are also quite possible.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Alianza Lima have already shown they can put Cusco to the sword, but a repeat of the April result is unlikely. Away from home, the capital club tend to be far more cautious, and the hosts rarely give opponents much room in front of goal. Both sides are also solid enough defensively to keep this from turning into an open game. Predicted score: 1-1. Main bet: Total Goals - Under 2.5.
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: Cusco - Alianza Lima
in 6 of last 7 away games.in last 5 away games (Primera Division)..svg)
in last 5 games (Primera Division).in 15 of last 17 games (Primera Division).in 9 of last 10 away games.in 16 of last 17 home games against Alianza Lima.in 15 of last 16 home games against Alianza Lima (Primera Division).in 8 of last 9 home games (Primera Division).in last 7 away games.Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
