AD Tarma vs UTC de Cajamarca Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 10 October 2026
🔊 Both Tarma and UT de Cajamarca come into this match after a difficult start to the Clausura. The hosts are stuck in 17th place in the Primera División and have picked up just 5 points from 10 rounds. The visitors sit 12th - well away from the leading group, so they can't feel entirely comfortable either.
Neither side has been particularly hard to score against recently. Tarma have had plenty of defensive problems, and UT de Cajamarca also concede regularly, though they are considerably more consistent at finding goals themselves. The two sides already drew 2-2 in the spring, so there are grounds to expect another open exchange.
The only head-to-head meeting ended in a draw.
📊 The two clubs have met only once before. That match took place in April this year at the UT de Cajamarca ground and ended 2-2.
Head-to-head statistics AD Tarma - UTC de Cajamarca
Tarma have slipped down to the lower end of the table.
The hosts have been in poor form recently, with four defeats and one win from their last five league matches. In that run, Tarma scored just three goals and conceded nine. The away trips to Melgar and Alianza Lima were particularly painful, with the team failing to score on both occasions.
Over the course of the season, Tarma are averaging around 1.07 goals scored per match and approximately 1.56 conceded. Their home figures are slightly better - 1.36 scored and 1.21 conceded - but consistency has still been lacking. In 7 of their last 8 home matches, no more than three goals were scored.
Match Results: AD Tarma
Universidad Técnica de Cajamarca play with more flair, but their defense often lets them down.
UT de Cajamarca are far from ideal form either, though their matches tend to produce goals far more often. In the Clausura they have already scored 18 goals in 10 rounds, but conceded 24 - more than two per game.
Over a longer stretch, the visitors average around 1.5 goals scored per match, and in recent rounds that figure has risen to 1.8. Defence remains their main problem: in recent matches the club have regularly conceded two or three goals, and in seven consecutive away matches the total goals have reached at least three.
Match Results: UTC de Cajamarca
Match Result Prediction
UT de Cajamarca have not lost by more than one goal in any of their last eight away matches. Tarma, meanwhile, have won just one of their last 12 league matches and remain second-bottom in the Clausura table. The hosts can make use of home advantage, but a comfortable win looks too much to expect right now. Bet: UT de Cajamarca - Handicap +1 at 1.62*.
Goals Prediction
The visitors have noticeably more attacking potential than their league position might suggest. UT de Cajamarca have scored 18 goals in 10 Clausura rounds, while Tarma have conceded 21. The hosts themselves average 1.36 goals per home match. The first meeting of the season adds further confidence: back in April the two sides drew 2-2, with both teams finding their moments. Given the current defensive problems on both sides, another exchange of goals looks quite realistic. Our pick: Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.65.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes are 1-1 (10.79%), 1-2 (9.31%) and 1-0 (8.74%). The highest probability belongs to the 1-1 draw, though the difference between these options is minimal. This suggests that the chances of a narrow away win or a draw are almost equal.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
UT de Cajamarca are going through a very open spell: they score plenty but concede even more, and their matches regularly produce more than two goals. Tarma are also hard to call reliable at the back - 21 goals conceded in 10 rounds of the Clausura - though at home they are capable of getting at least one on the board themselves. Their meeting earlier this year already ended with four goals, and the current defensive form of both sides points towards another high-scoring game. Predicted score: 1-2. Editorial prediction: Total Goals - Over 2.5.
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Betting Tips: AD Tarma - UTC de Cajamarca
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