Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 October 2026
🔊 UTC de Cajamarca continue to slide towards the bottom of the Peruvian Primera División. The hosts have lost five matches in a row and sit bottom of the Clausura table with 2 points from 10 rounds. They now face a visit from Sporting Cristal, who are third and just 3 points off the top.
Head-to-head stats favour Sporting
Sporting Cristal beat UTC de Cajamarca 3-2 in a Primera División match on 19 April 2026, despite the opponents having more shots - 16 to 10. UTC de Cajamarca also had the edge in shots on target: 5 to 4.
📊 Sporting Cristal have a clear edge over UTC de Cajamarca in their head-to-head record: 15 wins to 3, with 10 draws from 28 official meetings. Even on UTC de Cajamarca's own ground, the visitors have come out on top more often - six wins to three.
Head-to-head statistics Cajamarca - Sporting Cristal
UT Cajamarca: five straight defeats
UTC de Cajamarca lost their previous Primera División match away to Sport Huancayo, going down 3-2. Their opponents created a far greater volume of shots - 22 to 11 - but UTC de Cajamarca still managed to score twice.
The Clausura has been a nightmare for UTC. Ten rounds in, they have yet to win - just two draws and eight defeats. The defence has been particularly poor, conceding 24 goals at an average of 2.4 per game. Attack has been little better, with only 11 goals scored over the same stretch. The overall picture for the season is no brighter: across 27 matches, UTC have won just four times against 15 defeats, leaving them bottom of the overall table.
Match Results: UTC de Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal are on a five-match winning streak, having scored 16 goals along the way.
Sporting Cristal's last match was a 5-0 home thrashing of Tarma in the Copa de la Liga, with the score standing at 2-0 at half-time.
Sporting Cristal have won five matches in a row - three in the Clausura and two in the Copa Liga against Tarma. Over that run they scored 16 goals and conceded just two. Across their last ten matches the record is also strong: seven wins, one draw and two defeats. They are averaging 2.6 goals per game while conceding just 0.9. Sporting Cristal have built up momentum and have a good opportunity to keep up their pursuit of the league leaders.
Match Results: Sporting Cristal
Prediction for the 1st half
In six of their last seven head-to-head meetings in Cajamarca, Sporting Cristal have scored at least one goal before half-time. UTC have enough defensive problems even at home - they concede an average of 1.38 goals per home match this season. Against a side in excellent attacking form, the chances of another difficult start look considerably higher. Bet: Sporting Cristal Team Total - Over 0.5 Goals in the 1st Half at 1.78*.
Total Goals Prediction
Despite Sporting Cristal's potent attack, their away matches rarely turn into high-scoring affairs. In 8 of their last 9 away games, no more than three goals were scored. On the road, the team have averaged 1.14 goals per match. UTC at home are no more prolific - just 1.08 goals scored per game. Even accounting for the hosts' defensive problems, there is no reason for the visitors to get involved in a shootout. Our pick: Total Goals - Under 3 at 1.65*.
Corners Prediction
Sporting Cristal matches regularly feature high corner activity. Before their most recent cup fixture, eight consecutive games had produced at least 10 corners, with no fewer than 11 in each of the last six. Their recent win over Tarma was an exception, however - just 6 corners combined. The head-to-head record against UTC adds further weight: across 11 consecutive meetings, the two sides have combined for at least 8 corners. We're backing Total Corners - Over 9.5 at 1.71*.
The Safe Bet
The head-to-head record clearly favours Sporting Cristal: UTC have failed to beat the Lima club in 10 of their last 11 meetings. The current season offers the hosts little encouragement either - just 2 home wins from 13 games. The visitors, by contrast, have been picking up points on the road regularly, going unbeaten in 11 of their last 12 away league matches. We're backing Sporting not to lose at 1.29*.
Correct Score Prediction
The algorithm identifies three most likely correct scores for this match: 1-1 (11.41%), 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-1 (9.33%). The 1-1 result has the highest probability among them, though the gap between the leading options is minimal. This suggests the two sides are fairly evenly matched and the match is likely to be a tight one.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
UTC are in deep crisis. Sporting Cristal look the stronger side, are converting their chances with confidence, and are well aware of what another win means in the title race. Even away from home, the visitors are capable of taking all three points without too much trouble. Predicted score: 0-1. Main bet: Sporting Cristal to win.
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: UTC de Cajamarca - Sporting Cristal
in last 6 games (Primera Division)..svg)
in 11 of last 12 away games (Primera Division).
in 10 of last 11 games against Sporting Cristal (Primera Division).in last 21 games (Primera Division).in last 11 home games (Primera Division).in last 10 games.in last 5 home games.in 8 of last 9 away games against UTC de Cajamarca (Primera Division).in last 24 away games.in last 15 away games (Primera Division).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
