Sport Boys vs Alianza Atletico Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 October 2026
🔊 Sport Boys have barely had time to recover from a cup nightmare, and Alianza Atlético are back on their doorstep. Over the last two weeks, the visitors beat their opponents twice in the Copa Liga semi-finals - 5-2 and 3-0. Now the two sides meet in the league, where the hosts will have a chance to get revenge. In the Primera División, the teams are separated by just one point: Alianza sit fourth with 19, while Sport Boys are eighth with 18.
A nearly even head-to-head record
The most recent head-to-head meeting between the two sides, in the Copa de la Liga on 06 October 2026, ended in a 3-0 home win for Alianza Atlético over Sport Boys. Sport Boys had the greater share of possession (57%) and more shots on target (4-2).
📊 Across 12 official meetings, Alianza Atlético have a slight edge: 6 wins to Sport Boys' 5, with one draw. At Sport Boys' ground, the visitors have yet to lose - three wins and a draw.
Head-to-head statistics Sport Boys - Alianza Atletico
Sport Boys: Home Advantage Not Enough to Prevent Cup Exit
Sport Boys lost their last Copa de la Liga match away to Alianza Atlético, going down 3-0. The defeat came despite having the better of the possession (57%) and shots on target (4-2).
Sport Boys have been performing reasonably well in the league, though recent cup disappointments have taken the shine off things. Across their last 10 official matches, they have won four, drawn three and lost three. Their average over that run is 1.5 goals scored per game, while they have been conceding slightly more - 1.6 per game.
In the Clausura, Sport Boys have been a fairly solid side at home. They have already beaten Sporting Cristal and Deportivo Garcilaso, and thrashed Cienciano. In the Copa de la Liga, however, their usual defensive reliability has been nowhere to be seen.
Match Results: Sport Boys
Alianza Atlético have claimed 8 wins in their last 10 matches.
Alianza Atlético's previous Copa de la Liga match ended in a 3-0 home win over Sport Boys. They managed those three goals from just four shots on target.
In their last five official matches, Alianza Atlético have won four and lost just one, with three consecutive wins going into this fixture. Across their last ten matches, they have won eight, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
The Copa de la Liga has been particularly kind to them. After two heavy wins over Sport Boys, the club from Sullana reached the final, where they will face Sporting Cristal. But there is no room to ease off in the league: they trail the Clausura leaders by just three points. Alianza Atlético have shown they know how to break down their next opponents' defence. The task now is to carry that cup form into the Primera match.
Match Results: Alianza Atletico
Prediction for the 1st half
Alianza Atlético are not always reliable at the start of matches. In 6 of their last 7 games, they have conceded at least one goal before half-time. The first cup match against Sport Boys is particularly telling: 5 goals were scored in just 45 minutes, 2 of them by the hosts.
Sport Boys have averaged two goals per game in their last 10 home matches. After recent heavy defeats, they will likely look to make an aggressive start in front of their own supporters. The bet: Sport Boys Team Total - Over 0.5 Goals in the 1st Half at 1.83*.
Goals Prediction
Alianza Atlético's attack has been working almost without interruption: the team have scored in 18 consecutive matches. Both sides found the net in 10 of their last 11 meetings involving Alianza Atlético. The visitors create chances regularly but also give opponents plenty of opportunities. Sport Boys also know how to exploit defensive errors, particularly at home. The September cup meeting showed that the hosts are capable of scoring against Alianza even in a losing effort. Our pick: Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.75*.
The Reliable Bet
Alianza Atlético matches rarely pass without several goals. In 14 of their last 15 matches, both sides have combined to score at least twice. Sport Boys are also capable of contributing to an open, high-scoring game, and their recent cup meetings only back this up. We're taking Total Goals - Over 1.5 at 1.29*.
Correct Score Prediction
Statistics and probability analysis suggest the most likely scorelines in this match are 1-1 (12.17%), 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.29%). A 1-1 draw has the best probability, though a narrow home win is also considered one of the main scenarios.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The cup thrashings have surely stung Sport Boys, so another meeting with Alianza gives them a chance to hit back. At home, they are capable of playing with far more bite than they showed in their last away match. But stopping the visitors' attack, which has rarely misfired, will not be easy. Alianza know how to punish mistakes and are far from watertight at the back themselves. Predicted score: 1-1. Main bet: Both Teams to Score - Yes.
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Betting Tips: Sport Boys - Alianza Atletico
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