Chelsea vs Everton Prediction 26 April 2025
🔊 Can Chelsea make their way back into the Champions League spots by the end of the 34th round of the English Premier League? To achieve this, they need at least a win against Everton at Stamford Bridge and hope for a slip-up from Newcastle or Nottingham Forest. Everton have no significant standings objectives at the moment. However, David Moyes is laying the groundwork for next season, so his team certainly won't just be going through the motions on the field. In this scenario, we'll explore various options to make a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Chelsea and Everton:
- 43 matches played;
- home team victories - 19, away team wins - 11, draws - 13;
- goals scored - 66 against 43;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.98, in the 2nd half - 1.56;
- average total goals per match - 2.53.
The last game took place on 22 December 2024 at Everton's ground and ended in a 0-0 draw.
Head-to-head statistics Chelsea - Everton
Chelsea Team Overview
🔵 Chelsea have already dropped points twice in April. They've had a packed schedule but haven't faced any truly formidable opponents. Nevertheless, the Blues settled for a goalless draw against Brentford (0-0). They also shared the spoils with Ipswich (2-2), despite trailing by two goals at halftime.
🔗 Chelsea suffered a defeat at Stamford Bridge to Legia in the Conference League (1-2). Fortunately, they had secured a three-goal advantage in the away leg. Otherwise, the tournament's main favorites would have been knocked out in the quarterfinals. In the next round, they were fortunate with the draw and will face Djurgården.
📌 Last weekend, the Blues were close to another slip-up. They conceded to Fulham as early as the 20th minute. However, they not only equalized but also clinched a victory in stoppage time. Despite this win, they remain in sixth place in the league standings.
📣 Chelsea's head coach Enzo Maresca believes his team deserved the victory over Fulham: “We started well in the first 20 minutes, but unfortunately conceded, which is tough for players in a match we needed to win. It became more challenging, but we made certain tactical adjustments in the second half, which was much better.”
❌ Wesley Fofana and Marc Guehi remain sidelined for Chelsea, both being part of the squad rotation. Malo Gusto came on as a substitute after halftime in the last match but was forced off again later on, putting his participation in the upcoming fixture in doubt.
Match Results: Chelsea
Everton Team Overview
🔵 Under David Moyes, Everton have been on an unbeaten run, but victories have been elusive. It's worth noting that nearly two months passed between their wins over Crystal Palace (2-1) and Nottingham Forest (1-0), with both triumphs coming late in the game. Against Forest, the winning goal came in stoppage time.
🔗 However, Everton failed to build on this momentum. In their last outing, they defended resolutely against Manchester City for 83 minutes. Moyes' side stepped up in the second half, but it would be a stretch to say they deserved a goal. Meanwhile, City managed to score again in stoppage time.
📣 After drawing with Liverpool and Arsenal at Goodison Park, David Moyes had higher expectations against City: “The substitutes didn't manage to change the course of the game when we needed it. So yes, it's a bit disappointing. But overall, the players were fantastic, and I can't complain. We are disappointed with the defeat to Manchester City. That says a lot.”
❌ James Tarkowski suffered an injury against City and was substituted early in the second half. The extent of his injury is unclear, putting his participation in the upcoming match in doubt. Calvert-Lewin, Mangala, and Lindstrøm remain sidelined.
Match Results: Everton
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 43;
- home team wins - 19, away team wins - 11, draws - 13.
Statistics: Chelsea vs Everton
- number of matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- number of wins: 16 vs 8;
- win percentage: 48% vs 24%;
- number of losses: 8 vs 11;
- number of draws: 9 vs 14.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 6 vs 2;
- number of losses: 2 vs 2;
- number of draws: 2 vs 6.
- Everton won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 games against Chelsea (Premier League).
- Everton won with a +1.5 handicap in 14 of last 15 games (Premier League).
- Everton won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.53, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.53;
- both teams scored: overall - 19; at the home team's field - 12.
Statistics: Chelsea vs Everton
- average total in the tournament: 2.97 vs 2.24;
- average total goals scored: 1.76 vs 1.03;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.82 vs 0.61;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.94 vs 0.42;
- Chelsea: average total at home in the tournament - 1.88;
- Everton: average total away in the tournament - 0.75;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.2) vs 1.1 (away - 1).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in last 7 Everton games (Premier League).
Prediction on corners
Chelsea: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.12; at home field - 6.44;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; at home field - 6.8.
Everton: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.18, away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; away - 4.8.
- Everton have taken under 4.5 corners in 7 of last 8 games against Chelsea (Premier League).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.44 (1.72 for home team and 1.72 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.71 (1.38 for home team and 2.33 for away team).
Chelsea: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.64; at home - 2.69;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.3; at home - 2.4.
Everton: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.7, away - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2; away - 1.8.
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in 6 of last 7 Chelsea home games.
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in last 5 Chelsea games.
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in last 9 Everton games (Premier League).
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in last 5 Everton away games (Premier League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 43;
- both teams scored all-time - 19 times;
- on the home team’s field - 12 times.
Statistics: Chelsea vs Everton
- number of matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 21 vs 14;
- number of BTTS matches for Chelsea at home - 11 (69%);
- number of BTTS matches for Everton away - 6 (38%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Chelsea at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Everton away - 3 (60%).
Editorial Prediction
The clash between Chelsea and Everton promises to be a tactical battle between teams with contrasting styles of play. Chelsea will aim to dominate possession and create chances through positional attacks, while Everton will focus on solid defense and quick counter-attacks. Considering both teams' current form, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems to be the most reasonable prediction. This outcome has occurred in Everton's last seven consecutive matches, as well as in seven of the last nine head-to-head encounters between the two sides.
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Betting Tips: Chelsea - Everton
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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