Chelsea vs Everton Prediction 13 December 2025
🔊 Can Chelsea hold onto their top-five Premier League spot after facing Everton? This Saturday, the Toffees head to Stamford Bridge aiming to extend the Blues' winless streak, which has now reached four matches. Meanwhile, the Merseysiders are in much better form, boasting two consecutive victories and four wins in their last five outings. They currently sit seventh in the standings, trailing Chelsea by just a single point. Are the visitors capable of knocking the London club out of the European qualification zone? We assess both teams' chances in our prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 Everton have failed to defeat Chelsea in their last three head-to-head encounters. However, over a span of 10 games, the Londoners' dominance is quite slim: four wins compared to three for the Merseysiders. During this period, there have also been three draws. Notably, in 8 out of the last 10 meetings, the total goals did not exceed 2.5.
Head-to-head statistics Chelsea - Everton
Chelsea Team Overview
Enzo Maresca's team has been struggling lately. Chelsea's winless streak has now extended to four matches, three of which are in the Premier League. The Blues started the week on a positive note during the intense schedule of three matches in a week in England, securing a 1-1 draw against Arsenal despite being down to ten men. However, they then faced two away games: against Leeds (1-3) and Bournemouth (0-0). The Londoners dominated possession, averaging 66%, but it was ineffective as the hosts outperformed the Pensioners in expected goals.
Chelsea's unfortunate run continued in the Champions League. In the sixth round, they faced their third consecutive away game in Bergamo against Atalanta. The Blues' territorial dominance was nowhere to be seen, with possession almost evenly split (51% to 49% in favor of the visitors). Offensively, Chelsea remained lackluster, managing 10 shots with an xG of 1.23, while the hosts took 13 shots with an xG of 2.22. This was reflected in the final scoreline, with Atalanta winning 2-1.
Match Results: Chelsea
Everton Team Overview
The Toffees are on the brink of breaking into the Premier League's top five for the second time this season. After 15 rounds, David Moyes' squad have found their rhythm, sitting in seventh place with four wins from their last five matches. Impressively, the Merseyside club have earned points not just against lower-table teams. During this stretch, Everton secured victories over Bournemouth (1-0) and Manchester United (1-0), both away from home.
In the 15th round, Everton finally returned to Hill Dickinson, where they hosted Nottingham Forest. The final score slightly belies the match's narrative. The hosts often played on the counter, ceding 58% possession to the Forest side. Nonetheless, the Toffees attacked more frequently and effectively (11 shots with an xG value of 1.23 compared to 7 shots with 0.61 xG). Everton's finishing was exceptional this time around, resulting in a 3-0 victory after 90 minutes.
Match Results: Everton
Latest news
Chelsea
🎙 Chelsea's head coach reflected on his team's performance following their defeat to Atalanta in the 6th round of the Champions League. "In the first half, we were in control. After conceding the first goal, we lost a bit of our grip on the match. Playing every two days probably takes its toll. We just want to start winning as soon as possible. We tried to play aggressively, but after conceding and the score became 1-1, the game's dynamics shifted a bit," said Enzo Maresca.
❌ Chelsea's injury list remains largely unchanged, with a few exceptions. The usual names include Dario Essugo, Levi Colwill, and Romeo Lavia. Liam Delap has often been part of this list. Just a month ago, he recovered from a hamstring injury, but in the 15th round of the Premier League, he suffered a new setback with a shoulder issue. Moises Caicedo's participation in the upcoming game is doubtful after he sustained a facial cut from a boot during the match against Atalanta.
Everton
🎙 Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall is set to face his former team for the first time since his summer switch to Everton. The midfielder shared his thoughts ahead of the clash with his ex-club: “It gives me a slight edge. I know more about them than our lads do, I'm aware of their weaknesses because I trained with them every day and all that, but every football match is unique. I'm confident I'll be in the game from the first minute, no matter who I'm up against, and I hope it will be a positive experience.”
❌ Due to injuries, Seamus Coleman, Jarrad Branthwaite, and Merlin Röhl will miss the upcoming match. However, Idrissa Gueye and Tim Iroegbunam are set to return to the squad after serving suspensions for a red card and accumulation of yellow cards, respectively.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for the match is Thomas Bramall. His average for yellow cards over the last 20 Premier League matches stands at 3.6. Both teams' matches have not been overly aggressive. In Everton's last five games, there has been an average of 3.8 yellow cards, while Chelsea's matches have seen just 2.6. The stakes are high in this upcoming clash with a top-five Premier League spot on the line, so the intensity is likely to rise. Notably, in 5 of the last 6 head-to-head encounters, the total surpassed 3.5 yellow cards. There are attractive odds for a higher number of fouls. We suggest taking under 4.5 total yellow cards.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Everton have only scored more than once on the road this season, against a struggling Wolverhampton. On average, the Toffees score one goal every seven away Premier League matches. Chelsea, for their part, haven't been much more prolific at Stamford Bridge, averaging 1.25 goals per game. Recent head-to-heads between these teams have been low-scoring affairs: in 8 of the last 10 meetings, the total goals didn't exceed 2.5. Everton's recent away successes have come through pragmatic play, and Chelsea's current form raises questions. We don't expect a blowout from either side on Saturday. Our prediction: under 2.5 total goals.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Everton's main formation is 4-2-3-1, which David Moyes primarily uses to play defensively. There's little doubt that against a team like Chelsea, the Toffees will play reactively. However, even counter-attacks offer the Merseyside team enough opportunities near the opponent's goal, including from set-pieces. In 4 of their last 5 matches, they earned at least five corners. The over for this component for the visitors in the upcoming match is surprisingly low. Therefore, we suggest betting on Everton over 3.5 total corners.
Editorial Prediction
Chelsea have been alternating between draws and losses recently, a pattern that's persisted for four matches now. After their Champions League defeat to Atalanta, it seems reasonable to expect another draw in the Premier League for the Blues. Despite their squad depth, Enzo Maresca consistently relies on the same key players-Enzo Fernandez, Moises Caicedo, Pedro Neto, and Marc Cucurella-who have performed well over time but occasionally appear fatigued.
Everton are in impressive form in the Premier League, boasting four wins and just one loss in their last five outings. However, their performances at Stamford Bridge are less convincing; the Toffees last celebrated a victory in London back in 2011, and that was via penalties in the FA Cup. Since then, the Blues have remained unbeaten at home for 15 matches straight. While David Moyes has done commendable work with Everton, we see a hard-fought Chelsea victory as the most likely outcome of this encounter, with a predicted scoreline of 1-0 in favor of the hosts.
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Betting Tips: Chelsea - Everton
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