Everton vs Chelsea Prediction 21 March 2026
🔊 Will Chelsea break their losing streak? On Saturday at Hill Dickinson, Liam Rosenior's side face Everton, who trail them by just five points and have their sights set on European competition. The London club are in the midst of a full-blown crisis, having suffered three consecutive defeats, yet they remain favorites. However, their away record against the Toffees is far from impressive. We'll delve into this further in the next section of our prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 Chelsea have struggled against Everton on the road, failing to secure a win in 7 of their last 8 Premier League encounters, with five of those resulting in defeats. However, they are yet to visit "Hill Dickinson." Perhaps it's the legendary "Goodison" magic at play? The first-leg match at Stamford Bridge back in December saw the hosts claim a 2-0 victory. Malo Gusto was the standout performer, scoring a goal and providing an assist.
Head-to-head statistics Everton - Chelsea
Everton Team Overview
David Moyes' side currently sit in eighth place with 43 points, keeping them in contention for European qualification. In the previous round, despite a 2-0 defeat, the Toffees put on an impressive display at the Emirates, holding Arsenal scoreless until the 89th minute. This was achieved even without their two main center-backs. Nevertheless, it marks their first away defeat in three months.
However, their home form has been disastrous: Everton have failed to win in 6 of their last 7 Premier League home matches. Additionally, they have conceded in 7 of their last 8 home games. The exception was a convincing 2-0 victory over Burnley. However, this result is not particularly telling as the Clarets are among the main candidates for relegation to the Championship.
Match Results: Everton
Chelsea Team Overview
The "Blues" are in a deep crisis. Liam Rosenior's side have suffered three consecutive defeats across all competitions and were knocked out of the Champions League with an embarrassing 8-2 aggregate loss to PSG. In the second leg, the Londoners managed an xG of 1.6 and fought until the end, despite the scoreboard and a challenging injury situation.
In the Premier League, Chelsea have slipped to sixth place, holding 48 points. There's some reassurance in the fact that under Liam Rosenior, the Londoners have won three out of four away league matches, losing only to Arsenal (1-2), and not without putting up a fight. However, their victory over Aston Villa (4-1) in Birmingham stands as their sole win in the last five rounds. At this pace, there's a significant risk of missing out on the Champions League.
Match Results: Chelsea
Latest news
Everton
🎙 Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, one of Everton's standout players this season, spoke about the impact David Moyes has had on him: “I feel like he has instilled confidence in me and given me the belief in my abilities. This helps me perform both in attack and defense.”
❌ Everton will be without long-term absentees Jack Grealish and Carlos Alcaraz. There are doubts over the availability of key central defenders James Tarkowski and Jarrad Branthwaite, who missed the game against Arsenal. Additionally, loanee Tyreek George will not play against his parent club Chelsea.
Chelsea
🎙 Liam Rosenior reflected on the heavy defeat to PSG: “It was a tough night. We knew it would be challenging, and we started the match with that in mind. We had possession in the final third, but at this level, mistakes are costly. We controlled the ball in their box, and then Barcola struck from mid-range into the top corner. Their confidence immediately soared. PSG were more composed. The third goal came from a rebound, another shot into the top corner. I haven't checked the stats yet, but we had plenty of shots. The difference was that PSG made no mistakes. I want to thank the fans. They saw how hard the lads worked.”
❌ The squad situation is tricky. Out of action are Philip Jorgensen (groin), Levi Colwill (ACL), Trevoh Chalobah (ankle), and captain Reece James (knee), leaving the defense to very young and inexperienced players. Jamie Gittens is doubtful, and Mykhailo Mudryk remains suspended.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
Samuel Barrott has notably softened his refereeing style. In 18 Premier League matches, he has shown 65 yellow cards, averaging 3.6 per game. However, in his last five games, Barrott's average is among the lowest in the league at just 2.8. In the last two head-to-head meetings between Everton and Chelsea, only one yellow card was shown. Despite Chelsea averaging 2.67 cautions per away match, Barrott's refereeing style and the history of this fixture suggest a low card count. We opt for under 4.5 yellow cards.
⚽ Goal Prediction
Liam Rosenior's side are far from their best, so the match at "Hill Dickinson" won't be easy. Especially considering that Chelsea have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in their last eight Premier League games at Everton's ground. This trend is too significant to ignore, particularly given Chelsea's current struggles.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Everton average 5.47 corners per home game, while Chelsea average 5.2 on the road. Given that both teams might play cautiously in the first half and open up in the second, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems promising. This bet has come through in 7 of the last 8 Premier League meetings between these sides.
🚀 Player Stat Bet
João Pedro is Chelsea's top scorer this season, with 21 goals across all competitions and 14 in 30 Premier League matches, none from penalties. He's nearing the 20-goal mark for the season-a feat not seen from a Blues striker since Diego Costa (2016/17). Pedro scores just as frequently away as he does at home, with 7 of his 14 goals coming in away matches. Against an Everton defense dealing with injuries, Pedro is likely to get opportunities. The odds for João Pedro to score are 2.40*.
😱 Risky Bet
Chelsea have lost three consecutive matches and are clearly in a slump. Additionally, they struggle on the road against Everton-a trend that's persisted for years. With Everton fresh from a week's preparation and Chelsea dealing with squad issues, an upset could be on the cards. A bet on Everton to win, with odds starting at 3.60*, could be worth considering.
👀 If the Match Doesn't Go as Planned
If the first half ends in a draw, even at 1-1, both teams might play more cautiously in the second half to secure points. In such a scenario, consider live betting on under 2.5 goals, which has occurred in the last five head-to-head meetings between Everton and Chelsea in Merseyside.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
Editor's Prediction
Everton have struggled at home this season, but Chelsea find themselves in an even tougher spot. The visitors' defense, comprised of young and inexperienced players, is vulnerable, while the hosts also concede regularly and are dealing with a squad shortage. Historical head-to-head stats suggest there won't be an exchange of goals, but given the current circumstances, we believe it's inevitable. Our primary bet is on both teams to score (yes), which has been profitable in 7 out of Chelsea's last 8 Premier League matches. The anticipated outcome is a 1-1 draw.
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Betting Tips: Everton - Chelsea
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