Everton vs Chelsea Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 October 2026
🔊 The meeting between Everton and Chelsea opens the seventh round of the English Premier League. Both sides go into the match sitting in the top six after six rounds played. Chelsea's matches have been high-scoring affairs this season - the average number of goals per game involving the Londoners stands at 4.66. Everton are far less active in attack but considerably more solid defensively; the Toffees are conceding fewer than one goal per game, though their scoring rate is equally low. The main interest in this fixture centres on both clubs' battle for the highest possible positions and closing the gap on the league leaders.
🔁 We will update this prediction as new information about the teams becomes available. Check back just before kick-off so you don't miss any important changes.
Traditionally, the home side enjoys the advantage.
📊 The two most recent head-to-head meetings took place last season in the Premier League. Both sides won at home. In the first leg, the London side took all three points, beating the visitors from Liverpool 2-0, while the match at Everton's ground brought their fans a convincing 3-0 win over the Blues.
Head-to-head statistics Everton - Chelsea
Everton are on an unbeaten run
It has been a genuinely flawless start to the season for the Toffees. The Liverpool club are unbeaten in both the league and cup. David Moyes's side have come through several tough tests along the way, against Bournemouth, Manchester United and Tottenham, drawing all three matches. The game against the Red Devils was remarkable: Manchester United scored on the 88th minute to go ahead, but Everton regrouped and equalised in stoppage time.
In the League Cup, the Toffees have already come through two rounds, knocking out two Championship sides - Preston and Wolverhampton. The Invincibles' nickname did them no good as Everton thrashed them 4-0, while the Wolves made it a contest but failed to score, and the Scousers progressed to the next round with a 1-0 win. Last weekend brought a tough away trip for Moyes's men, to Hull City. That match against the Tigers ended in an eventful draw, 2-2. The tendency towards drawn results could work in the hosts' favour in this match.
Match Results: Everton
Chelsea: an open, attacking style of play
Chelsea are spending this season without European football, which allows the club to focus on all domestic competitions and push for a high league finish. A high-scoring approach has been a defining feature of their start to the season. They are creating and converting a lot of chances, while also conceding dangerous opportunities at the other end. Across their eight matches in all competitions so far, Chelsea have scored 23 goals and conceded 16.
Chelsea have been inconsistent in their recent matches. Over their last three league fixtures, Xabi Alonso's side were heavily beaten by Brentford 0-3, then thrashed Bournemouth 5-1, before drawing 2-2 with Hull City. Chelsea's style involves aggressive attacking football with defenders actively contributing going forward. The attacking potential of the squad and the form of their forwards suggest they should continue to convert the chances they create.
Match Results: Chelsea
Latest news
Everton
❌ Mykolenko will miss Sunday's match, having failed to recover from the injury he picked up during Ukraine's win over Hungary. The defender returned early from international duty and his participation was in doubt, but the extra time has not been enough for him to recover.
Chelsea
❌ According to manager Xabi Alonso, Jamie Gittens will not be available for Saturday's Premier League match against Bournemouth and is expected to remain sidelined for several weeks due to injury. Emmanuel Emegha has been out since pre-season with a hamstring injury and will have to wait for his competitive debut for Chelsea.
❓ Following another recurrence of his injury, James has no confirmed return date and his participation in the match is in doubt.
Predicted Lineups
📋 Everton predicted starting XI: Pickford - Maitland-Niles, Tarkowski, Branthwaite, Keane - Garner, Armstrong, Dewsbury-Hall - Johnson, Grealish, Barry.
📋 Chelsea predicted starting XI: Martínez - Lacroix, Colwill, Acheampong - Neto, Caicedo, Henderson, Chavarría - Rogers, Palmer - Pedro.
⚽ Goals Prediction
The away side have been notable for both scoring and conceding at a high rate early in the season. Xabi Alonso's team's ability to find the net regularly suggests they should score against Everton today. Everton are on an unbeaten run and have been consistently finding the net at home, scoring five goals in three home matches. The home side will probably score as well, given their attacking consistency and the open style of their opponents. The prediction is Both Teams to Score - Yes, priced at 1.6*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
The London club play a dominant style built around active use of quick wide players. Everton's defence, under pressure from Chelsea's technical wingers, will prefer to play it safe and clear their lines at every opportunity. Given the visitors' attacking approach and Everton's ability to win set-pieces at home, we're backing Total Corners - Over 8.5, priced at 1.42*.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
David Moyes's side go into this match in remarkable disciplinary form. By matchweek 7, Everton had committed fewer fouls than any other Premier League team. They defend through structure and positional interceptions, with almost no crude tactical fouls. In the spring meeting between these two sides, Everton players received no cards in a 3-0 win over Chelsea. The prediction is Everton Team Total Yellow Cards - Under 2.5.
🚀 Player Statistics Bet
Morgan Rogers is an attacking midfielder at Chelsea. He and Cole Palmer form the partnership responsible for creating and converting the team's chances. Last matchday Rogers scored against Bournemouth, and during the international break he scored against Croatia and provided an assist against Czechia. We're backing Rogers to Score or Assist, priced at 2.05*.
😱 Risky Bet
For those looking for a higher-odds option, we've put together the following selection. The visitors' open style of play and the hosts' ability to give any opponent a game make an exchange of goals and a high-scoring match quite likely. Everton tend to succeed by holding a result, while Chelsea do so by outscoring their opponents without worrying about conceding a few. The risky bet is Chelsea not to lose + Total Goals - Over 3.5, priced at 3.6*.
🎯 Reliable Bet
Every Chelsea match this season has gone over 1.5 goals. Xabi Alonso's side have scored in all of their games except the Brentford match, where they conceded three. In three Premier League matches, the Blues have scored at least three goals. Everton have gone over 1.5 goals in four league rounds. These trends suggest that at least two goals in this match is what to expect. The reliable bet is Total Goals - Over 1.5, priced at 1.22*.
👀 If the match doesn't go to plan
If Everton are set up to avoid a goal-fest, a scenario where both sides manage no more than a couple of goals between them looks quite plausible. The head-to-head record points to a tendency for low-scoring matches between these two. An alternative bet is Total Goals - Under 2.5, priced at 2.2*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
Since we expect both sides to find the net, it makes sense to look at a bet that follows from that and carries slightly better odds. Chelsea's play at the start of this season has involved plenty of goalscoring opportunities, and Everton are happy to contribute goals against an opponent's attacking style, as they showed in matches against Manchester United and Hull City. The visitors' weak defence should help the Toffees create several dangerous chances in front of goal. The main prediction is Total Goals - Over 2.5. Predicted score: 2-2.
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Betting Tips: Everton - Chelsea
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