Stuttgart vs Mainz Prediction
🔊 The eighth round of the Bundesliga wraps up at the "MHP Arena," where Stuttgart host Mainz. In the league, the teams have experienced starkly contrasting fortunes: the hosts are on a four-game winning streak, while the visitors have suffered four consecutive losses. On the European stage, however, the roles reverse, with the Swabians enduring two defeats and the 05ers securing two victories. Bookmakers give the hosts more than double the advantage, yet it's worth recalling that last season's encounter here ended in a thrilling 3-3 draw. What can we expect from this match? Let's delve into the prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 In their last 35 encounters, Stuttgart have claimed victory 15 times, while Mainz have won 11, with 9 matches ending in a draw. Last season at the "MHP Arena," the teams delivered a thrilling goal fest, finishing 3-3. In the return fixture at the "Mewa Arena," Mainz emerged victorious with a 2-0 win.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Stuttgart Team Overview
⚪ The "Swabians" recently traveled to Wolfsburg, a team that hasn't won at home since January 2025. Stuttgart capitalized on this, delivering a commanding 3-0 victory. Sebastian Hoeneß's squad dominated the match. Tiago Tomas scored against his former team in the first half, while Maximilian Mittelstädt and Angelo Stiller added to the tally after the break. This marked their fifth win of the season and fourth consecutive triumph. After seven rounds, Stuttgart sit in third place, trailing Leipzig by one point and league leaders Bayern by six.
🔴 Following their domestic success, Stuttgart headed to Turkey to face Fenerbahce in the third round of the Europa League. This time, the Swabians suffered a narrow defeat, conceding the only goal of the game from a penalty in the first half (0-1). It was their second consecutive loss in the tournament, having previously fallen to Basel in Switzerland (0-2). After three group stage matches, Stuttgart are positioned 29th with three points.
Match Results: Stuttgart
Mainz Team Overview
⚪ The "Nullfünfer" suffered their fourth consecutive defeat in the league, losing to Bayer Leverkusen at the Mewa Arena (3-4). Bo Henriksen's side spent most of the match chasing the game and understandably came up short. Goals for Mainz came from Lee Jae-sung, Nadim Amiri from the penalty spot, and Armindo Sieb. This marks their fifth loss in seven matches. The team currently sits 16th, but a win in Stuttgart could see them rise to 13th.
🔴 Mainz are also competing in European tournaments, albeit in the third-tier competition - the UEFA Europa Conference League. In the second round, the "Nullfünfer" secured a home victory against Bosnian side Zrinjski Mostar (1-0), with Nelson Weiper scoring the decisive goal. This is Mainz's second consecutive win in the tournament, and they continue to fight for a top-8 spot in the group, which would guarantee progression to the Round of 16 in the spring.
Match Results: Mainz
Latest news
Stuttgart
🎙 Sebastian Hoeneß shared his thoughts ahead of the clash with Mainz: "We're eagerly anticipating both encounters with Mainz [the second one is set for Wednesday in the DFB-Pokal Round of 16 away], but our full focus is on the upcoming match. We know we'll need to give it our all once again. We aim to play with passion, especially in front of the opponent's goal, and deliver quality football. We've studied Mainz thoroughly and are aware of their strengths. Their current position in the table doesn't reflect the true level of the team."
🚑 Jamie Leweling and Finn Ole Becker came off the bench in Istanbul, which opens up the possibility of them starting on Sunday. Ermedin Demirović, Stefan Drljača, and Justin Diehl will miss out due to injuries.
Mainz
🎙 Bo Henriksen on the upcoming opponent: "Stuttgart have many strengths: they maintain good possession and defend solidly this season. They aim to play attacking football, ideally controlling the ball throughout the match. Last year, we found it very challenging against them. We know Stuttgart are a strong opponent, and we hope to be ready to face such a powerful team. Of course, we watched their match against Fenerbahce yesterday. We have a similar schedule - it's neither an advantage nor a disadvantage."
❌ Central defenders Maxim Dahl (knee injury) and Anthony Kassi (thigh injury) will miss the match.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The match will be officiated by Felix Zwayer. Over his last 10 matches, he has averaged 4.4 yellow cards per game. Stuttgart are the Bundesliga's most disciplined team in terms of bookings, averaging just 1.5 cards per match. Mainz, on the other hand, are among the league's most aggressive, with an average of 2.4 yellow cards, ranking fourth in the league. Prediction: total yellow cards under 4.5, a trend seen in Stuttgart's last six games.
⚽ Goals Prediction
At the MHP Arena, Stuttgart have kept a clean sheet in their last four league games. Mainz will find it challenging to secure points and breach the Swabians' defense, though it's not entirely out of the question. Our pick is total goals under 3.5, a mark that has been hit in Stuttgart's last seven matches.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Stuttgart are one of the top teams in the league for corners, averaging 6.1 per game (3rd place). Mainz are close behind with 5.7 (6th place). Prediction: Mainz individual total over 3.5 corners, a feat they've achieved in 10 consecutive away games and in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head encounters with Stuttgart.
Editor's Prediction
Both teams are navigating a busy schedule, juggling the Bundesliga, the DFB-Pokal, and European competitions. In terms of physical readiness, Stuttgart have the edge due to their home advantage: fewer flights and slightly more recovery time. They also appear more convincing in their gameplay quality. Last year this fixture ended in a draw, but Stuttgart are objectively stronger now. Prediction: home team to score over 1.5 goals, a scenario that has occurred in 5 of the last 6 matches between these teams at the MHP Arena. Likely outcome - a 2-1 victory for Stuttgart.
Betting Tips: Stuttgart - Mainz
in 9 of last 10 games (Bundesliga).
in 9 of last 10 games against Mainz (Bundesliga).in 7 of last 8 games (Bundesliga).in last 17 home games against Mainz (Bundesliga).in 16 of last 17 home games.in 11 of last 12 home games (Bundesliga).in last 10 games (Bundesliga).in last 18 games (Bundesliga).in 14 of last 15 away games (Bundesliga).in 12 of last 13 Stuttgart home games (Bundesliga).in last 7 Stuttgart games (Bundesliga).in 15 of last 17 Mainz away games.in 12 of last 14 Mainz away games (Bundesliga).
in last 5 Felix Zwayer games (in the Bundesliga).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
