Mainz vs Stuttgart Prediction
🔊 On Saturday, Mainz welcome Stuttgart to the Mewa Arena. Stuttgart are just two points ahead of Leipzig and three points clear of sixth-placed Bayer. Meanwhile, the "05ers" are battling for every possible point at the other end of the standings. Sebastian Hoeness's side have already bested Urs Fischer's team twice this year. Can the Swabians keep their composure for a third time?
Head-to-Head
📊 This season, Stuttgart have already defeated Mainz twice-once in the league (2-1) and once in the DFB-Pokal (2-0). Overall, in their last 12 encounters, Mainz have managed just one victory over Stuttgart, although that win came last season at the Mewa Arena (2-0).
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Mainz Team Overview
🔴 In their last outing, Mainz traveled to Leverkusen (1-1) and took the lead thanks to a debut goal from winter loan signing Sheraldo Becker from Osasuna. Paul Nebel provided the assist. However, a late equalizer denied Mainz all three points.
⚪ Under the guidance of new head coach Urs Fischer, Mainz have lost just two of their 13 matches. Since the Swiss manager's arrival, the club ranks seventh in the Bundesliga for wins. Additionally, they remain unbeaten at home under his leadership; their last home defeat came in early December. After 24 rounds, Mainz sit 14th in the table, just one point clear of 16th place. So, beyond seeking revenge against Stuttgart, Mainz have even more pressing motivations.
Match Results: Mainz
Stuttgart Team Overview
⚪ Over the weekend, Stuttgart celebrated their 100th Bundesliga match under Hoeneß with a resounding 4-0 victory against Wolfsburg. Jamie Leweling shone with a brace, while Deniz Undav and Nicolas Nartey each found the back of the net. This marked Stuttgart's 54th win under the former Hoffenheim manager, giving him the highest win percentage in the club's history. Additionally, it was Stuttgart's 14th win of the current season, matching their total from the entire previous campaign.
🔴 Currently, the "Schwaben" sit fourth in the standings, level on points with Hoffenheim, who are in third place. However, they face a challenging run with upcoming fixtures against Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, Bayer Leverkusen, RB Leipzig, and Hoffenheim in their remaining 10 games.
Match Results: Stuttgart
Latest news
Mainz
🎙️ Sheraldo Becker's reaction to the draw in Leverkusen: "Of course, we really wanted to take home all three points - unfortunately, it didn't work out in the end. Nevertheless, I'm proud of the team and the achievements we showcased. Next week, we must do everything possible to secure a win at home."
❌ The club is dealing with a significant number of absences. Nadiem Amiri missed the previous match due to a heel injury. Stefan Bell, Sota Kawasaki, Robin Zentner, Benedikt Hollerbach, Anthony Caci, Maxim Dal, and Andreas Hanche-Olsen have been sidelined for a while. Nelson Weiper missed the last two games due to illness.
Stuttgart
🎙️ Sebastian Hoeneß on the match against Mainz: "Urs Fischer has injected some energy into the club. Mainz are on the right track, and the match won't be easy. But we'll try to make the most of the game and see if we can beat them again."
❌ Bilal El Khannouss will miss the trip to Mainz due to an accumulation of yellow cards. Josha Vagnoman sat out the previous round with a thigh injury. All other key players are available.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
Matthias Jollenbeck is set to officiate at the Mewa Arena. His average for issuing cautions in the last 10 matches stands at 3.8. Mainz's players are among the league's most aggressive, accumulating 56 yellow cards over 24 rounds (averaging 2.3 per game). The visitors aren't far behind with 47 yellows (around two per game on average). We're opting for over 3.5 yellow cards, which has been a consistent outcome in the last four head-to-head encounters.
⚽ Goal Prediction
Mainz have been undefeated at home for six games, including five Bundesliga fixtures. Stuttgart are enjoying a vibrant season, scoring at least three goals in their last three league matches. The visitors tend to come alive after the break, so we're backing a Stuttgart goal in the second half. This bet has come through in six of the last seven meetings between these teams and in nine of Hoeneß's last ten matches.
🚩 Corner Prediction
The hosts average 5.1 corners per match in the league, while the visitors average 5.4. It's tough to predict which team will dominate possession, especially since Mainz are not the same side that faced Stuttgart last time. However, in six of Stuttgart's last seven away games, the total has been under 9.5 corners - we're sticking with this option.
Editor's Prediction
This match is crucial for both clubs, and neither can afford to take it easy: Mainz risk slipping back into the relegation zone, while Stuttgart could fall out of the Champions League spots. The hosts are dealing with significant absences, including their top scorer Nadiem Amiri (10 goals), whereas the visitors boast the Undav-Levelling duo, who have netted a combined total of 21 goals.
The visitors appear to be favorites and might clinch a victory with a predicted scoreline of 2-1, but our editorial team leans towards over 2.5 goals, a bet that has come through in six of Stuttgart's last seven matches and in all of their last 13 away Bundesliga games.
Betting Tips: Mainz - Stuttgart
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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