Mainz vs Stuttgart Prediction 25 January 2025

🔊 Can the hosts return to their winning ways? The 19th round of the Bundesliga will see Mainz face Stuttgart. The hosts do not hold any reverence for the giants, which means the visitors might encounter some very audacious counterattacks. The class of the “Swabians” players allows them to generate a multitude of interesting moments in front of any opponent's goal, and the "Nullfünfer" will be no exception. An attacking football match is predicted, as a result of which the “MEWA Arena” might witness one of the most “over” results of the round.

📊 HEAD-TO-HEAD

The last head-to-head game was thrilling with a 3:3 draw. For 5 consecutive meetings, the opponents have been exchanging goals.

🔴 MAINZ

A streak of great matches for the "Nullfünfer" was replaced by two setbacks: losses to Union (1:2) and Bayer (0:1). While the clash with the reigning champion promised no prospects, the lackluster performance in Berlin is a sign of emerging problems. First and foremost, the injury of the team's main forward, Burkardt (12 goals), is noticeable. In the upcoming match, Mainz will certainly not claim control - on average, the team possesses the ball for 48.1% of the time. Against Stuttgart, this is actually good: it’s realistic to set up counterattacking football, allowing the hosts to have 1.61 goals per game. However, against such a high-level opponent, there could be problems on their own half. Against opponents from the upper part of the table, the "Nullfünfer" often concede even when they win: this was the case with Eintracht (3:1), Bayern (2:1), Wolfsburg (3:4), and Dortmund (3:1). The team will try to overcome a series of failures also thanks to the support of the stands: at home, 4 consecutive victories.

⚪ STUTTGART

Stuttgart players continue to reap maximum dividends from the absence of personnel losses. This year started more than well: victories over Augsburg (1:0), Leipzig (2:0), Freiburg (4:0), and Slovan (3:1). Some players might not get much playing time - with games on two fronts, rotation is inevitable. But the “Swabians” have quite a large margin of safety. This primarily concerns the attack: after 18 rounds, the team has 36 goals. Moreover, it’s worth noting the number of chances created for shots - an average of 26.17. We expect a lot of pressure on Mainz's goal, but we cannot ignore that the visitors concede quite a lot - due to counterattacks. For the visitors, it will be normal to take all initiative (59% possession) and load Undav with Demirovic. The absence of Milo due to yellow card accumulation seems unpleasant but not critical.

⚽️ GOAL PREDICTION

The teams meeting are quite good at realizing their attacking potential. Moreover, opponents with perfectly matching philosophies collide. Mainz will counterattack and can manage to score at least one goal - averaging 1.61. The visitors look more advanced in terms of attack - 2 goals per match. Considering that Stuttgart creates 3.22 scoring chances, we can expect at least a couple of goals from the favorite. Our editorial team sees a bet on total over 2.5 goals as a good decision.

🚩 CORNER PREDICTION

Since the playing specifics of the opponents do not imply sticky football, we expect an abundance of attacks. Not all will turn into dangerous moments, but any activity leads to set pieces. On average, Stuttgart plays out 5.56 corners per match. Mainz is slightly behind - 4.67. Collectively, both teams can utilize set pieces. We suggest paying attention to total corners over 8.5.

📝 EDITORIAL PREDICTION

Mainz is incredibly motivated - after defeating representatives of the Bundesliga elite, it’s hard to lose several times in a row. The counterattacking football of the "Nullfünfer" can lead to dangerous moments at Stuttgart's goal. However, the visitors will not give up the match easily - especially considering they have caught their stride. The main stars of the “Swabians” show creativity, constantly leading to scored goals. Defense in games against top-table teams often takes a back seat. We assume this confrontation will end with a score of 1:3. Our editorial team recommends betting on total over 2.5 goals.