Mainz vs Stuttgart Prediction

    🔊 Can the hosts return to their winning ways? The 19th round of the Bundesliga will see Mainz face Stuttgart. The hosts do not hold any reverence for the giants, which means the visitors might encounter some very audacious counterattacks. The class of the “Swabians” players allows them to generate a multitude of interesting moments in front of any opponent's goal, and the "Nullfünfer" will be no exception. An attacking football match is predicted, as a result of which the “MEWA Arena” might witness one of the most “over” results of the round.

    📊 HEAD-TO-HEAD

    The last head-to-head game was thrilling with a 3:3 draw. For 5 consecutive meetings, the opponents have been exchanging goals.

    🔴 MAINZ

    A streak of great matches for the "Nullfünfer" was replaced by two setbacks: losses to Union (1:2) and Bayer (0:1). While the clash with the reigning champion promised no prospects, the lackluster performance in Berlin is a sign of emerging problems. First and foremost, the injury of the team's main forward, Burkardt (12 goals), is noticeable. In the upcoming match, Mainz will certainly not claim control - on average, the team possesses the ball for 48.1% of the time. Against Stuttgart, this is actually good: it’s realistic to set up counterattacking football, allowing the hosts to have 1.61 goals per game. However, against such a high-level opponent, there could be problems on their own half. Against opponents from the upper part of the table, the "Nullfünfer" often concede even when they win: this was the case with Eintracht (3:1), Bayern (2:1), Wolfsburg (3:4), and Dortmund (3:1). The team will try to overcome a series of failures also thanks to the support of the stands: at home, 4 consecutive victories.

    ⚪ STUTTGART

    Stuttgart players continue to reap maximum dividends from the absence of personnel losses. This year started more than well: victories over Augsburg (1:0), Leipzig (2:0), Freiburg (4:0), and Slovan (3:1). Some players might not get much playing time - with games on two fronts, rotation is inevitable. But the “Swabians” have quite a large margin of safety. This primarily concerns the attack: after 18 rounds, the team has 36 goals. Moreover, it’s worth noting the number of chances created for shots - an average of 26.17. We expect a lot of pressure on Mainz's goal, but we cannot ignore that the visitors concede quite a lot - due to counterattacks. For the visitors, it will be normal to take all initiative (59% possession) and load Undav with Demirovic. The absence of Milo due to yellow card accumulation seems unpleasant but not critical.

    ⚽️ GOAL PREDICTION

    The teams meeting are quite good at realizing their attacking potential. Moreover, opponents with perfectly matching philosophies collide. Mainz will counterattack and can manage to score at least one goal - averaging 1.61. The visitors look more advanced in terms of attack - 2 goals per match. Considering that Stuttgart creates 3.22 scoring chances, we can expect at least a couple of goals from the favorite. Our editorial team sees a bet on total over 2.5 goals as a good decision.

    🚩 CORNER PREDICTION

    Since the playing specifics of the opponents do not imply sticky football, we expect an abundance of attacks. Not all will turn into dangerous moments, but any activity leads to set pieces. On average, Stuttgart plays out 5.56 corners per match. Mainz is slightly behind - 4.67. Collectively, both teams can utilize set pieces. We suggest paying attention to total corners over 8.5.

    📝 EDITORIAL PREDICTION

    Mainz is incredibly motivated - after defeating representatives of the Bundesliga elite, it’s hard to lose several times in a row. The counterattacking football of the "Nullfünfer" can lead to dangerous moments at Stuttgart's goal. However, the visitors will not give up the match easily - especially considering they have caught their stride. The main stars of the “Swabians” show creativity, constantly leading to scored goals. Defense in games against top-table teams often takes a back seat. We assume this confrontation will end with a score of 1:3. Our editorial team recommends betting on total over 2.5 goals.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    29%
    11 Wins
    26%
    10 Draws
    45%
    17 Wins
    Total games
    38
    Total Goals Avg
    3.13
    Both teams scored
    68%
    1.39
    Total average
    1.74
    1.79
    Yellow cards
    2.03
    Last matches
    07.03.26
    Bundesliga
    Mainz
    Mainz
    Stuttgart
    Stuttgart
    2.99
    1.16
    5
    6
    7
    12
    0
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    2.99
    1.16
    5
    6
    7
    12
    0
    2
    29.10.25
    DFB Pokal
    Mainz
    Mainz
    Stuttgart
    Stuttgart
    0.96
    2.12
    2
    4
    14
    10
    5
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0.96
    2.12
    2
    4
    14
    10
    5
    3
    26.10.25
    Bundesliga
    Stuttgart
    Stuttgart
    Mainz
    Mainz
    1.76
    1.72
    7
    5
    11
    12
    4
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.76
    1.72
    7
    5
    11
    12
    4
    3
    25.01.25
    Bundesliga
    Mainz
    Mainz
    Stuttgart
    Stuttgart
    2.23
    0.92
    9
    2
    12
    8
    4
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    2.23
    0.92
    9
    2
    12
    8
    4
    3
    31.08.24
    Bundesliga
    Stuttgart
    Stuttgart
    Mainz
    Mainz
    -
    -
    11
    2
    5
    12
    4
    1
    3
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    -
    -
    11
    2
    5
    12
    4
    1
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    Mainz Team Overview

    Match Results: Mainz

    Last matches
    16.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Heidenheim
    Heidenheim
    Mainz
    Mainz
    0.97
    2.22
    6
    3
    8
    12
    1
    1
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0.97
    2.22
    6
    3
    8
    12
    1
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Mainz
    Mainz
    Union
    Union
    1.47
    2.98
    7
    8
    11
    10
    2
    1
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    2
    1.47
    2.98
    7
    8
    11
    10
    2
    1
    L
    03.05.26
    Bundesliga
    St. Pauli
    St. Pauli
    Mainz
    Mainz
    0.89
    2.28
    7
    7
    10
    8
    3
    1
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0.89
    2.28
    7
    7
    10
    8
    3
    1
    W
    25.04.26
    Bundesliga
    Mainz
    Mainz
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    2.57
    2.01
    5
    4
    14
    10
    1
    2
    3
    4
    3
    0
    0
    4
    2.57
    2.01
    5
    4
    14
    10
    1
    2
    L
    19.04.26
    Bundesliga
    Borussia M'gladbach
    Borussia M'gladbach
    Mainz
    Mainz
    0.73
    2.32
    0
    6
    12
    8
    5
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.73
    2.32
    0
    6
    12
    8
    5
    2
    D
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    Stuttgart Team Overview

    Match Results: Stuttgart

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    DFB Pokal
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Stuttgart
    Stuttgart
    1.98
    0.5
    0
    3
    5
    13
    0
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    1.98
    0.5
    0
    3
    5
    13
    0
    2
    L
    16.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Eintracht Frankfurt
    Eintracht Frankfurt
    Stuttgart
    Stuttgart
    2.81
    1.2
    6
    6
    14
    12
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    2.81
    1.2
    6
    6
    14
    12
    2
    3
    D
    09.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Stuttgart
    Stuttgart
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    3.11
    0.58
    7
    6
    13
    8
    2
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    3.11
    0.58
    7
    6
    13
    8
    2
    1
    W
    02.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Hoffenheim
    Hoffenheim
    Stuttgart
    Stuttgart
    1
    2.31
    1.92
    4
    5
    6
    7
    3
    1
    3
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    2.31
    1.92
    4
    5
    6
    7
    3
    1
    D
    26.04.26
    Bundesliga
    Stuttgart
    Stuttgart
    Werder Bremen
    Werder Bremen
    2.07
    1.03
    14
    2
    8
    10
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    2.07
    1.03
    14
    2
    8
    10
    0
    1
    D
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    Our choice
    Total goals Over (2.5) at odds of -133*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (24 January 2025, 10:41)

    Betting Tips: Mainz - Stuttgart

    Mainz have drawn in the 1st half
    1-fsv-mainz-05-vfb-stuttgart-1in last 7 home games against Stuttgart (Bundesliga).
    1-fsv-mainz-05-vfb-stuttgart-1in last 6 home games against Stuttgart.
    Stuttgart have drawn in the 1st half
    vfb-stuttgart-1in 9 of last 10 away games (Bundesliga).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +130
    Stuttgart have won
    vfb-stuttgart-1in 8 of last 9 games.
    vfb-stuttgart-1in last 4 away games.
    Stuttgart Win
    MyBookie
    +122
    Mainz have not won
    1-fsv-mainz-05-vfb-stuttgart-1in last 9 games against Stuttgart (Bundesliga).
    Stuttgart have not lost
    vfb-stuttgart-1in 9 of last 10 games.
    vfb-stuttgart-1in 7 of last 8 games (Bundesliga).
    vfb-stuttgart-1in 6 of last 7 away games (Bundesliga).
    vfb-stuttgart-1in last 5 away games.
    Stuttgart will not lose
    Everygame
    -303
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    1-fsv-mainz-05-vfb-stuttgart-1in 9 of last 10 Mainz games against Stuttgart (Bundesliga).
    1-fsv-mainz-05-in last 16 Mainz home games.
    1-fsv-mainz-05-in last 15 Mainz home games (Bundesliga).
    1-fsv-mainz-05-in 8 of last 9 Mainz games (Bundesliga).
    vfb-stuttgart-1in 12 of last 14 Stuttgart games.
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    Everygame
    -400
    View more facts

    Mainz - Stuttgart Table position

    Bundesliga 24/25
    gWDLGDPForm
    5.
    Freiburg
    Freiburg
    341671149-5355
    6.
    Mainz
    Mainz
    3414101055-4352
    7.
    Leipzig
    Leipzig
    341312953-4851
    8.
    Werder Bremen
    Werder Bremen
    341491154-5751
    9.
    Stuttgart
    Stuttgart
    341481264-5350
    10.
    Borussia M'gladbach
    Borussia M'gladbach
    341361555-5745

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 16
    -1
    +3
    22 - Scored
    19 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    4
    1
    Draws
    3
    4
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    22
    16
    Conceded
    19
    3.1
    Match goals average
    4.1
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.2
    1.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.9
    6
    Both teams scored
    7
    60'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    42'
    View all stats