Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction 25 September 2025
🔅 The upcoming clash between Toluca and Monterrey promises to be a spectacle for fans. Both teams are in excellent form, showcasing high-scoring performances in recent matches. Toluca will look to capitalize on their home advantage, where they traditionally display a vibrant attacking game. Meanwhile, Monterrey sit second in the standings and are unbeaten in their last eight matches. Expect a tense battle with a focus on offense. Read the prediction below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a score of 2-1. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (home team - Toluca):
- possession percentage: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 6;
- fouls: 12 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of official encounters between Toluca and Monterrey:
- 46 matches played;
- home victories - 13, away victories - 15, draws - 18;
- goals scored - 54 for Toluca, 57 for Monterrey;
- average goals in the first half - 1.09, second half - 1.33;
- average total goals per match - 2.41.
Head-to-head statistics Toluca - Monterrey

Toluca Team Overview
The team's last official match was in the Liga MX tournament, with Guadalajara hosting Toluca. The game ended in a 3-0 victory for the visitors.
Here are the match stats (Toluca vs Guadalajara):
- possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 7;
- fouls: 9 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 11 vs 3.
Toluca, also known as the "Diablos," are putting on an impressive show at their home ground, much to the delight of their fans. The team has claimed victory in 6 of their last 9 matches and currently holds a respectable third place in the Liga MX standings. Over their last five games, Toluca have secured three wins, despite suffering a loss in their most recent outing. They boast one of the league's most formidable attacking lines, averaging 2.44 goals per match. However, defense remains a weak spot for the "Diablos," as they concede approximately 1.22 goals per game.
Match Results: Toluca

CF Monterrey Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place in the Liga MX tournament, featuring Monterrey as the hosts and América as the visitors. The game concluded with a 2-2 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Monterrey vs América):
- possession percentage: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 16;
- fouls: 7 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 7.
Monterrey have been consistently impressive this season, confidently holding the second spot in the Liga MX standings. The team have secured four wins and one draw in their last five matches, averaging 2.22 goals scored per game while conceding around 1.22. Monterrey are currently on an eight-match unbeaten streak, an impressive feat for any team in the Mexican league. The "Northerners" favor a balanced style of play, focusing on ball control and swift counterattacks.
Match Results: CF Monterrey
Latest news
Toluca
The hosts might be without Helinho, Bruno Mendes, Luan, Everardo Lopez, and Osvaldo Virgen for the match.
CF Monterrey
The visitors might be without César Bustos, Iker Fimbres, and Germán Bertram for the match.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 46;
- First-half victories for the home team - 10; for the away team - 3; draws - 10;
- Average first-half total: 1.09;
- Today's home side averages 0.5 goals, while the visitors average 0.59.
First-Half Statistics: Toluca (home) vs Monterrey (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 5;
- Victories: 2 (50%) vs 4 (80%);
- Losses: 2 (50%) vs 0 (0%);
- Draws: 0 (0%) vs 1 (20%);
- Average goals scored: 2.25 vs 1.4;
- Average goals conceded: 1.25 vs 0.2.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 6 vs 6;
- Losses: 2 vs 0;
- Draws: 2 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.4 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.4) vs 2 (scored - 1.5, conceded - 0.5).
- Monterrey have won the first half in six consecutive matches (Liga MX).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 46;
- Home wins - 13, Away wins - 15, Draws - 18.
Statistics: Toluca vs Monterrey
- Matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- Victories: 6 vs 7;
- Win percentage: 67% vs 78%;
- Losses: 2 vs 1;
- Draws: 1 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 7 vs 7;
- Losses: 2 vs 2;
- Draws: 1 vs 1.
- Monterrey covers the +1.5 spread in 38 of their last 39 matches (Liga MX).
- Monterrey covers the +1.5 spread in 23 of their last 24 away matches.
- Monterrey covers the +1.5 spread in 18 of their last 19 away matches (Liga MX).
- Monterrey covers the +1.5 spread in 10 of their last 11 matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's home side averages - 1.17 goals, visitors - 1.24;
- Average total goals in head-to-head - 2.41;
- Both teams scored: overall - 29 times; at home ground - 15 times.
Statistics: Toluca vs Monterrey
- Average total in the tournament: 3.67 vs 3.44;
- Average goals scored: 2.44 vs 2.22;
- Average first-half total: 1.11 vs 1.56;
- Average second-half total: 1.33 vs 0.67;
- Toluca's average home total in the tournament - 2.5;
- Monterrey's average away total in the tournament - 1.8;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 1.67) vs 2.2 (away - 2.67).
- Total over 2.5 goals has hit in 6 of Monterrey's last 7 matches (Liga MX).
Corner Prediction
Toluca: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 5.33; at home - 6;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.1; at home - 5.17.
Monterrey: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 5, away - 5.4;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.1; away - 5.67.
Card Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head - 3.52 (1.76 for the home side and 1.76 for visitors);
- Average yellow cards at home ground - 3.39 (1.78 for the home side and 1.61 for visitors).
Toluca: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.89; at home - 2.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.5; at home - 2.17.
Monterrey: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.44, away - 2.8;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.2; away - 3.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 46;
- Both teams scored overall - 29 times;
- At home ground - 15 times.
Statistics: Toluca vs Monterrey
- Total matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- Total matches in the season with both teams scoring (BTTS): 6 vs 5;
- Toluca's BTTS at home - 4 (100%);
- Monterrey's BTTS away - 2 (40%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 6 vs 7;
- Toluca's BTTS at home - 5 (83%);
- Monterrey's BTTS away - 2 (67%).
- Toluca scores and concedes at home in 7 of their last 8 matches.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Both teams boast formidable attacking lines and consistently high scoring rates, whether at Toluca's home ground or in Monterrey's away fixtures. Considering current trends-Toluca's efficient finishing and Monterrey's extended unbeaten run-an open game with numerous chances at both ends seems likely. Thus, the most probable scenario for this match is a bet on both teams to score. The predicted scoreline is 2-1.