Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction 7 December 2025
💫 Toluca and Monterrey are set to clash in the second leg of their Liga MX playoff semifinal. Their first encounter took place on December 4, ending with Monterrey securing a 1-0 victory. Can the visitors maintain their advantage in the return fixture? Find out in the prediction below!
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Monterrey were the home side):
- ball possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 7;
- fouls: 9 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Toluca and Monterrey:
- 48 matches played;
- home victories - 14, away wins - 16, draws - 18;
- goals scored - 60 for each team;
- average total in the first half - 1.19, in the second half - 1.31;
- average total goals per match - 2.5.
Head-to-head statistics Toluca - Monterrey
Toluca Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Liga MX tournament (home team - CF Monterrey, away team - Toluca). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here's the game statistics (Toluca vs CF Monterrey):
- ball possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 3;
- fouls: 7 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
Toluca continue to impress with their performances. The team boasts a strong attacking game, averaging 2.25 goals per match while maintaining a solid defense, conceding just one goal on average per game. In their last five matches, they have secured two wins, two draws, and one defeat, with their most recent outing ending in a 0-0 draw. Their last three matches saw them achieve two consecutive victories before the draw, highlighting the high level of play from "Diablos Rojos" even against tough opponents.
Match Results: Toluca
CF Monterrey Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Liga MX tournament (home team - CF Monterrey, away - Toluca). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here are the match stats (CF Monterrey vs Toluca):
- ball possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 7;
- fouls: 9 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
Monterrey are proving themselves to be a strong team with ambitions to contend for the title. Currently, they are in good form, having secured eleven victories out of twenty games this season. In their last five matches, the club have recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses. Although they have struggled with consistency-alternating between wins and losses has become commonplace for "Rayados"-their attacking potential remains high, averaging 1.85 goals per game.
Match Results: CF Monterrey
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 48;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 11; for visitors away - 3; number of draws - 10;
- Average first-half total: 1.19;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.56, while the visitors net 0.63.
First-Half Stats: Toluca (home) vs CF Monterrey (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
- wins: 7 (70%) vs 4 (40%);
- losses: 2 (20%) vs 4 (40%);
- draws: 1 (10%) vs 2 (20%);
- Average goals scored: 2.3 vs 2;
- Average goals conceded: 0.8 vs 1.1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 5;
- losses: 3 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 2;
- Average first-half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.5) vs 1.5 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.7).
- Toluca scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 home games (Liga MX).
- CF Monterrey conceded in the 1st half in last 5 away games (Liga MX).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 48;
- home team wins - 14, away team wins - 16, draws - 18.
Statistics: Toluca vs CF Monterrey
- matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- wins: 12 vs 11;
- win percentage: 60% vs 55%;
- losses: 3 vs 5;
- draws: 5 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 4;
- losses: 1 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 3.
- Toluca have not lost in 24 of last 25 home games.
- Toluca have not lost in 20 of last 21 home games (Liga MX).
- Toluca have not lost in 14 of last 15 games.
- Toluca have not lost in 13 of last 14 games (Liga MX).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.25, the guests - 1.25;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.5;
- both teams scored: overall - 30; at the home team's field - 16.
Statistics: Toluca vs CF Monterrey
- average total in the tournament: 3.25 vs 3.4;
- average total goals scored: 2.25 vs 1.85;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.1 vs 1.2;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.15 vs 0.65;
- Toluca: average total at home in the tournament - 2.7;
- CF Monterrey: average total away in the tournament - 1.6;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 2) vs 1.5 (away - 1.25).
- Toluca have scored in 23 of last 25 home games.
- Toluca have scored in 20 of last 21 home games (Liga MX).
Prediction on corners
Toluca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.5; at home field - 5.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.2; at home field - 5.
CF Monterrey: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.9, away - 3.8;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.1; away - 2.25.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.54 (1.77 for home team and 1.77 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.33 (1.75 for home team and 1.58 for away team).
Toluca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.15; at home - 1.8;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.9; at home - 1.5.
CF Monterrey: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2, away - 2.3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.7; away - 2.
- Over 3.5 yellow cards in last 6 CF Monterrey games (Liga MX).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 48;
- both teams scored all-time - 30 times;
- on the home team’s field - 16 times.
Statistics: Toluca vs CF Monterrey
- number of matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 12;
- number of BTTS matches for Toluca at home - 7 (70%);
- number of BTTS matches for CF Monterrey away - 6 (60%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Toluca at home - 1 (25%);
- BTTS matches for CF Monterrey away - 3 (75%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (17/166, 10.2%), 1:1 (17/166, 10.2%);
- Toluca at home most often finish matches: 3:1 (3/10, 30%);
- CF Monterrey away most often play: 0:1 (2/10, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 9.99% (odds 7.5)
1:1 - 9.17% (odds 8.5)
2:0 - 7.99% (odds 9.5)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Considering the current form of both teams and their goal-scoring statistics, the most likely outcome appears to be over 2.5 goals in this match. Both teams tend to play aggressively in attack: Toluca consistently scores more than two goals at home, while Monterrey shows a high scoring rate on the road, despite some inconsistency in their recent performances this season.
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Betting Tips: Toluca - CF Monterrey
in 24 of last 25 home games.in 20 of last 21 home games (Liga MX).in 14 of last 15 games.in 13 of last 14 games (Liga MX).
in 11 of last 12 Toluca home games.in last 5 Toluca home games (Liga MX).in 6 of last 7 home games (Liga MX).in last 5 away games (Liga MX).in 23 of last 25 home games.in 20 of last 21 home games (Liga MX).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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