Monterrey vs Toluca Prediction 4 December 2025
💥 The upcoming clash between Monterrey and Toluca promises to be a real test for both teams. They will face off in the first leg of the Liga MX playoff semifinals. There's no clear favorite in this matchup. But will either side manage to gain an advantage before the return leg? Find out in the prediction below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a 6-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Toluca were the home side):
- possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 2;
- fouls: 11 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 13 vs 7.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between Monterrey and Toluca:
- 47 matches played;
- home victories - 15, away wins - 14, draws - 18;
- goals scored - 59 for Monterrey, 60 for Toluca;
- average goals in the first half - 1.19, in the second half - 1.34;
- average total goals per match - 2.53.
Head-to-head statistics Monterrey - Toluca
CF Monterrey Team Overview
The latest official match took place in the Liga MX, with Club América hosting Monterrey. The game ended with a score of 2-1.
Here are the match statistics (Monterrey vs Club América):
- possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 3;
- fouls: 18 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
Monterrey have been delivering decent performances this season. However, their last five matches have exposed some vulnerabilities: one win, two losses, and a draw indicate inconsistency in the team's form. Nonetheless, they have traditionally been strong at home, going unbeaten in their last 11 matches. The team tends to dominate through ball possession and frequent wing attacks, which allows them to create numerous scoring opportunities.
Match Results: CF Monterrey
Toluca Team Overview
The visitors' most recent official match took place in the Liga MX tournament, where Toluca hosted Juarez. The game ended in a 0-0 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Toluca vs Juarez):
- possession: 63% vs 37%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 2;
- fouls: 12 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 0.
Toluca have been impressive this season, suffering only two losses in 19 matches. Their recent run includes six wins and four draws, remaining unbeaten and showcasing strong performances both offensively and defensively. They average two goals per game, highlighting their ability to break down even the most organized defensive setups. The last head-to-head encounter ended with a commanding 6-2 victory for Toluca.
Match Results: Toluca
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 47;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 11; for visitors away - 3; number of draws - 9;
- Average first-half total: 1.19;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.62, while the visitors net 0.57.
First-Half Stats: CF Monterrey (home) vs Toluca (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- wins: 7 (77.78%) vs 3 (33.33%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 2 (22.22%);
- draws: 2 (22.22%) vs 4 (44.44%);
- Average goals scored: 1.89 vs 1.22;
- Average goals conceded: 0.33 vs 0.44.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- losses: 4 vs 2;
- draws: 2 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 2 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 1.1) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.4).
- CF Monterrey scored in the 1st half in 13 of last 14 home games.
- CF Monterrey scored in the 1st half in last 10 home games (Liga MX).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 47;
- home team wins - 15, away team wins - 14, draws - 18.
Statistics: CF Monterrey vs Toluca
- matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- wins: 10 vs 12;
- win percentage: 53% vs 63%;
- losses: 5 vs 2;
- draws: 4 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 6;
- losses: 4 vs 0;
- draws: 3 vs 4.
- CF Monterrey won with a +1.5 handicap in 24 of last 25 home games.
- CF Monterrey won with a +1.5 handicap in last 19 home games (Liga MX).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.26, the guests - 1.28;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.53;
- both teams scored: overall - 30; at the home team's field - 14.
Statistics: CF Monterrey vs Toluca
- average total in the tournament: 3.53 vs 3.37;
- average total goals scored: 1.89 vs 2.37;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.21 vs 1.16;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.68 vs 1.21;
- CF Monterrey: average total at home in the tournament - 2.22;
- Toluca: average total away in the tournament - 2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 1.8) vs 2 (away - 1.8).
- Toluca have scored under 2.5 goals in last 6 games (Liga MX).
Prediction on corners
CF Monterrey: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.95; at home field - 4.11;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3; at home field - 3.8.
Toluca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.42, away - 5.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6; away - 7.
- CF Monterrey have taken under 4.5 corners in last 5 games (Liga MX).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.1 (1.55 for home team and 1.55 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.26 (1.52 for home team and 1.74 for away team).
CF Monterrey: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.05; at home - 1.78;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.7; at home - 1.6.
Toluca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.11, away - 2.44;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.7; away - 2.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 47;
- both teams scored all-time - 30 times;
- on the home team’s field - 14 times.
Statistics: CF Monterrey vs Toluca
- number of matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 12 vs 11;
- number of BTTS matches for CF Monterrey at home - 6 (67%);
- number of BTTS matches for Toluca away - 4 (44%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for CF Monterrey at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Toluca away - 3 (60%).
⭐ Editor's Prediction
For the upcoming clash between Monterrey and Toluca, we predict that both teams will find the back of the net. Both sides boast powerful attacks and have been prolific in front of goal this season, consistently breaching opponents' defenses. However, despite their drive to win, their defensive lines are not always flawless, providing ample opportunities for their rivals. We anticipate a dynamic and open match, likely to end with both teams getting on the scoresheet. A possible scoreline could be 1-2.No comments
Betting Tips: CF Monterrey - Toluca
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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