Monterrey vs Toluca Prediction 11 January 2026
📢 The upcoming clash between Monterrey and Toluca promises to be a thrilling contest. Both teams are in good form this season, and their drive to secure a win is at an all-time high. With both sides favoring an attacking style of play, the match is set to be intriguing in terms of goals. In their last head-to-head meeting, Toluca emerged victorious with a 3-2 win. How will this game end? Read the prediction below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a scoreline of 3-2. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (with Toluca as the home side):
- possession percentage: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 9 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
📊Statistical preview of the official head-to-head encounters between Monterrey and Toluca:
- 49 matches played;
- home wins - 16, away wins - 15, draws - 18;
- goals scored - 62 for Monterrey, 63 for Toluca;
- average total goals in the first half - 1.2, in the second half - 1.35;
- average total goals per match - 2.55.
Head-to-head statistics Monterrey - Toluca
CF Monterrey Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place in the Club Friendly Games, with Atlas as the home side and Monterrey as the visitors. The match concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Monterrey vs Atlas):
- possession percentage: 64% vs 36%;
- corner kicks: 11 vs 4;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
Monterrey are displaying decent form this season with a record of 11 wins and 6 losses. In their last five matches, they've secured two victories but suffered three defeats, including a recent loss. Their attacking prowess is a strong point, averaging 1.86 goals per game. However, the number of goals conceded (1.62) is a concern for the coach. The home side also struggle with consistency, as alternating wins and losses highlight their unstable form.
Match Results: CF Monterrey
Toluca Team Overview
The most recent official match for the current visitors took place in the Liga MX, with Toluca as the home side and Tigres as the visitors. The match concluded with a 2-1 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Toluca vs Tigres):
- possession: 67% vs 33%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 2;
- fouls: 17 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 12 vs 2.
Toluca's "Diablos" are in impressive form, boasting fourteen wins against just four losses. Their last five matches resulted in two victories, one draw, and two defeats, but the team has maintained their standing thanks to a solid defense, conceding an average of just 0.8 goals per game. Toluca are renowned for their ability to hold onto a lead, even with a narrow margin.
Match Results: Toluca
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 49;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 12; for visitors away - 3; number of draws - 9;
- Average first-half total: 1.2;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.61, while the visitors net 0.59.
First-Half Stats: CF Monterrey (home) vs Toluca (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 11;
- wins: 8 (80%) vs 3 (27.27%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 3 (27.27%);
- draws: 2 (20%) vs 5 (45.45%);
- Average goals scored: 1.8 vs 1.09;
- Average goals conceded: 0.3 vs 0.45.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- losses: 4 vs 2;
- draws: 2 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.6 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.9) vs 1 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.4).
- CF Monterrey scored in the 1st half in 14 of last 15 home games.
- CF Monterrey scored in the 1st half in last 11 home games (Liga MX).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 49;
- home team wins - 16, away team wins - 15, draws - 18.
- Toluca won with a +1.5 handicap in last 42 games.
- Toluca won with a +1.5 handicap in last 36 games (Liga MX).
- Toluca won with a +1.5 handicap in last 18 away games.
- Toluca won with a +1.5 handicap in last 17 away games (Liga MX).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.27, the guests - 1.29;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.55;
- both teams scored: overall - 31; at the home team's field - 14.
Statistics: CF Monterrey vs Toluca
- average total in the tournament: 3.48 vs 3.22;
- average total goals scored: 1.86 vs 2.17;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.14 vs 1.09;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.71 vs 1.09;
- CF Monterrey: average total at home in the tournament - 2.1;
- Toluca: average total away in the tournament - 1.64;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 1.8) vs 1.1 (away - 0.4).
- CF Monterrey have scored under 2.5 goals in 13 of last 14 games (Liga MX).
- CF Monterrey have scored under 2.5 goals in 6 of last 7 home games (Liga MX).
Prediction on corners
CF Monterrey: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.81; at home field - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.8; at home field - 3.4.
Toluca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.35, away - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.9; away - 5.8.
- CF Monterrey have taken under 4.5 corners in last 7 games (Liga MX).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 49;
- both teams scored all-time - 31 times;
- on the home team’s field - 14 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (18/170, 10.6%), 1:1 (18/170, 10.6%);
- CF Monterrey at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 1:1 (2/10, 20%);
- Toluca away most often play: 1:0 (3/11, 27.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 10.54% (odds 7)
1:1 - 10.48% (odds 7)
2:1 - 10.05% (odds 6.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The upcoming clash promises to be fiercely contested. Despite both teams' inclination towards attacking football, their current form suggests a cautious approach. Toluca's statistics highlight a trend of low-scoring games: in 7 of their last 8 matches, the 3.5 goals mark wasn't surpassed. Given that the visitors are likely to focus on a tight defense, a bet on under 3.5 goals seems the most reasonable. A 2-0 scoreline is possible.
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Betting Tips: CF Monterrey - Toluca
in 8 of last 9 home games (Liga MX).
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in 16 of last 18 games.in 15 of last 17 games (Liga MX).in 15 of last 17 CF Monterrey home games.in 9 of last 10 CF Monterrey games (Liga MX).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
