Gimnasia vs Independiente Prediction 25 February 2026

    📢 What to expect from the clash between Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza and Independiente in the 7th round of the Primera? Gimnasia are struggling at the start of the season, evident from their string of defeats and low scoring output. Meanwhile, Independiente are delivering consistent performances with a strong attacking game. Both clubs have their own objectives in the standings, adding extra motivation to this encounter.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 29 June 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza):

    • ball possession percentage: 25% vs 75%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 3;
    • fouls: 14 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 4.

    📊 Officially, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza and Independiente have faced each other in just one match.

    Head-to-head statistics Gimnasia - Independiente

    33%
    1 Win
    33%
    1 Draw
    33%
    1 Win
    Total games
    3
    Total Goals Avg
    2.67
    Both teams scored
    67%
    1.67
    Total average
    1
    4.33
    Corner
    4.67
    1
    Yellow cards
    2.33
    13.67
    Fouls
    10
    Last matches
    30.08.26
    Primera Division
    Independiente
    Independiente
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    0.98
    0.9
    7
    4
    7
    15
    1
    1
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0.98
    0.9
    7
    4
    7
    15
    1
    1
    25.02.26
    Primera Division
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Independiente
    Independiente
    1
    -
    -
    5
    4
    12
    11
    1
    3
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    4
    12
    11
    1
    3
    29.06.25
    Football Cup
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Independiente
    Independiente
    0.6
    2
    4
    3
    14
    12
    1
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    0.6
    2
    4
    3
    14
    12
    1
    2
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    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza, away team - Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.

    Here's the game statistics (Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata):

    • ball possession: 59% vs 41%;
    • corner kicks: 7 vs 4;
    • fouls: 10 vs 16;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 2.

    Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza are going through a challenging period. Their recent form over the last five matches reveals a troubling trend, with four losses and just one victory. The team's attacking struggles are evident, averaging only 0.5 goals per game, highlighting the need for offensive reinforcements. Defensively, they are also lacking, conceding an average of 1.33 goals per match, which leaves them vulnerable to opponents' swift counterattacks.

    Match Results: Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza

    Last matches
    30.08.26
    Primera Division
    Independiente
    Independiente
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    0.98
    0.9
    7
    4
    7
    15
    1
    1
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0.98
    0.9
    7
    4
    7
    15
    1
    1
    W
    22.08.26
    Primera Division
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    1.76
    1.79
    7
    1
    4
    24
    0
    3
    2
    3
    0
    2
    2
    1
    1.76
    1.79
    7
    1
    4
    24
    0
    3
    W
    18.08.26
    Primera Division
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    1
    Talleres de Cordoba
    Talleres de Cordoba
    1
    2.59
    1.1
    7
    3
    14
    8
    3
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    2.59
    1.1
    7
    3
    14
    8
    3
    3
    W
    09.08.26
    Primera Division
    Instituto AC Cordoba
    Instituto AC Cordoba
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    2.65
    0.27
    4
    2
    17
    12
    4
    5
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2.65
    0.27
    4
    2
    17
    12
    4
    5
    L
    01.08.26
    Primera Division
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Union de Santa Fe
    Union de Santa Fe
    1.71
    1.02
    9
    5
    14
    15
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.71
    1.02
    9
    5
    14
    15
    2
    0
    W
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    Independiente Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Independiente Rivadavia, away - Independiente). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:2.

    Here are the match stats (Independiente vs Independiente Rivadavia):

    • ball possession: 53% vs 47%;
    • corner kicks: 9 vs 3;
    • fouls: 6 vs 11;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 5.

    Independiente are showing solid form. The team have secured two wins and two draws in their last five matches, demonstrating their ability to earn points even against tough opponents. Their attack is effective, averaging 1.33 goals per game, while their defense reliably holds its ground, conceding only about one goal per match. These stats help them maintain a strong position in the league standings early in the season.

    Match Results: Independiente

    Last matches
    30.08.26
    Primera Division
    Independiente
    Independiente
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    0.98
    0.9
    7
    4
    7
    15
    1
    1
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0.98
    0.9
    7
    4
    7
    15
    1
    1
    L
    22.08.26
    Primera Division
    Independiente
    Independiente
    Independiente Rivadavia
    Independiente Rivadavia
    0.91
    0.74
    11
    3
    8
    12
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.91
    0.74
    11
    3
    8
    12
    2
    3
    D
    17.08.26
    Primera Division
    Atletico Lanus
    Atletico Lanus
    1
    Independiente
    Independiente
    2.46
    1.02
    10
    5
    18
    11
    2
    3
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    2
    2.46
    1.02
    10
    5
    18
    11
    2
    3
    W
    12.08.26
    Football Cup
    Atletico Tucuman
    Atletico Tucuman
    Independiente
    Independiente
    -
    -
    6
    10
    16
    10
    1
    2
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0
    -
    -
    6
    10
    16
    10
    1
    2
    L
    09.08.26
    Primera Division
    Independiente
    Independiente
    Platense
    Platense
    1.21
    0.84
    13
    1
    12
    17
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.21
    0.84
    13
    1
    12
    17
    2
    2
    L
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 1;
    • home team wins - 0, away team wins - 1, draws - 0.

    Statistics: Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza vs Independiente

    • matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
    • wins: 2 vs 2;
    • win percentage: 33% vs 33%;
    • losses: 4 vs 1;
    • draws: 0 vs 3.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 5 vs 6;
    • losses: 4 vs 1;
    • draws: 1 vs 3.
    Trends
    • Independiente have not lost in 9 of last 10 games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Independiente will not lose(odds: 1.28)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 2;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3;
    • both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 1.

    Statistics: Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza vs Independiente

    • average total in the tournament: 1.83 vs 2.33;
    • average total goals scored: 0.5 vs 1.33;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.33 vs 0.5;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.17 vs 0.83;
    • Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza: average total at home in the tournament -  0.33;
    • Independiente: average total away in the tournament - 1.33;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 0.8) vs 1.6 (away - 1.25).
    Trends
    • Under 2.5 goals scored in 13 of last 15 Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza games.
    • Under 2.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza home games.
    • Under 2.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Independiente games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Under (2,5)(odds: 1.39)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 1;
    • both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 1 times.

    Statistics: Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza vs Independiente

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 4;
    • number of BTTS matches for Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza at home - 0 (0%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Independiente away - 2 (67%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 4;
    • BTTS matches for Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza at home - 0 (0%);
    • BTTS matches for Independiente away - 2 (50%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.6)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 0:0 (14/86, 16.3%), 1:0 (14/86, 16.3%), 2:1 (14/86, 16.3%);
    • Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza at home most often finish matches: 0:1 (2/3, 66.7%);
    • Independiente away most often play: 0:1 , 1:1 , 3:2 (1/3, 33.3%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    0:1 - 16.04% (odds 5.5)
    0:0 - 15.25% (odds 5.45)
    1:1 - 13.29% (odds 6)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (0:1)(odds: 5.5)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Independiente enter the game as favorites, which is understandable given the current disappointing form of the hosts. However, in situations like these, the team often focuses on a tight defense and minimizing risks. In 13 of Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza's last 14 matches, no more than two goals were scored. Given this scenario, it seems reasonable to bet on a total of under 2.5 goals.

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Published: 22/02/2026, 17:08

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    Betting Tips: Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza - Independiente

    Independiente have not lost:
    ca-independientein 9 of last 10 games (Primera Division).
    Independiente will not lose
    Everygame
    -417
    Under 2.5 goals scored:
    gimnasia-y-esgrima-mendozain 13 of last 15 Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza games.
    gimnasia-y-esgrima-mendozain 9 of last 10 Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza home games.
    ca-independientein 7 of last 8 Independiente games (Primera Division).
    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -278
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza have scored under 1.5 goals:
    gimnasia-y-esgrima-mendozain 14 of last 15 games.
    gimnasia-y-esgrima-mendozain last 6 games (Primera Division).
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza Total goals Under (1,5)
    -588
    Independiente have scored under 1.5 goals:
    ca-independientein 11 of last 12 away games.
    ca-independientein 9 of last 10 away games (Primera Division).
    Independiente Total goals Under (1,5)
    -278
    View more facts

    Gimnasia - Independiente Table position

    Apertura Group A
    gWDLGDPForm
    4.
    Talleres de Cordoba
    Talleres de Cordoba
    1675417-1326
    5.
    Independiente
    Independiente
    1666424-2024
    6.
    Atletico Lanus
    Atletico Lanus
    1666418-1524
    10.
    Defensa y Justicia
    Defensa y Justicia
    1647518-2119
    11.
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    1654714-2219
    12.
    Platense
    Platense
    1637610-1516

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    7 - Wins
    0 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 16
    Conceded - 11
    +5
    -4
    9 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    7
    Wins
    4
    0
    Draws
    1
    3
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    16
    Scored
    9
    11
    Conceded
    13
    2.7
    Match goals average
    2.2
    1.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.9
    1.1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    4
    Both teams scored
    2
    56'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    100'
    View all stats