Independiente vs Gimnasia Prediction 30 August 2026

Details
The main thing

    📢 Independiente and Gimnasia Mendoza have both made a strong start to the Clausura and are among the leading sides in their group. The hosts have ten points and sit fifth, while the visitors are third with 12. The gap is small, so this meeting could have a noticeable effect on the standings at the top of the table.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Independiente and Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza have met just twice in official matches. Their most recent encounter took place on 25 February 2026 at Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza's ground and ended 1-1.

    Head-to-head statistics Independiente - Gimnasia

    33%
    1 Win
    33%
    1 Draw
    33%
    1 Win
    Total games
    3
    Total Goals Avg
    2.67
    Both teams scored
    67%
    1
    Total average
    1.67
    4.67
    Corner
    4.33
    2.33
    Yellow cards
    1
    10
    Fouls
    13.67
    Last matches
    30.08.26
    Primera Division
    Independiente
    Independiente
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    0.98
    0.9
    7
    4
    7
    15
    1
    1
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0.98
    0.9
    7
    4
    7
    15
    1
    1
    25.02.26
    Primera Division
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Independiente
    Independiente
    1
    -
    -
    5
    4
    12
    11
    1
    3
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    4
    12
    11
    1
    3
    29.06.25
    Football Cup
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Independiente
    Independiente
    0.6
    2
    4
    3
    14
    12
    1
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    0.6
    2
    4
    3
    14
    12
    1
    2
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    Independiente Team Overview

    Independiente have picked up 10 points from six rounds and sit fifth in their group. They come into this match in poor form, though, having lost three of their last five games, winning one and drawing one. Over their last ten matches the picture looks more consistent - five wins and four defeats, with averages of 1.35 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. They remain among the group's leading sides, but the recent run suggests they need to return to more consistent point-gathering to hold that position.

    Match Results: Independiente

    Last matches
    30.08.26
    Primera Division
    Independiente
    Independiente
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    0.98
    0.9
    7
    4
    7
    15
    1
    1
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0.98
    0.9
    7
    4
    7
    15
    1
    1
    L
    22.08.26
    Primera Division
    Independiente
    Independiente
    Independiente Rivadavia
    Independiente Rivadavia
    0.91
    0.74
    11
    3
    8
    12
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.91
    0.74
    11
    3
    8
    12
    2
    3
    D
    17.08.26
    Primera Division
    Atletico Lanus
    Atletico Lanus
    1
    Independiente
    Independiente
    2.46
    1.02
    10
    5
    18
    11
    2
    3
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    2
    2.46
    1.02
    10
    5
    18
    11
    2
    3
    W
    12.08.26
    Football Cup
    Atletico Tucuman
    Atletico Tucuman
    Independiente
    Independiente
    -
    -
    6
    10
    16
    10
    1
    2
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0
    -
    -
    6
    10
    16
    10
    1
    2
    L
    09.08.26
    Primera Division
    Independiente
    Independiente
    Platense
    Platense
    1.21
    0.84
    13
    1
    12
    17
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.21
    0.84
    13
    1
    12
    17
    2
    2
    L
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    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza Team Overview

    Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza have made a strong start to the Clausura and sit third after six rounds with 12 points. In their last five matches they have won three and lost two, and across their last ten they have won six and lost four. Over that ten-match period they are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game and 1.23 conceded. The team have yet to draw a match and consistently play for a result, so this fixture against a direct rival from the top of the table looks set to be an important one for the standings in the group.

    Match Results: Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza

    Last matches
    30.08.26
    Primera Division
    Independiente
    Independiente
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    0.98
    0.9
    7
    4
    7
    15
    1
    1
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0.98
    0.9
    7
    4
    7
    15
    1
    1
    W
    22.08.26
    Primera Division
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima La Plata
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    1.76
    1.79
    7
    1
    4
    24
    0
    3
    2
    3
    0
    2
    2
    1
    1.76
    1.79
    7
    1
    4
    24
    0
    3
    W
    18.08.26
    Primera Division
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    1
    Talleres de Cordoba
    Talleres de Cordoba
    1
    2.59
    1.1
    7
    3
    14
    8
    3
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    2.59
    1.1
    7
    3
    14
    8
    3
    3
    W
    09.08.26
    Primera Division
    Instituto AC Cordoba
    Instituto AC Cordoba
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    2.65
    0.27
    4
    2
    17
    12
    4
    5
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2.65
    0.27
    4
    2
    17
    12
    4
    5
    L
    01.08.26
    Primera Division
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Union de Santa Fe
    Union de Santa Fe
    1.71
    1.02
    9
    5
    14
    15
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.71
    1.02
    9
    5
    14
    15
    2
    0
    W
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    Corners Prediction

    Independiente have consistently taken more than 5.5 corners at home, with that run now stretching to 9 consecutive matches. The trend stands out for its consistency across a large sample of home fixtures and has no statistical contradictions in the available data. In these circumstances, a bet on Independiente Team Total Corners - Over 5.5 at 1.85* looks justified.

    Reliable Bet

    Independiente have scored under 2.5 goals in 10 of their last 11 matches, which underlines the team's consistently low scoring output. On top of that, their home average this season is 1.45 goals per game, and over their last 10 home matches that figure drops as low as 0.33 goals per game. These factors make Independiente Team Total - Under 2.5 at 1.22* the most well-founded selection.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely scorelines are 1-0 (16.32%), 2-0 (11.22%) and 1-1 (11.13%). The most probable of these is a narrow home win by 1-0. The probabilities for the second and third options are fairly close to each other, which points to an expectedly tight match.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Independiente are considered favourites for this match, despite Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza sitting higher in the table. The visitors have made a genuinely good start to the Clausura, but the hosts hold an advantage in terms of squad quality and the match is being played on their ground. With current form fairly even between the two sides, those factors could prove decisive. Our pick is an Independiente win.
    Independiente Win
    Bovada
    Place a bet-167
    Published: 29/08/2026, 11:40
    Insaf Gataulin
    Insaf Gataulin
    Football expert
    4
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    4 predictions
    Statistics for August 2026

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    Betting Tips: Independiente - Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza

    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza have not won:
    gimnasia-y-esgrima-mendozain 9 of last 10 away games (Primera Division).
    Independiente will not lose
    Everygame
    -625
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza have conceded:
    gimnasia-y-esgrima-mendozain 9 of last 10 away games (Primera Division).
    Independiente will score goal
    Everygame
    -400
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    in last 6 Sebastian Zunino games.
    in last 5 Sebastian Zunino games (in the Primera Division).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -556
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza won with a +1.5 handicap:
    gimnasia-y-esgrima-mendozain 19 of last 20 games.
    gimnasia-y-esgrima-mendozain 18 of last 19 games (Primera Division).
    gimnasia-y-esgrima-mendozain 8 of last 9 away games (Primera Division).
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza Handicap (+1,5)
    -312
    View more facts

    Independiente - Gimnasia Table position

    Apertura Group A
    gWDLGDPForm
    4.
    Talleres de Cordoba
    Talleres de Cordoba
    1675417-1326
    5.
    Independiente
    Independiente
    1666424-2024
    6.
    Atletico Lanus
    Atletico Lanus
    1666418-1524
    10.
    Defensa y Justicia
    Defensa y Justicia
    1647518-2119
    11.
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    1654714-2219
    12.
    Platense
    Platense
    1637610-1516

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 7
    Draws - 0
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 9
    Conceded - 13
    -4
    +5
    16 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    7
    1
    Draws
    0
    5
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    9
    Scored
    16
    13
    Conceded
    11
    2.2
    Match goals average
    2.7
    0.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.6
    1.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    2
    Both teams scored
    4
    100'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    56'
    View all stats