Bayern vs Stuttgart Prediction 28 August 2026
π Bayern and Stuttgart will open the new Bundesliga season on Friday evening at the Allianz Arena. This is more than just a meeting between the reigning champions and a side that finished fourth last season - the two clubs have played several competitive matches over the past year, though Bayern have won all six of their most recent head-to-head encounters. That said, Stuttgart look dangerous enough that this run should not be taken as a guarantee of an easy home win: Sebastian HoeneΓ's side already thrashed Hansa 4-0 in the cup, with new striker Dzenan Pejcinovic scoring a hat-trick.
Head-to-Head
π The historical advantage is firmly with Bayern, but the recent run matters more. Munich have won their last six matches against Stuttgart in a row, scoring at least three goals in five of them.
Head-to-head statistics Bayern - Stuttgart
Bayern Munich Team Overview
π΄ Bayern are approaching the start of the season in as competitive a shape as possible. Vincent Kompany's side have already won the first trophy of the season, beating Borussia Dortmund 2-1 in the German Super Cup. Harry Kane, Michael Olise and Luis DΓaz all started together, with the Frenchman scoring the winner and Nathaniel Brown - who joined from Eintracht in the summer - opening the scoring. For Kompany, it is an important signal: the team have not only kept their key attacking players but have also gained additional options following their summer reinforcements.
Their final pre-season friendlies were equally productive, with Bayern beating Heidenheim 4-2, RB Leipzig 3-1 and Aston Villa 2-1. In last season's Bundesliga, Bayern scored 122 goals - a new Bundesliga record - with Harry Kane finishing as top scorer on 36 goals. Michael Olise contributed 15 goals and 19 assists and was named player of the season. Bayern's attacking group therefore looks like the team's main strength right from the start of the season: Kompany has both a finisher in Kane and players capable of creating chances through individual quality and ball progression.
But this Bayern side are interesting for more than just their familiar high scoring. Having Kane, Olise and DΓaz gives Bayern the ability to vary the nature of their attacks: the team can hold the ball for extended periods, break down defences through positional combinations, or speed up play after winning possession. This is particularly relevant in the match against Stuttgart, who can cause problems in transition but also leave space in behind their defensive line. If Bayern establish control of the game quickly, the visitors will face serious problems containing the hosts' attacks - especially given the champions' home record last season: at the Allianz Arena, the team took 44 points from a possible 51 and scored 68 goals.
Match Results: Bayern Munich
Stuttgart Team Overview
π‘ Stuttgart kick off the new season riding high after finishing fourth in the Bundesliga and sealing a Champions League return. Last term, they netted 71 goals - second only to Bayern - but conceded 49, underlining the squadβs biggest imbalance: their attack can go toe-to-toe with the leagueβs elite, but defensively, they often struggle to keep pace. Stuttgart have already showcased their attacking firepower in the DFB-Pokal, cruising past Hansa Rostock 4-0, with new signing DΕΎenan PejΔinoviΔ bagging a hat-trick on his debut after joining from Wolfsburg for β¬25 million. Tiago TomΓ‘s also got on the scoresheet.
The major difference between this Stuttgart side and last seasonβs outfit is the addition of another potent attacking option. PejΔinoviΔ has already proven his finishing touch, while Deniz Undav remains a key goal threat - he scored 19 times in the previous campaign, firing off a league-high 121 shots. The recent transfer saga surrounding Ermedin DemiroviΔ ended in Stuttgartβs favor: despite interest from Galatasaray, the forward opted to stay in Germany, allowing HoeneΓ to retain an experienced striker. In midfield, Grisha PrΓΆmel arrives from Hoffenheim to bolster their options.
Stuttgart have the tools to trouble Bayern with their rapid transitions and the quality of Undav, PejΔinoviΔ, Chris FΓΌhrich, and Bilal El Khannouss, but theyβll need to withstand sustained pressure from Munichβs high pressing game. The Swabians are heading to a ground where Bayern racked up goals and points last season, so sitting back and relying solely on defense isnβt a realistic plan - theyβll need to push forward and create chances of their own.
Match Results: Stuttgart
Latest news
Bayern Munich
ποΈ Vincent Kompany after winning the Super Cup: "Michael Olise and Harry Kane trained with us three times and were able to play the full 90 minutes. In my day, you'd come back from holiday carrying an extra 3-4 kilograms. These days the lads have personal trainers and come back in great shape. Nene [Nathaniel Brown] and Saibari will earn us a lot of points this season. We still have Lenny [Lennart Karl], Jamal Musiala and Serge Gnabry to come back. Regardless of today's result, this was an outpouring of energy, fighting for every ball, every situation. Some people might think we'll relax because we won everything last year. But that's not the case - we won't be resting."
β Bayern's injury and availability concerns ahead of the match include Jamal Musiala, who will miss the start of the league season following recent health issues, along with Serge Gnabry and Lennart Karl. The squad remains very deep nonetheless: following RaphaΓ«l Guerreiro's departure, Brown has the ability to cover several positions, while Ismail Saibari adds another option in attack. On matchday, Manuel Neuer's condition will also be worth monitoring - the captain suffered a painful shoulder injury in training earlier in the week but continued the session.
Stuttgart
ποΈ Sebastian HoeneΓ ahead of the Bayern match: "We are not yet in a position to take European ambitions for granted. Yes, we have qualified for European competition three times in a row, but not three times through our Bundesliga finish. Expectations are certainly growing, and the pressure is increasing. But that doesn't make the team better. Courage, intensity, determination - that's what matters."
β Stuttgart also have injury concerns: Dan-Axel Zagadou, Ramon Hendriks, Luca Chaques, Leo Sauer, Lorenz Assignon, Jeremie Arevalo, Justin Diehl and goalkeeper Dennis Seimen are all unavailable or not fit. Fabian Bredlow is expected to start in goal as a result.
Predicted Lineups
π Bayern Munich predicted starting XI: Neuer - Laimer, Tah, Kim, Stanisic - Pavlovic, Kimmich - Olise, Braun, DΓaz - Kane
π Stuttgart predicted starting XI: Bredlow - Vagnoman, Jeltsch, Szabo, MittelstΓ€dt - PrΓΆmmel, Stiller - TomΓ‘Ε‘, Undav, El-Hannous - Pejcinovic
π¨ Yellow Cards Prediction
I wouldn't expect a high number of bookings in this market. Historical head-to-head data averages around 3.4 yellow cards per match - 1.52 for Bayern and 1.82 for Stuttgart. In recent meetings, the two sides have tended to settle things through football rather than through heavy fouling. Bayern will likely dominate possession, and Stuttgart will have to defend for long periods, but that doesn't necessarily mean a flood of cards. The best option here looks like Total Yellow Cards - Under 3.5 at 1.75*.
β½ Goals Prediction
This is where things look very different. The potential for an open, high-scoring match is significant. Bayern scored 122 goals in the last Bundesliga season, while Stuttgart managed 71, and both sides have already shown their attacking intent in early competitive fixtures: Bayern scored twice against Dortmund, while Stuttgart put four past Hansa. Over the last four head-to-head meetings, Bayern scored 14 goals, with the combined total reaching 17. Stuttgart also have several players capable of exploiting the space behind Bayern's high defensive line. I'm expecting both sides to get on the scoresheet. Bet: Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.48*.
π© Corners Prediction
Unlike the goals market, I wouldn't aggressively back a high total here. Bayern will almost certainly spend most of the match in Stuttgart's half and can rack up several corners before the break. In the April meeting at the Allianz Arena, Bayern had 11 corners to Stuttgart's three, but in the DFB-Pokal final the count was 0-3 in Stuttgart's favour. Match dynamics play a big role in how corners are distributed: if Bayern go ahead early, Stuttgart will be forced to open up, giving the hosts even more space - but not necessarily more corners. A moderate line looks more sensible here. Prediction: Total Corners - Over 8.5 at odds of 1.33*.
π Player Prop Bet
The standout pick here is Harry Kane. The Englishman scored 36 goals last season, registered 113 shots on target, and has found the net against Stuttgart in each of the last two seasons. In the December fixture in Stuttgart, he came off the bench in the 60th minute and still managed a hat-trick, taking four shots in the process. He also scored three times in the DFB-Pokal final. With the volume of possession Bayern tend to enjoy, Kane will almost certainly get several chances to finish. My bet is on Harry Kane to Score at 1.48*.
π± Risky Bet
Bayern will likely take the initiative from the off and look to impose themselves early, but Stuttgart are capable of hitting back through quick transitions and the space that opens up behind the defensive line. That kind of pattern could lead to goals being exchanged in the first half, particularly if the hosts score first and Stuttgart don't sit deep in response. In that scenario, a 1-1 at the break looks the most logical outcome, though something like 2-2 can't be ruled out either. That's what makes Half-Time Draw + Total Goals Over 1.5 in the First Half an interesting higher-risk option. Odds: 6.60*.
π― Reliable Bet
Strip away the noise and Bayern's win is the most logical outcome. They have won their last six matches against Stuttgart, took both domestic trophies from them in head-to-head meetings last season, and are opening the league campaign at home. Bayern have also already played a competitive match, winning the Super Cup, while Stuttgart's previous outing was a win in Rostock - a considerably easier test than what awaits them here. The hosts' key advantage is not just the gap in individual quality, but their ability to turn up the pressure after the break as opponents start to fade physically. Reliable Bet: Bayern Munich to Win at 1.29*.
π If the match doesn't go to script
If Stuttgart score first against the run of play, Bayern are likely to become more aggressive going forward. Recent head-to-head meetings suggest Kompany's side are capable of turning matches around through sustained pressure and squad depth. In the April fixture, the Swabians opened the scoring but ended up losing 2-4. So if the visitors do take an early lead, I wouldn't switch sides - if anything, the increased attacking volume from the hosts would make Bayern Munich Team Total - Over 2.5 an interesting live option. The odds are 1.62*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
β Editor's Pick
Bayern are the clear favourites here, but I wouldn't expect a repeat of last season's 5-0 or 4-0. Stuttgart have kept their attacking quality and added PeiΔinoviΔ and PrΓΆmel. The bigger concern is their defence: against Bayern's high press and the constant movement of Kane, Olise and DΓaz, Stuttgart will need to put in a very disciplined performance. Munich do have injury problems, most notably the absence of Musiala, but the Super Cup showed that Kompany already has workable solutions in place. I expect the champions to start the season with a win, though not necessarily a clean sheet. Main bet: Bayern Munich - Handicap -1.5. My predicted correct score: 3-1.
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Betting Tips: Bayern Munich - Stuttgart
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