Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction
🔊 Can Iñigo Pérez's side secure a European spot to close out the season? One of the standout fixtures of La Liga’s Matchday 38 sees Alavés host Rayo Vallecano at Mendizorrotza. Last weekend, Quique Sánchez Flores’ squad clinched their top-flight status for another year. Meanwhile, the “Bees” are eyeing Getafe’s place in the league’s top seven. Bookmakers give a slight edge to the home team.
Head-to-Head
📊 The sides have already faced each other twice this season. Back in October, Rayo Vallecano edged out Alavés 1-0 at home in La Liga, but the “Glorious Ones” got their revenge in the Copa del Rey Round of 16, winning 2-0 at Mendizorrotza. Looking at their last ten head-to-head clashes, Alavés average 0.9 goals per game, while Rayo Vallecano are just ahead with 1.0. Notably, six of their previous meetings in Vitoria-Gasteiz have seen no more than two goals scored.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Deportivo Alaves Team Overview
⚪ Quique Sánchez Flores’ side delivered a textbook finish to the season, securing their place in Spain’s top flight with authority. Over their last five matches, the Glorious Ones have suffered just a single defeat-only Atlético and Barcelona have collected more points during this stretch. With survival guaranteed, Alavés head into this Matchday 38 fixture with nothing on the line in terms of league position. It’s worth noting their average output: the Babazorros have scored 1.16 goals per game while conceding 1.46.
🔵 In the previous La Liga round, Alavés clinched a decisive victory over Real Oviedo (1-0). Toni Martínez emerged as the hero, his clinical finish ensuring the Glorious Ones’ survival in the Spanish elite. Quique Sánchez Flores has adapted his tactics to suit his squad’s strengths, squeezing the most out of his players. Toni Martínez also leads Alavés in scoring this La Liga campaign, with 13 goals in 36 appearances.
Match Results: Deportivo Alaves
Rayo Vallecano Team Overview
🔴 The “Bees” are enjoying a superb run of form. Iñigo Pérez’s side are unbeaten in their last six La Liga matches, and they’re on the verge of making history with their first-ever European final appearance. A win in the final round could propel Rayo Vallecano into the top seven of La Liga. This season can hardly be called a failure-Pérez is getting the absolute most out of his squad. On average, Rayo Vallecano score 1.05 goals per game while conceding 1.16.
⚪ Last weekend, Rayo Vallecano claimed a crucial victory over Villarreal (2-0). Iñigo Pérez’s high-pressing tactical setup caught the “Yellow Submarine” off guard. The hosts maintained defensive compactness, shutting down spaces and denying Villarreal the chance to exploit their biggest strength-attacking in transition. Jorge de Frutos remains the driving force up front for the Bees this La Liga campaign, with the Spanish forward netting 10 goals in 35 appearances.
Match Results: Rayo Vallecano
Latest news
Deportivo Alaves
❌ The only notable absentee for Alavés is Facundo Garcés, who has been serving an eight-month suspension since March following the controversy surrounding his Malaysian passport. Aside from that, the coaching staff of the Babazorros have a full-strength squad at their disposal for the upcoming clash.
Rayo Vallecano
❌ Ilias Akhomach is highly likely to miss the final match of the national championship, as the Moroccan forward is sidelined with a groin injury. It remains unclear whether he will be available for the last two games of the current season. Rayo Vallecano will also be without Álvaro García-head coach has confirmed that García’s physical condition rules him out of official fixtures. Luis Felipe’s season ended back in late April after he suffered a torn hamstring, which will keep him out for four months of rehabilitation. Finally, Isi Palazón and Unai López are both suspended and will not feature in the final round of La Liga.
⚽ Goals Prediction
Expecting a high-scoring affair here would be overly optimistic. Each of Rayo Vallecano’s last six matches has seen no more than two goals. The same trend holds for the previous nine head-to-head meetings between Alavés and Rayo Vallecano. Both sides tend to play cautiously, focusing on their opponents’ strengths and rarely forcing the issue early on. Our pick: Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.85*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
It’s worth noting the average number of corners won by each team this season: Alavés average 4.9, while Rayo Vallecano register 5.7 per match. Both teams press high and look to exploit the flanks, which drives these numbers up. In fact, four of the last five head-to-head encounters have featured at least 11 corners. The recommended bet here is Over 9.5 corners at odds of 1.73*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
Editor’s Prediction
When considering the main bet, motivation on both sides is key. Alaves have already secured their top-flight status and have nothing left to play for this season, while the “Bees” still have plenty at stake-a top-seven finish could mean European football, especially if the Conference League final doesn’t go their way. Rayo Vallecano’s unbeaten run in La Liga further boosts their prospects heading into the final round of fixtures. A narrow 1-0 away win looks plausible here, with the standout bet being that Rayo Vallecano avoid defeat.
Betting Tips: Deportivo Alaves - Rayo Vallecano
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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