Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction 1 September 2026
🔊 The Portsmouth vs Derby County fixture is drawing attention due to the contrast in the two sides' positions and their current form. The hosts have made an inconsistent start, picking up three points from three games and sitting some way off the automatic promotion places. The visitors find themselves close to the danger zone already, with just one point and plenty of motivation to avoid early-season trouble. Both teams have been conceding freely, as their early-season statistics show.
Head-to-Head
📊 Portsmouth and Derby County have met 9 times in official fixtures. The hosts have won once, the visitors twice, with six draws. Derby have the edge in goals scored - 13 against Portsmouth's 9. On average, the two sides have scored 1.11 goals per first half and 1.33 per second half, giving an overall average of 2.44 goals per match.
Head-to-head statistics Portsmouth - Derby
Portsmouth Team Overview
Portsmouth come into this match having won one and lost two of their last three games. They have been reasonably consistent in front of goal, averaging 1.67 goals per game, but their defence has been leaking - conceding exactly two goals per match on average. Over their last ten matches, Portsmouth have won five, lost four and drawn one; their goal difference over that run also points to an open style of play, with averages of 1.5 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
The club are aiming for promotion, though at this early stage of the season that is more of a general direction than an immediate source of pressure.
Match Results: Portsmouth
Derby Team Overview
Derby County have yet to end their poor run, going three matches without a win - two defeats and one draw. Their average goals scored has dropped to one per game, while they are conceding more than two, the worst defensive record in the data presented. Over their last ten matches, the visitors have won just three times and lost six, averaging 1.3 goals scored per game against 1.7 conceded.
Derby County's league position means they are already fighting to stay up, sitting close to the relegation zone and needing to respond to their difficult start more urgently than usual.
Match Results: Derby
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Portsmouth have scored and conceded in seven consecutive matches, which points to a consistent pattern of both sides finding the net. Their last 10 home games back this up: they average 1.25 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per match. Derby County also score regularly away from home - averaging 1.5 goals per game over their last 10 away matches - and Portsmouth have conceded against this opponent in seven consecutive head-to-head meetings. All of this points towards Both Teams to Score - Yes.
Reliable Bet
Portsmouth have scored in 13 consecutive matches, which backs up a strong trend in this market. Their seasonal average is 1.67 goals per game, while across their last 10 home matches that figure stands at 1.25. Given Derby County's shaky defence - 2.33 goals conceded per game on average this season - Portsmouth Team Total - Over 0.5 at 1.3* looks extremely reliable.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11.99%), 2-1 (8.36%) and 1-0 (8.21%). The most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw, though the other two options, both favouring Portsmouth, also have a meaningful chance. The probabilities are fairly close, which suggests a potentially even match.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.*
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Looking at the recent form of both sides, the likelihood of goals at both ends has rarely been higher in this fixture. Portsmouth have been scoring regularly despite their inconsistent defence - they have seen both teams score in seven consecutive matches, which is fully consistent with the Both Teams to Score trend from the club's recent results. Derby County's weak defence also increases the chances of this market landing: the visitors regularly allow opponents to create chances and frequently manage at least one goal themselves even when their attacking output is limited. Our preferred bet is Both Teams to Score - Yes. Predicted score: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Portsmouth - Derby
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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