Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction
⭐️ The upcoming clash between Alaves and Rayo Vallecano promises to be a true test for both teams. Both clubs are in fine form, and each boasts its own strengths. They will battle it out for a spot in the Copa del Rey quarterfinals. So, a fierce contest (in every sense of the word!) is guaranteed. Read the prediction for their showdown below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Rayo Vallecano were the home side):
- possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 5;
- fouls: 13 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 2.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Alaves and Rayo Vallecano:
- 23 matches played;
- home wins - 9, away wins - 11, draws - 3;
- goals scored - 25 for Alaves, 24 for Rayo Vallecano;
- average total goals in the first half - 0.96, in the second half - 1.17;
- average total goals per match - 2.13.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Deportivo Alaves Team Overview
The team's last official match was part of the La Liga tournament, with Villarreal hosting Alaves. The match concluded with a 3-1 victory.
Here are the game statistics (Alaves vs Villarreal):
- possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 1;
- fouls: 14 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
Alaves, despite a few setbacks in their last five matches, show a strong will to win. Their current form stands at three victories and two losses, with a goal difference of -1. The team is renowned for its solid defense and ability to withstand pressure from opponents when playing at home. Their most recent head-to-head with Rayo Vallecano ended in a narrow 0-1 defeat for Alaves, which will undoubtedly serve as motivation for the upcoming game.
Match Results: Deportivo Alaves

Rayo Vallecano Team Overview
The most recent official match for the current visitors was in La Liga (home team - Rayo Vallecano, visitors - Mallorca). The match ended with a scoreline of 2-1.
Here are the game statistics (Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca):
- possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
- fouls: 14 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 5;
- shots on target: 5 vs 2.
Rayo Vallecano, known as "The Bees," are in excellent form, boasting three wins in their last five matches (a +3 record). The team is characterized by an aggressive style of play, frequently relying on quick counterattacks and high pressing against opponents. They have averaged more than a goal per game over their last ten outings. Considering their successful performance against Alaves earlier this season (1-0), the visitors will be confident in their abilities.
Match Results: Rayo Vallecano
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.09, the guests - 1.04;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.13;
- both teams scored: overall - 6; at the home team's field - 2.
Statistics: Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano
- average total in the tournament: 3.67 vs 4.67;
- average total goals scored: 3.67 vs 3.67;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.67 vs 1;
- average total in the 2nd half: 2 vs 2.67;
- Deportivo Alaves: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- Rayo Vallecano: average total away in the tournament - 3.67;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 0.8) vs 1.4 (away - 1.4).
- Deportivo Alaves have scored under 1.5 goals in last 8 games against Rayo Vallecano.
- Deportivo Alaves have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 home games against Rayo Vallecano.
- Deportivo Alaves have scored under 1.5 goals in 9 of last 10 games.
- Deportivo Alaves have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 home games.
Prediction on corners
Deportivo Alaves: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.33; at home field - 11;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.5; at home field - 6.2.
Rayo Vallecano: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.33, away - 7.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.2; away - 6.4.
- Rayo Vallecano have taken over 4.5 corners in last 7 games against Deportivo Alaves.
- Rayo Vallecano have taken over 4.5 corners in 9 of last 10 away games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 23;
- both teams scored all-time - 6 times;
- on the home team’s field - 2 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:2 (11/120, 9.2%), 1:2 (11/120, 9.2%);
- Deportivo Alaves at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (1/1, 100%);
- Rayo Vallecano away most often play: 1:2 , 1:3 , 1:6 (1/3, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.87% (odds 5)
1:0 - 8.81% (odds 5.25)
2:1 - 8.04% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Rayo Vallecano's recent statistical trends strongly suggest a likelihood of hitting the over, making the bet on over 1.5 goals a priority. Both teams favor an open style of play and feature players capable of scoring from half-chances even under tight marking. The high attacking intensity and mutual defensive lapses allow us to anticipate at least two goals in this matchup. A 1-1 scoreline in regular time is possible.