Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

    ⭐️ The upcoming clash between Alaves and Rayo Vallecano promises to be a true test for both teams. Both clubs are in fine form, and each boasts its own strengths. They will battle it out for a spot in the Copa del Rey quarterfinals. So, a fierce contest (in every sense of the word!) is guaranteed. Read the prediction for their showdown below.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Rayo Vallecano were the home side):

    • possession: 53% vs 47%;
    • corner kicks: 7 vs 5;
    • fouls: 13 vs 11;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 2.

    📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Alaves and Rayo Vallecano:

    • 23 matches played;
    • home wins - 9, away wins - 11, draws - 3;
    • goals scored - 25 for Alaves, 24 for Rayo Vallecano;
    • average total goals in the first half - 0.96, in the second half - 1.17;
    • average total goals per match - 2.13.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    40%
    10 Wins
    12%
    3 Draws
    48%
    12 Wins
    Total games
    25
    Total Goals Avg
    2.16
    Both teams scored
    28%
    1.12
    Total average
    1.04
    1.16
    Yellow cards
    1.04
    Last matches
    23.05.26
    La Liga
    Deportivo Alaves
    Deportivo Alaves
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    2.13
    1.23
    10
    5
    13
    14
    3
    3
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    2.13
    1.23
    10
    5
    13
    14
    3
    3
    14.01.26
    Copa del Rey
    Deportivo Alaves
    Deportivo Alaves
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    1
    2.01
    0.8
    4
    8
    15
    13
    3
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2.01
    0.8
    4
    8
    15
    13
    3
    1
    26.10.25
    La Liga
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    Deportivo Alaves
    Deportivo Alaves
    1.39
    1.1
    7
    5
    13
    11
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.39
    1.1
    7
    5
    13
    11
    1
    3
    29.03.25
    La Liga
    Deportivo Alaves
    Deportivo Alaves
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    1.6
    0.68
    8
    5
    14
    12
    3
    5
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    1.6
    0.68
    8
    5
    14
    12
    3
    5
    26.10.24
    La Liga
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    1
    Deportivo Alaves
    Deportivo Alaves
    1.62
    1.07
    6
    2
    8
    15
    2
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.62
    1.07
    6
    2
    8
    15
    2
    4
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    Deportivo Alaves Team Overview

    The team's last official match was part of the La Liga tournament, with Villarreal hosting Alaves. The match concluded with a 3-1 victory.

    Here are the game statistics (Alaves vs Villarreal):

    • possession: 56% vs 44%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 1;
    • fouls: 14 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 4.

    Alaves, despite a few setbacks in their last five matches, show a strong will to win. Their current form stands at three victories and two losses, with a goal difference of -1. The team is renowned for its solid defense and ability to withstand pressure from opponents when playing at home. Their most recent head-to-head with Rayo Vallecano ended in a narrow 0-1 defeat for Alaves, which will undoubtedly serve as motivation for the upcoming game.

    Match Results: Deportivo Alaves

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    La Liga
    Deportivo Alaves
    Deportivo Alaves
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    2.13
    1.23
    10
    5
    13
    14
    3
    3
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    2.13
    1.23
    10
    5
    13
    14
    3
    3
    L
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Real Oviedo
    Real Oviedo
    Deportivo Alaves
    Deportivo Alaves
    0.63
    1.36
    5
    2
    13
    18
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.63
    1.36
    5
    2
    13
    18
    3
    1
    W
    13.05.26
    La Liga
    Deportivo Alaves
    Deportivo Alaves
    Barcelona
    Barcelona
    0.99
    0.71
    6
    4
    14
    8
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.99
    0.71
    6
    4
    14
    8
    1
    2
    W
    09.05.26
    La Liga
    Elche CF
    Elche CF
    Deportivo Alaves
    Deportivo Alaves
    1.89
    1.87
    7
    3
    15
    13
    3
    6
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.89
    1.87
    7
    3
    15
    13
    3
    6
    D
    02.05.26
    La Liga
    Deportivo Alaves
    Deportivo Alaves
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    0.53
    0.94
    4
    6
    8
    13
    4
    3
    2
    4
    1
    0
    1
    4
    0.53
    0.94
    4
    6
    8
    13
    4
    3
    L
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    Rayo Vallecano Team Overview

    The most recent official match for the current visitors was in La Liga (home team - Rayo Vallecano, visitors - Mallorca). The match ended with a scoreline of 2-1.

    Here are the game statistics (Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca):

    • possession: 53% vs 47%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
    • fouls: 14 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 5;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 2.

    Rayo Vallecano, known as "The Bees," are in excellent form, boasting three wins in their last five matches (a +3 record). The team is characterized by an aggressive style of play, frequently relying on quick counterattacks and high pressing against opponents. They have averaged more than a goal per game over their last ten outings. Considering their successful performance against Alaves earlier this season (1-0), the visitors will be confident in their abilities.

    Match Results: Rayo Vallecano

    Last matches
    27.05.26
    Conference League
    Crystal Palace
    Crystal Palace
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    1.85
    0.76
    4
    1
    16
    15
    3
    6
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.85
    0.76
    4
    1
    16
    15
    3
    6
    L
    23.05.26
    La Liga
    Deportivo Alaves
    Deportivo Alaves
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    2.13
    1.23
    10
    5
    13
    14
    3
    3
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    2.13
    1.23
    10
    5
    13
    14
    3
    3
    W
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    1.61
    1.16
    1
    9
    12
    10
    2
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.61
    1.16
    1
    9
    12
    10
    2
    1
    W
    14.05.26
    La Liga
    Valencia
    Valencia
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    0.79
    1.16
    5
    1
    9
    20
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0.79
    1.16
    5
    1
    9
    20
    1
    1
    D
    11.05.26
    La Liga
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    Girona
    Girona
    1.47
    1.01
    9
    5
    10
    9
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.47
    1.01
    9
    5
    10
    9
    1
    1
    D
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    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.09, the guests - 1.04;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.13;
    • both teams scored: overall - 6; at the home team's field - 2.

    Statistics: Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano

    • average total in the tournament: 3.67 vs 4.67;
    • average total goals scored: 3.67 vs 3.67;
    • average total in the 1st half: 1.67 vs 1;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 2 vs 2.67;
    • Deportivo Alaves: average total at home in the tournament -  1;
    • Rayo Vallecano: average total away in the tournament - 3.67;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 0.8) vs 1.4 (away - 1.4).
    Trends
    • Deportivo Alaves have scored under 1.5 goals in last 8 games against Rayo Vallecano.
    • Deportivo Alaves have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 home games against Rayo Vallecano.
    • Deportivo Alaves have scored under 1.5 goals in 9 of last 10 games.
    • Deportivo Alaves have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 home games.
    👉Prediction: Deportivo Alaves Total goals Under (1.5)(odds: 1.35)

    Prediction on corners

    Deportivo Alaves: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.33; at home field - 11;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.5; at home field - 6.2.

    Rayo Vallecano: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.33, away - 7.33;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.2; away - 6.4.
    Trends
    • Rayo Vallecano have taken over 4.5 corners in last 7 games against Deportivo Alaves.
    • Rayo Vallecano have taken over 4.5 corners in 9 of last 10 away games.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Rayo Vallecano Total Over (4.5)(odds: 1.83)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 23;
    • both teams scored all-time - 6 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 2 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 2.14)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 0:2 (11/120, 9.2%), 1:2 (11/120, 9.2%);
    • Deportivo Alaves at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (1/1, 100%);
    • Rayo Vallecano away most often play: 1:2 , 1:3 , 1:6 (1/3, 33.3%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 12.87% (odds 5)
    1:0 - 8.81% (odds 5.25)
    2:1 - 8.04% (odds 8.5)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:1)(odds: 5)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Rayo Vallecano's recent statistical trends strongly suggest a likelihood of hitting the over, making the bet on over 1.5 goals a priority. Both teams favor an open style of play and feature players capable of scoring from half-chances even under tight marking. The high attacking intensity and mutual defensive lapses allow us to anticipate at least two goals in this matchup. A 1-1 scoreline in regular time is possible.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (1.5) at odds of -189*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (12 January 2026, 20:24)

    Betting Tips: Deportivo Alaves - Rayo Vallecano

    Deportivo Alaves have scored under 1.5 goals
    cd-alavesrayo-vallecano-1in last 8 games against Rayo Vallecano.
    cd-alavesrayo-vallecano-1in last 5 home games against Rayo Vallecano.
    cd-alavesin 9 of last 10 games.
    cd-alavesin last 5 home games.
    Deportivo Alaves Total goals Under (1.5)
    Everygame
    -250
    Rayo Vallecano have conceded
    rayo-vallecano-1in 9 of last 10 away games.
    Deportivo Alaves will score goal
    MyBookie
    +115
    Under 2.5 goals scored
    cd-alavesrayo-vallecano-1in last 8 Deportivo Alaves games against Rayo Vallecano.
    cd-alavesrayo-vallecano-1in last 5 Deportivo Alaves home games against Rayo Vallecano.
    Total goals Under (2.5)
    Everygame
    -189
    Over 2.5 goals scored
    in 8 of last 9 Francisco Jose Hernandez Maeso games (in the Copa del Rey).
    Total goals Over (2.5)
    Everygame
    +135
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draws - 3
    Lose - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 18
    Conceded - 18
    0
    +7
    14 - Scored
    7 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    6
    3
    Draws
    3
    3
    Loses
    1
    Goal difference
    18
    Scored
    14
    18
    Conceded
    7
    3.6
    Match goals average
    2.1
    1.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.4
    1.8
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.7
    8
    Both teams scored
    4
    50'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    64'
    View all stats