Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction 14 January 2026
⭐️ The upcoming clash between Alaves and Rayo Vallecano promises to be a true test for both teams. Both clubs are in fine form, and each boasts its own strengths. They will battle it out for a spot in the Copa del Rey quarterfinals. So, a fierce contest (in every sense of the word!) is guaranteed. Read the prediction for their showdown below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Rayo Vallecano were the home side):
- possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 5;
- fouls: 13 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 2.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Alaves and Rayo Vallecano:
- 23 matches played;
- home wins - 9, away wins - 11, draws - 3;
- goals scored - 25 for Alaves, 24 for Rayo Vallecano;
- average total goals in the first half - 0.96, in the second half - 1.17;
- average total goals per match - 2.13.
Head-to-head statistics Alaves - Rayo Vallecano
Deportivo Alaves Team Overview
The team's last official match was part of the La Liga tournament, with Villarreal hosting Alaves. The match concluded with a 3-1 victory.
Here are the game statistics (Alaves vs Villarreal):
- possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 1;
- fouls: 14 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
Alaves, despite a few setbacks in their last five matches, show a strong will to win. Their current form stands at three victories and two losses, with a goal difference of -1. The team is renowned for its solid defense and ability to withstand pressure from opponents when playing at home. Their most recent head-to-head with Rayo Vallecano ended in a narrow 0-1 defeat for Alaves, which will undoubtedly serve as motivation for the upcoming game.
Match Results: Deportivo Alaves
Rayo Vallecano Team Overview
The most recent official match for the current visitors was in La Liga (home team - Rayo Vallecano, visitors - Mallorca). The match ended with a scoreline of 2-1.
Here are the game statistics (Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca):
- possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
- fouls: 14 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 5;
- shots on target: 5 vs 2.
Rayo Vallecano, known as "The Bees," are in excellent form, boasting three wins in their last five matches (a +3 record). The team is characterized by an aggressive style of play, frequently relying on quick counterattacks and high pressing against opponents. They have averaged more than a goal per game over their last ten outings. Considering their successful performance against Alaves earlier this season (1-0), the visitors will be confident in their abilities.
Match Results: Rayo Vallecano
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.09, the guests - 1.04;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.13;
- both teams scored: overall - 6; at the home team's field - 2.
Statistics: Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano
- average total in the tournament: 3.67 vs 4.67;
- average total goals scored: 3.67 vs 3.67;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.67 vs 1;
- average total in the 2nd half: 2 vs 2.67;
- Deportivo Alaves: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- Rayo Vallecano: average total away in the tournament - 3.67;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 0.8) vs 1.4 (away - 1.4).
- Deportivo Alaves have scored under 1.5 goals in last 8 games against Rayo Vallecano.
- Deportivo Alaves have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 home games against Rayo Vallecano.
- Deportivo Alaves have scored under 1.5 goals in 9 of last 10 games.
- Deportivo Alaves have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 home games.
Prediction on corners
Deportivo Alaves: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.33; at home field - 11;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.5; at home field - 6.2.
Rayo Vallecano: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.33, away - 7.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.2; away - 6.4.
- Rayo Vallecano have taken over 4.5 corners in last 7 games against Deportivo Alaves.
- Rayo Vallecano have taken over 4.5 corners in 9 of last 10 away games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 23;
- both teams scored all-time - 6 times;
- on the home team’s field - 2 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:2 (11/120, 9.2%), 1:2 (11/120, 9.2%);
- Deportivo Alaves at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (1/1, 100%);
- Rayo Vallecano away most often play: 1:2 , 1:3 , 1:6 (1/3, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.87% (odds 5)
1:0 - 8.81% (odds 5.25)
2:1 - 8.04% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Rayo Vallecano's recent statistical trends strongly suggest a likelihood of hitting the over, making the bet on over 1.5 goals a priority. Both teams favor an open style of play and feature players capable of scoring from half-chances even under tight marking. The high attacking intensity and mutual defensive lapses allow us to anticipate at least two goals in this matchup. A 1-1 scoreline in regular time is possible.
No comments
Betting Tips: Deportivo Alaves - Rayo Vallecano
in last 8 games against Rayo Vallecano.in last 5 home games against Rayo Vallecano.in 9 of last 10 games.in last 5 home games.
in 9 of last 10 away games.
in last 8 Deportivo Alaves games against Rayo Vallecano.in last 5 Deportivo Alaves home games against Rayo Vallecano.
in 8 of last 9 Francisco Jose Hernandez Maeso games (in the Copa del Rey).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
