Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves Prediction
🔈 Can the "Bees" live up to their favorite tag in the upcoming clash? The final match of Sunday's La Liga schedule features a showdown between Rayo Vallecano and Alaves at the Campo de Vallecas. Both teams are neighbors in the standings, eager to solidify their positions by the end of this round. Unlike Alaves, the capital club has the added burden of participating in the Conference League. The bookmakers' odds are influenced by the current form of the teams and the home-field advantage, which largely explains why they give a twofold edge to Inigo Perez's side.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the last 10 head-to-head encounters, Rayo Vallecano hold a solid advantage with 7 wins to Alaves' 3. Interestingly, at the "Campo de Vallecas," the home side have triumphed over Alaves in their last 3 consecutive matches. The last away victory for the "Glorious" against the "Bees" dates back to the 2018/19 La Liga season (5-1). The average goals scored by each side throughout their history of meetings stands at 1.2 for Rayo Vallecano and 1.2 for Alaves.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Rayo Vallecano Team Overview
⚪ The capital club is highly ambitious this season. Not only are Iñigo Pérez's squad participating in the European campaign, but they also aim to maintain their momentum in the domestic league. After 9 matches, the "Bees" have accumulated 11 points, placing them 11th in the standings. This position is largely due to a less-than-ideal start to the season. However, Rayo Vallecano are currently on a four-match unbeaten streak. "Campo de Vallecas" hasn't yet become an impregnable fortress, as the local team has not secured a single victory in La Liga at home this season.
🔴 During the week, the "Bees" traveled to Gothenburg to face local side Häcken. Despite their superior class, Rayo Vallecano miraculously managed to earn a point at "Gamla Ullevi"-Andrei Rațiu equalized in the 13th minute of added time, making it 2-2. Even the expected goals statistics indicate a significant advantage for the Swedish team: 2.16 to 1.62 in Häcken's favor. It's worth noting that Iñigo Pérez didn't opt for significant squad rotation last Thursday, which might affect the players' freshness.
Match Results: Rayo Vallecano
Deportivo Alaves Team Overview
⚪ The "Glorious" may not be known for consistent performances, but they regularly manage to pick up points. Currently, the club from Vitoria-Gasteiz has accumulated 12 points after 9 rounds, placing them 10th in the league standings. Eduardo Coudet's squad is distinguished by their exemplary defense, conceding only 0.89 goals per match (the best in the league). On the flip side, their attacking play leaves much to be desired, with just 1 goal per game (ranking 16th in the league).
🔵 In the last round of La Liga, the "Bean Destroyers" hosted Valencia at their home ground, ending in a 0-0 draw. The match was never expected to be a high-scoring affair and was anticipated to focus on physical battles. As a result, neither side managed to find the back of the net. Eduardo Coudet favors a pragmatic style, building his team's play from a solid defense. Analyzing their xPTS (expected points) value of 13.78, it's clear that the "Glorious" often face misfortune in matches, with their finishing frequently letting them down.
Match Results: Deportivo Alaves
Latest news
Rayo Vallecano
📰 In the last round of La Liga, Rayo Vallecano outclassed Levante with a 3-0 victory. This match was historic not only for the club but also for Álvaro García. The 32-year-old midfielder became the club's all-time top scorer in La Liga, netting his 29th goal. Previously, the record was held by Alberto Bueno, who scored 28 before leaving Rayo Vallecano in 2015. This season, Álvaro García remains a key player, not just for his on-field contributions (7 goals and 3 assists in 13 matches across all competitions this season) but also due to his excellent physical condition. Notably, since the 2016/17 season, he has consistently played at least 32 league matches each season.
❌ Rayo Vallecano's injury list includes Luis Felipe (hamstring injury) and Abdul Mumin (knee injury).
Deportivo Alaves
🎤 Ahead of the match against Rayo Vallecano, forward Toni Martinez shared his thoughts on the team's situation: “These have been weeks of intense work. We must always strive for more, but being in a comfort zone gives us peace of mind. However, we cannot take our foot off the pedal. We need to keep improving. Rayo Vallecano have a very deep squad. We'll need to maintain intensity and find their weaknesses. As long as we believe we can turn threats into goals, they will come. Depending on the match, we adapt our roles. My job is to get into the box, support Lucas, and contribute to our playmaking. The team is ready for whatever lies ahead.”
❌ The only player Eduardo Coudet cannot count on for the upcoming match is Facundo Garces, who is suspended.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
In 7 of Alaves' last 8 matches, there have been at least 5 cautions issued. A similar trend is evident in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head encounters between these teams. Let's also note the average number of yellow cards each side has received this season: Rayo Vallecano - 2.6, Alaves - 2.1. Considering these insights, we suggest the following bet - total yellow cards over 4.5.
⚽ Goal Prediction
Meetings between Rayo Vallecano and Alaves are characterized by a slow pace and a low number of goals. In the last 7 encounters, there have been no more than 2 goals scored. A similar pattern is observed in 6 of Alaves' last 8 matches. Taking these insights into account, the most reasonable bet for this match is total goals under 2.5.
🚩 Corner Prediction
It's noteworthy that both clubs rank among the league leaders in average corners per game: Rayo Vallecano - 6.3, Alaves - 6.6. Additionally, in each of the last 7 matches involving "the Bees," there have been at least 11 corner kicks. We can certainly expect frequent counter-attacking plays from both sides, impacting this statistical aspect. Our editorial choice is total corners over 9.5.
Editor's Prediction
Considering Alaves' inconsistency and the potential fatigue of Rayo Vallecano's players, it seems unwise to bet on the outcome of this clash. The head-to-head history between these teams clearly indicates a tendency for low-scoring encounters, suggesting a match filled with intense battles on the field. For both the "Bees" and the "Glorious," every point is crucial, so don't expect flashy football or overly aggressive attacking play. A final score of 1-1 is quite plausible. The key choice here is under 2.5 goals.
Betting Tips: Rayo Vallecano - Deportivo Alaves
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
