Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 May 2026
🔊 Cruzeiro head into this fixture on the back of a strong run, having lost just once in their last ten outings and displaying far greater defensive solidity than their opponents. Chapecoense, currently bottom of the table, continue to struggle for consistency and have conceded over two goals per game on average this season. The key storyline here is the stark contrast in defensive quality and motivation: the hosts are pushing for a climb up the standings, while the visitors are desperate for points to escape the relegation zone.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of official head-to-head meetings between Cruzeiro and Chapecoense:
- 21 matches played;
- The hosts have claimed 9 wins, the visitors have 6 victories, with 6 draws;
- Total goals scored: 28 for Cruzeiro, 19 for Chapecoense;
- Average goals in the first half: 0.95; in the second half: 1.29;
- Average total goals per match: 2.24.
Head-to-head statistics Cruzeiro - Chapecoense
Cruzeiro Team Overview
The team's most recent official fixture took place on in the Copa Libertadores, with Boca Juniors hosting Cruzeiro. The match ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the key match stats (Cruzeiro vs Boca Juniors):
- Possession: 46% vs 54%;
- Corners: 1 vs 12;
- Fouls committed: 15 vs 14;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 3 vs 10.
🔵 Cruzeiro are enjoying a solid run of form, with five wins, one defeat, and four draws in their last ten outings. During this stretch, they average 1.2 goals per game while conceding just 0.8, highlighting the team’s defensive stability. However, their attack has not been especially prolific, with a season average of just 1.31 goals per match. The head-to-head stats further illustrate their struggles to break down well-organized defences-almost every meeting between these sides has produced under 2.5 goals.
Match Results: Cruzeiro
Chapecoense Team Overview
The visitors last took to the pitch on in the Copa Sul-Sudeste, where they faced Novorizontino away from home. Chapecoense came out on top with a 2-0 victory.
Here’s how the key stats broke down (Chapecoense vs Novorizontino):
- Possession: 51% vs 49%;
- Corners: 3 vs 2;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 10 vs 6.
🟢 Chapecoense remain rooted to the bottom of the table, with just a single win from their first fifteen matches of the season. Over their last ten outings in all competitions, they have picked up four victories but suffered five defeats, consistently struggling at the back-conceding an average of two goals per game across the league campaign, a figure that remains high even as recent form shows slight improvement (1.5 goals conceded per match). On the attacking front, however, Chapecoense have shown plenty of intent-a run of eight consecutive games with at least one goal scored highlights their ability to create and convert chances, even when facing stronger opposition.
Match Results: Chapecoense
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head:
- Matches played - 21;
- First-half wins: home side - 3; away side - 5; draws - 3;
- Average first-half total: 0.95 goals;
- This season’s hosts average 0.52 goals in the first half, while the visitors score 0.43.
First-half stats: Cruzeiro (home) vs Chapecoense (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 6;
- Wins: 3 (37.5%) vs 0 (0%);
- Losses: 1 (12.5%) vs 1 (16.67%);
- Draws: 4 (50%) vs 5 (83.33%);
- Average goals scored: 1.38 vs 0.17;
- Average goals conceded: 0.5 vs 0.17.
Last 10 matches (overall):
- Wins: 2 vs 2;
- Losses: 2 vs 1;
- Draws: 6 vs 7;
- Average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.6) vs 1.5 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.7).
- Chapecoense have drawn the first half in seven of their last eight away fixtures.
- Chapecoense have drawn the first half in six of their last seven Serie A matches.
Match Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head record:
- Games played - 21;
- Home side wins - 9, Away wins - 6, Draws - 6.
Stats: Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense
- Matches in this competition: 16 vs 15;
- Wins: 5 vs 1;
- % of wins: 31% vs 7%;
- Losses: 6 vs 8;
- Draws: 5 vs 6.
Last 10 games:
- Wins: 5 vs 4;
- Losses: 1 vs 5;
- Draws: 4 vs 1.
- Chapecoense have covered a +1.5 handicap in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings in Serie A.
- Chapecoense have covered a +1.5 handicap in 9 consecutive matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head (average total goals):
- Home side - 1.33, Away side - 0.9;
- Combined average - 2.24;
- Both teams have scored: overall - 9 times; at the home ground - 4 times.
Average total goals stats: Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense
- This season: 2.94 vs 3.07;
- Goals scored per game: 1.31 vs 1.07;
- First half: 0.69 vs 0.4;
- Second half: 0.63 vs 0.67;
- Cruzeiro at home this season - 1.63;
- Chapecoense away this season - 0.5;
- Last 10 matches: 1.2 (home - 1.25) vs 1.4 (away - 1.2).
- Cruzeiro have scored under 2.5 goals in 17 of the last 18 head-to-head meetings.
- Cruzeiro have scored under 2.5 goals in 10 of the last 11 head-to-head Serie A encounters.
- Cruzeiro have scored under 2.5 goals at home in 8 of the last 9 head-to-head games.
- Cruzeiro have scored under 2.5 goals in each of their last 14 matches.
- Cruzeiro have scored under 2.5 goals in their last 7 Serie A fixtures.
- Cruzeiro have scored under 2.5 goals at home in their last 6 games.
Corners Prediction
Cruzeiro: Stats
- This season: average corners per match - 5.13; at home - 5.5;
- Last 10 matches: average corners - 4.8; at home - 7.
Chapecoense: Stats
- This season: average corners per match - 3.8; away - 2;
- Last 10 matches: average corners - 3.3; away - 3.
- Cruzeiro have taken over 6.5 corners in six consecutive head-to-head meetings.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- Games played - 21;
- Both teams have scored overall - 9 times;
- At the home ground - on four occasions.
Stats: Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense
- This season: games played - 16 vs 15;
- Matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): 10 vs 10;
- Cruzeiro BTTS at home - 5 (63%);
- Chapecoense BTTS away - 3 (50%).
Last ten matches:
- BTTS games: 5 vs 7;
- Cruzeiro BTTS at home - 1 (25%);
- Chapecoense BTTS away - 3 (60%).
- Chapecoense have both scored and conceded in five straight Serie A matches.
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent results this season:
- The most common scoreline in the competition: 1-1 (24/157, or 15.3%);
- Cruzeiro’s most frequent home results: 0-0, 1-1, 1-2, 1-3, 2-0, 2-1, 3-0, and 3-3 (each occurred once in eight games, or 12.5%);
- Chapecoense’s most frequent away result: 2-0 (three out of six, or a remarkable 50%).
Based on statistical analysis and probability distribution, the algorithm projects the top three likely outcomes:
1-0 - probability: 12.98% (odds: 6.5)
1-1 - probability: 10.22% (odds: 8.5)
2-1 - probability: 10.2% (odds: 8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both sides have enough attacking firepower to find the net at least once: Cruzeiro consistently score at home, while Chapecoense have maintained a run of high-scoring matches despite their struggles in the standings. The trend is further underlined by the fact that the visitors have both scored and conceded in each of their last five fixtures, which makes a goal exchange highly likely-especially with both teams feeling the pressure from their current league positions. The main prediction here is both teams to score (yes).No comments
Betting Tips: Cruzeiro - Chapecoense
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