Chapecoense vs Mirassol Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 3 November 2026
🔊 Heading into the final rounds of the season, Chapecoense sit at the bottom of the table with little left to play for, while Mirassol FC SP desperately need points to stay clear of the relegation zone. Both sides have struggled for consistency in recent weeks: the hosts have lost four of their last five matches, while the visitors have alternated between draws and defeats. Given Chapecoense’s tendency for high-scoring home games, an open contest with plenty of chances looks likely.
Head-to-head dominance
In their most recent Serie A head-to-head on 10 May 2026, Mirassol FC SP and Chapecoense played out a 1-1 draw. Mirassol FC SP registered twice as many shots-22 to 11-and earned eight corners to Chapecoense’s one. However, both sides were level in terms of shots on target, finishing with four apiece.
Mirassol FC SP remain unbeaten against Chapecoense in all five official encounters, recording four wins and a draw. During this stretch, Chapecoense have managed to score just once, failing to find the net in either of their two home fixtures.
Head-to-head statistics Chapecoense - Mirassol
There’s a lack of cutting edge up front.
In their previous Serie A outing on 28 October 2026, Chapecoense suffered a 0-3 away defeat to Bragantino. The hosts dominated in terms of shots, outshooting Chapecoense 23 to 9, including an 11 to 3 advantage in shots on target. Chapecoense’s goalkeeper was called into action frequently, making eight saves.
Chapecoense are enduring a disastrous season, with just four wins from 32 matches and nineteen defeats. The club have lost four of their last five fixtures, picking up only a single victory-a clear sign of their dramatic slump as the campaign draws to a close. Defensively, Chapecoense concede over two goals per game on average, while their attacking output remains poor, averaging just one goal per match. However, their home games tend to be entertaining affairs: over 2.5 goals have been scored in eight of their last nine Serie A home fixtures, making their matches stand out among fellow strugglers for both goals scored and conceded.
Match Results: Chapecoense
Wins are hard to come by.
In their most recent Serie A fixture, Mirassol FC SP managed just a single shot off target away to Corinthians. Corinthians fired 35 attempts and secured a 2-0 victory, while Mirassol FC SP also saw red with a sending off.
Mirassol FC SP face a crucial challenge as they look to stay clear of the relegation zone. With just a single point separating them from immediate danger, the visitors are under pressure to approach every remaining fixture with full focus. Their recent form has been inconsistent: three wins, three losses, and four draws in their last ten matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game during that stretch. Away from home, Mirassol FC SP have struggled, managing just one win in their last fifteen outings on the road-a statistic that highlights their difficulties even against lower-ranked opponents.
Match Results: Mirassol
Prediction for the 1st half
Chapecoense have conceded in the first half in eight of their last nine matches. That’s a strong case for Mirassol FC SP to find the net before the break, even though we don’t have specific first-half stats for the visitors. The pick here is Mirassol FC SP Over 0.5 First Half Goals at odds of 1.75*.
Match Result Prediction
Chapecoense have failed to win at home in 12 of their last 14 matches. This season, they have managed just three home victories, along with five draws and seven defeats. However, Mirassol FC SP have only picked up two away wins in 16 attempts, so the stats hardly suggest a comfortable victory for the visitors. The value play here is double chance on Mirassol FC SP at odds of 1.31*.
Total Goals Prediction
In eight of Chapecoense’s last nine home games, more than 2.5 goals have been scored. This season, they are conceding an average of 2.27 goals per home match, and 1.75 over their past ten outings at home. However, Mirassol FC SP’s recent run suggests a tighter affair, with under 3.5 goals in nine of their last ten matches. Despite this trend, we’re backing over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.70*.
Safer Bet
In 16 of their last 18 home matches, more than 1.5 goals have been scored at Chapecoense’s ground. This season, Chapecoense are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.27 conceded per home game. A more conservative line offers the option of over 1.5 total goals at odds of 1.20*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11.61%), 0-1 (9.99%), and 1-2 (9.61%). The highest probability goes to a 1-1 draw, while the chances for the other two outcomes stand at 9.99% and 9.61% respectively.
*Odds are approximate and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Chapecoense are clearly struggling defensively this season, with frequent mistakes at the back leading to high-scoring home games-over 2.5 goals has been a consistent trend throughout their campaign. Mirassol FC SP haven't exactly been solid on the road either and desperately need at least a point to secure their league status. However, they can't afford to sit back, as any slip could cost them their slim advantage over relegation rivals in the final stretch. Expect an open, dynamic contest with plenty of chances at both ends, driven by the hosts' defensive frailties and the visitors' motivation to attack and secure survival. The pick: over 2.5 total goals.
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Betting Tips: Chapecoense - Mirassol
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