Chapecoense vs Cruzeiro Prediction 2 August 2026
🔊 The first leg of the Copa do Brasil Round of 16 between Chapecoense and Cruzeiro takes place at Arena Conda. For the hosts, it's a chance to set up a potential upset before the return leg in Belo Horizonte. Cruzeiro, meanwhile, will want a comfortable result on the road to put one foot in the quarter-finals. The visitors are clear favourites - and they haven't lost to this opponent in their last four meetings.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the sides took place on 24 May 2026 and ended 2-1. Here's how the stats broke down that day (Cruzeiro were the home side):
- possession: 66% vs 34%;
- corners: 9 vs 2;
- fouls: 13 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 7 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview based on official meetings between Chapecoense and Cruzeiro:
- 22 matches played;
- home wins: 6, away wins: 10, draws: 6;
- goals: 20 vs 30;
- average first-half total: 0.95, second-half: 1.32;
- average total goals per match: 2.27.
Head-to-head statistics Chapecoense - Cruzeiro
Chapecoense Team Overview
The team's last official match was played on in the Série A (Santos at home, Chapecoense away). The match ended 2-2.
Match stats (Chapecoense vs Santos):
- possession: 36% vs 64%;
- corners: 1 vs 12;
- fouls: 13 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 7.
Rafael Lacerda's side reached this stage by knocking out Botafogo (0:1, 2:0), turning the tie around after losing the first leg. The league campaign is a different story - Chapecoense are down among the strugglers in Série A and have been picking up points in fits and starts.
Over the last eight matches across all competitions, they've won just once in normal time - against Avaí in the second leg of the Copa Sul-Sudeste (they went out on penalties anyway) - and lost five, drawing two. At home to Cruzeiro, Lacerda's side will almost certainly set up to be hard to beat without the ball. Arena Conda is where they'll try to keep the tie alive, knowing that in Belo Horizonte their chances will be considerably slimmer.
In nine of their last ten home matches, the Greens have scored at least once. But in six previous meetings with Cruzeiro, Chapecoense have never managed more than one goal.
Match Results: Chapecoense
Cruzeiro Team Overview
The away side's last official match took place in the Série A (home side - Coritiba, away side - Cruzeiro). The match ended 0-1.
Match stats (Cruzeiro vs Coritiba):
- possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corners: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 18 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
Cruzeiro are considered one of the main contenders for the trophy. In the previous round they knocked out Goiás (2-2, 1-0), and across their last eight official matches in all competitions they've won four, drawn three and lost once.
Arthur Jorge's side arrive in Chapecó off the back of a 1-0 away win over Coritiba - a result that extended their impressive unbeaten run on the road to nine matches (five wins, four draws). Their last visit to Arena Condá was in 2022, and they left with a 2-0 win. In fact, Cruzeiro haven't lost in their last three away matches against Chapecoense. The two sides have already met in the league this season - Cruzeiro won 2-1 in Belo Horizonte.
Beyond the gap in squad quality, the visitors also carry a psychological edge. And they've been particularly dangerous after the break: in six of their last seven matches, Cruzeiro scored at least once in the second half.
Match Results: Cruzeiro
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head:
- matches played - 22;
- first-half wins for the home side - 2; for the away side - 3; draws - 5;
- average first-half total: 0.95;
- today's hosts average 0.41 goals in the first half, the away side - 0.55.
First-half stats: Chapecoense (home) vs Cruzeiro (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 1;
- wins: 1 (100%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- draws: 0 (0%) vs 1 (100%);
- average goals scored: 2 vs 2;
- average goals conceded: 0 vs 1.
Last 10 matches (overall):
- wins: 2 vs 4;
- losses: 5 vs 3;
- draws: 3 vs 3;
- average first-half total: 1.5 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 1.1) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.5).
- Chapecoense have scored in the first half at home in 8 of their last 9 matches.
Total Prediction
Head-to-head matches (average total):
- home side - 0.91, away side - 1.36;
- in head-to-head matches - 2.27;
- both teams scored: all time - 10 times; at the home team's ground - 5 times.
- Chapecoense have scored at home in 9 of their last 10 matches.
Corner Kick Prediction
Chapecoense: Stats
- season: average total in the tournament - 5; at home - 5;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.5; at home - 6.5.
Cruzeiro: Stats
- season: average total in the tournament - 8.5; away - 3;
- last 10 matches: average total - 6.6; away - 4.6.
- Cruzeiro have taken more than 4.5 corners in 7 consecutive head-to-head matches between these two sides.
Both Teams To Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- matches played - 22;
- both teams scored - 10 times overall;
- at the home team's ground - 5 times.
Correct Score Prediction
Most common results this season:
- most frequent score in the tournament: 1:1 (20/126, 15.9%);
- Chapecoense at home most often finish matches: 2:0 (1/1, 100%);
- Cruzeiro away most often play: 2:2 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.29% (odds 5.5)
0:1 - 9.82% (odds 5.5)
1:2 - 8.59% (odds 7)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The hosts are likely to rely on compact defending and quick counterattacks. Cruzeiro have a stronger squad, although the first match of a two-legged tie rarely turns into an open contest. For the visitors, even a narrow victory would be an excellent result ahead of the return leg on their home ground.
Chapecoense can put up a fight thanks to the home advantage, but the difference in quality between the teams remains significant. Cruzeiro look like the more mature side and have good chances of taking a win away from Chapeco. Editorial prediction - Cruzeiro to win. Expected score - 1:2.
No comments
Betting Tips: Chapecoense - Cruzeiro
in 7 of last 8 games.in 10 of last 11 games.in last 9 away games.
in last 10 away games against Chapecoense.in last 22 away games.in 19 of last 20 games.in last 15 Chapecoense games against Cruzeiro.in 9 of last 10 Chapecoense home games against Cruzeiro.in 10 of last 11 Cruzeiro games.in last 7 Cruzeiro away games.
in 13 of last 14 Raphael Claus games.in last 6 games against Cruzeiro.Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
