Derby vs West Brom Prediction 23 January 2026
🔊 The match between Derby County and West Bromwich Albion will kick off the 29th round of the Championship. Both teams have their own objectives: Derby County are aiming to break into the playoff zone, while West Bromwich are fighting for survival. The hosts are in decent form, whereas the visitors are struggling with a series of setbacks. Despite this, bookmakers do not highlight a clear favorite for the upcoming clash.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 13 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - West Bromwich Albion):
- ball possession percentage: 69% vs 31%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 0;
- fouls: 8 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 0.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Derby and West Bromwich Albion:
- played 25 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 14, for the away team - 5, draws - 6;
- number of goals (home/away) - 39 against 26;
- average total goals in the match - 2.6.
Head-to-head statistics Derby - West Brom
Derby Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Charlton, away team - Derby ). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here's the game statistics (Derby vs Charlton):
- ball possession: 39% vs 61%;
- corner kicks: 0 vs 4;
- fouls: 14 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
Derby County sit in 10th place on the table, showcasing consistent performances. The team excels offensively, averaging 1.36 goals per match, but their defense is less reliable, conceding 1.29 goals per game. The Rams' form appears promising, with three victories in their last four matches, indicating a positive mindset for the hosts ahead of this fixture.
Match Results: Derby
West Bromwich Albion Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - West Bromwich Albion, away - Norwich City). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:5.
Here are the match stats (West Bromwich Albion vs Norwich City):
- ball possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 2;
- fouls: 13 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 7.
West Bromwich Albion are currently sitting 19th in the league table, enduring a challenging spell with just one win in their last five matches, which came via a penalty shootout. This highlights issues within the squad. It's important to note that the Baggies are particularly struggling away from home, having lost ten consecutive Championship matches on the road. They remain outside the relegation zone solely due to their performances at home.
Match Results: West Bromwich Albion
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Derby (Home) vs West Bromwich Albion (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- Number of wins: 3 (21.43%) vs 3 (21.43%);
- Number of losses: 4 (28.57%) vs 5 (35.71%);
- Number of draws: 7 (50%) vs 6 (42.86%);
- Average total goals scored: 1.36 vs 1.29;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.79 vs 0.79.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 4 vs 0;
- Number of losses: 1 vs 5;
- Number of draws: 5 vs 5;
- Average first half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 1).
- West Bromwich Albion conceded in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games (Championship).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 25;
- home team wins - 14, away team wins - 5, draws - 6.
Statistics: Derby vs West Bromwich Albion
- matches played in the tournament: 28 vs 28;
- wins: 11 vs 9;
- win percentage: 39% vs 32%;
- losses: 9 vs 15;
- draws: 8 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- losses: 3 vs 7;
- draws: 3 vs 0.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.56, the guests - 1.04;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.6;
- both teams scored: overall - 15; at the home team's field - 7.
Statistics: Derby vs West Bromwich Albion
- average total in the tournament: 2.64 vs 2.64;
- average total goals scored: 1.36 vs 1.11;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.61 vs 0.46;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.75 vs 0.64;
- Derby : average total at home in the tournament - 1.21;
- West Bromwich Albion: average total away in the tournament - 0.93;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1) vs 1.2 (away - 1).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 15 of last 17 Derby games.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 14 of last 16 Derby games (Championship).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Derby home games.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Derby home games (Championship).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 12 of last 14 West Bromwich Albion games (Championship).
Prediction on corners
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.11; at home field - 6.07;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.8; at home field - 7.6.
West Bromwich Albion: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.32, away - 4.21;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.5; away - 5.
- Derby have taken under 5.5 corners in last 8 games against West Bromwich Albion.
- Derby have taken under 5.5 corners in last 6 games against West Bromwich Albion (Championship).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 25;
- both teams scored all-time - 15 times;
- on the home team’s field - 7 times.
Statistics: Derby vs West Bromwich Albion
- number of matches played in the tournament: 28 vs 28;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 20 vs 16;
- number of BTTS matches for Derby at home - 10 (71%);
- number of BTTS matches for West Bromwich Albion away - 7 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Derby at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for West Bromwich Albion away - 3 (60%).
- Derby have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 home games.
- Derby have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games (Championship).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (51/328, 15.5%);
- Derby at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (5/14, 35.7%);
- West Bromwich Albion away most often play: 1:0 (4/14, 28.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.22% (odds 6)
1:0 - 9.81% (odds 7)
0:1 - 9.39% (odds 7.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Given the current form of the teams, we anticipate a lively encounter with opportunities for both sides to showcase their attacking prowess. Trends suggest that Derby's home games often see both teams find the net, which is what we're banking on here. Our main bet is on both teams to score (yes), a wager that has come through in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head clashes between these opponents.No comments
Betting Tips: Derby - West Bromwich Albion
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