West Brom vs Derby Prediction 13 September 2025
🔊 The upcoming clash between West Bromwich Albion and Derby County carries high expectations. The teams sit at opposite ends of the table, adding intrigue to this encounter. West Bromwich, currently in second place, are showcasing confident performances as they aim to solidify their position in the promotion race. Meanwhile, their opponents, Derby, find themselves in 21st place, enduring a challenging period without a victory since the start of the season.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 12 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - West Bromwich Albion):
- ball possession percentage: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 2;
- fouls: 5 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 6 vs 1.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams West Bromwich Albion and Derby :
- played 24 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 5, for the away team - 13, draws - 6;
- number of goals (home/away) - 26 against 38;
- average total goals in the match - 2.67.
Head-to-head statistics West Brom - Derby
West Bromwich Albion Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Stoke City, away team - West Bromwich Albion). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here's the game statistics (West Bromwich Albion vs Stoke City):
- ball possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 5;
- fouls: 11 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
West Bromwich Albion continue their confident march to the top of the Championship table, showcasing impressive form with three wins and a draw. The Baggies boast a strong attacking line, averaging 1.5 goals per game, while maintaining a relatively solid defense, conceding just 0.75 goals on average per match.
Match Results: West Bromwich Albion
Derby Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Ipswich Town, away - Derby ). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:2.
Here are the match stats (Derby vs Ipswich Town):
- ball possession: 31% vs 69%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 6;
- fouls: 14 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 7 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 5.
Derby County find themselves in a tough spot, sitting 21st in the standings and searching for ways to turn their fortunes around. The Rams are winless in their last six matches, with three draws and two losses. Their attacking line, averaging 1.75 goals per match, looks decent, but their defense has been a major concern, conceding more than any other team in the league with 11 goals allowed over four rounds.
Match Results: Derby
Latest news
West Bromwich Albion
🔝 Three West Brom players have been named in the Championship Team of the Week. All defenders: Callum Styles, George Campbell, and Nathaniel Phillips, who scored the winning goal against Stoke.
❌ The hosts will be without two injured players: Tammer Bani and Daryl Dike. Neither has featured on the pitch this season.
Derby
📝 As the transfer window drew to a close, Derby made a significant addition by securing Ben Brereton Diaz on loan from Southampton.
❌ Patrick Agyemang, Owen Beck, Corey Blackett-Taylor, Charles Ebuka, Sondre Langas, and Curtis Nelson are all unavailable for the visitors. It's crucial to note that these players have been sidelined with injuries for some time.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 24;
- home team wins - 5, away team wins - 13, draws - 6.
Statistics: West Bromwich Albion vs Derby
- matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
- wins: 3 vs 0;
- win percentage: 75% vs 0%;
- losses: 0 vs 2;
- draws: 1 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 3;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
- Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 games against West Bromwich Albion.
- Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in 17 of last 19 games.
- Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in 15 of last 17 games (Championship).
- Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 away games.
- Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 away games (Championship).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.08, the guests - 1.58;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.67;
- both teams scored: overall - 15; at the home team's field - 8.
Statistics: West Bromwich Albion vs Derby
- average total in the tournament: 2.25 vs 4.5;
- average total goals scored: 1.5 vs 1.75;
- average total in the 1st half: 1 vs 0.5;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 1.25;
- West Bromwich Albion: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- Derby : average total away in the tournament - 1.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 1.83) vs 1.3 (away - 1.5).
- West Bromwich Albion have scored under 1.5 goals in 10 of last 11 games against Derby.
- West Bromwich Albion have scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of last 8 games against Derby (Championship).
Prediction on corners
West Bromwich Albion: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.75; at home field - 2.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.6; at home field - 4.33.
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4, away - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; away - 2.83.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 1.84 (0.92 for home team and 0.92 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 1.92 (0.67 for home team and 1.25 for away team).
West Bromwich Albion: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2; at home - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.7; at home - 2.33.
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.75, away - 4.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.8; away - 3.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 24;
- both teams scored all-time - 15 times;
- on the home team’s field - 8 times.
Statistics: West Bromwich Albion vs Derby
- number of matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 4;
- number of BTTS matches for West Bromwich Albion at home - 1 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Derby away - 2 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for West Bromwich Albion at home - 5 (83%);
- BTTS matches for Derby away - 5 (83%).
- Derby have scored and conceded in last 6 games.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
West Brom are riding high in the standings thanks to their defense. However, the Baggies' attack is far from formidable, having scored more than one goal in a match only once in five games this season. A similar trend is evident in their head-to-head encounters with Derby County, where the Rams clearly have the upper hand, having already defeated West Brom earlier this season to knock them out of the League Cup. Considering this, we suggest betting on the home team to score under 1.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: West Bromwich Albion - Derby
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