Burnley vs Bristol City Prediction 5 September 2026
🔊 Burnley come into this match in the middle of a prolonged run without a win, going 19 consecutive games without a victory. They are in the relegation zone, just one point behind safety, which makes every match feel significant even at this early stage of the season. Bristol City, meanwhile, sit in the top group and are pushing for automatic promotion, though they are currently three points off the target zone. The visitors' form looks noticeably more consistent, but both sides have reason to fight for a result.
Head-to-Head
📊 In official meetings between Burnley and Bristol City, the two sides have met five times. The home side have won every match, with the visitors yet to win or draw. Burnley have scored 8 goals in those games to Bristol City's 2. On average, matches have produced 1.2 goals in the first half and 0.8 in the second, giving an overall average of 2 goals per game.
Head-to-head statistics Burnley - Bristol City
Burnley Team Overview
Burnley are having a difficult start: no wins in their last four matches, with just two draws and two defeats in that spell. Across their last ten matches, they have won just once, losing five and drawing four. Their average home output is one goal per game, while their defence has been conceding close to two per match (1.8) over the longer run and 2.5 over the more recent stretch. Burnley have been consistently vulnerable at the back this season, conceding at least once in 14 of their last 15 home matches, and both teams have scored in six of their last seven.
Their league position means they need to be fully focused - even a minimal positive result could matter in the fight for survival.
Match Results: Burnley
Bristol City Team Overview
Bristol City have shown more consistent form, with two wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five matches keeping them among the early-season Championship leaders. Across their last ten games, they have won three, lost four and drawn three, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.
Those results suggest Bristol City are capable of performing in a balanced way at both ends of the pitch, particularly against inconsistent opponents in the lower half of the table.
Match Results: Bristol City
Prediction
Bristol City have lost by more than one goal in only one of their last 12 away matches, which points to a strong trend. On top of that, Burnley have not won a single match this season, and Bristol City's average goals conceded is no higher than 1.5 both home and away. The Bristol City Handicap +1.5 looks reliable given the visitors' consistent away results.
Total Goals Prediction
In the last five head-to-head meetings between these two sides, Total Goals - Under 3.5 has come in every time. The scoring and conceding statistics for both teams also point away from a high-scoring game: Burnley average 1.25 goals per match this season, while Bristol City average 1.75. On top of that, Burnley's home average is 1.5 goals per game and Bristol City's away average is 2.5, which together with the head-to-head trend supports a moderate-scoring outcome. The bet on Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.38* therefore looks the most justified.
Risky Bet
Burnley have won all of their last five head-to-head meetings with Bristol City, which may point to a psychological advantage in this fixture. However, it is worth noting that Burnley have no wins so far this season, while Bristol City have been putting in decent results away from home. The bet on Burnley Handicap -1.5 is a risky one, but it is supported by the hosts' run of successful head-to-head matches.
Reliable Bet
In the last five head-to-head meetings, Bristol City have not scored more than one goal per match. Bristol City's average goals scored away from home this season is 2.5, but that figure hasn't been reflected in head-to-head fixtures. Given the consistent trend of low scoring by the visitors against Burnley, Bristol City Team Total - Under 1.5 Goals looks like a reliable bet.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes are 1:1 (11.01%), 2:1 (8.51%) and 1:0 (7.73%). The 1:1 result is the most probable, though the other two scorelines also have notable chances of occurring. The gap in probability between them is small, which suggests this could be a closely contested match.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.*
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Several factors point towards both teams scoring: Burnley regularly find the net at home while also conceding heavily - their attack produces goals even with the team in poor overall form, and their defence has been their most vulnerable area for some time. Bristol City, meanwhile, maintain a good scoring record regardless of the opposition - an average of more than one goal in almost all of their recent matches suggests they will threaten again. Given that combination, and with Burnley having seen both teams score in six consecutive matches, the main prediction is Both Teams to Score - Yes. Predicted score: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Burnley - Bristol City
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in last 19 games.in 6 of last 7 away games (Championship).Comparison of Teams Stats
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