West Brom vs Derby Prediction 21 April 2025
🔊 West Bromwich Albion host Derby County in the upcoming round of the Championship. Both teams showcase contrasting styles: the hosts are known for their possession play and solid defense, while the visitors favor a counter-attacking approach. Motivation runs high for both sides-West Brom aim to solidify their spot at the top of the table, while Derby are fighting for survival. Will this be a game filled with chances or a strategic battle on the pitch?
Head-to-Head
📊 Analytical review of previous official encounters between West Bromwich Albion and Derby County:
- Played 22 matches;
- Home wins - 5, away wins - 11, draws - 6;
- Goals (home/away) - 24 to 34;
- Average total goals per match - 2.64.
The last time these sides met was at Derby County's ground. The match took place on 26 December 2024 and ended with a scoreline of 2-1.
Head-to-head statistics West Brom - Derby
West Bromwich Albion Team Overview
West Bromwich Albion, renowned for their defensive discipline and ball control, currently sit 8th in the Championship standings. Despite their inconsistent form, with 3 wins and 4 losses in their last ten matches, their solid defense concedes just 0.95 goals per game. The Baggies suffered a 2-1 defeat to Derby in their last head-to-head encounter, fueling their desire for revenge in the upcoming home fixture. However, it's worth noting their struggle with finishing, averaging only 1.19 goals per match.
Match Results: West Bromwich Albion
Derby Team Overview
The "Rams," as Derby County are affectionately known, find themselves teetering on the edge of relegation, sitting in 21st place. Despite inconsistent performances-four wins and four losses in their last ten matches-they continue to fight until the final whistle, driven by their rapid counterattacks and the fighting spirit of their players. On the road, they struggle defensively, conceding an average of 1.28 goals per game. However, past encounters demonstrate their ability to hold their own against formidable opponents.
Match Results: Derby
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 22;
- home team wins - 5, away team wins - 11, draws - 6.
Statistics: West Bromwich Albion vs Derby
- number of matches played in the tournament: 43 vs 43;
- number of wins: 14 vs 11;
- win percentage: 33% vs 26%;
- number of losses: 11 vs 22;
- number of draws: 18 vs 10.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 3 vs 4;
- number of losses: 4 vs 4;
- number of draws: 3 vs 2.
- Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 games against West Bromwich Albion.
- Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in 15 of last 16 games (Championship).
- Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 away games.
- Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 away games (Championship).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.09, the guests - 1.55;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.64;
- both teams scored: overall - 13; at the home team's field - 6.
Statistics: West Bromwich Albion vs Derby
- average total in the tournament: 2.14 vs 2.3;
- average total goals scored: 1.19 vs 1.02;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.7 vs 0.4;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.49 vs 0.63;
- West Bromwich Albion: average total at home in the tournament - 1.29;
- Derby : average total away in the tournament - 0.9;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 1.2) vs 1.1 (away - 1.25).
- West Bromwich Albion have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 games against Derby.
- West Bromwich Albion have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games against Derby (Championship).
- West Bromwich Albion have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 games (Championship).
Prediction on corners
West Bromwich Albion: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.42; at home field - 7.05;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; at home field - 6.2.
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.88, away - 4.43;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; away - 3.
- Under 10.5 corners in 6 of last 7 West Bromwich Albion games against Derby (Championship).
- Under 10.5 corners in last 6 Derby away games (Championship).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 1.82 (0.91 for home team and 0.91 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 1.5 (0.6 for home team and 0.9 for away team).
West Bromwich Albion: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.65; at home - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.7; at home - 2.6.
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.81, away - 2.14;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.1; away - 2.75.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 22;
- both teams scored all-time - 13 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
Statistics: West Bromwich Albion vs Derby
- number of matches played in the tournament: 43 vs 43;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 24 vs 20;
- number of BTTS matches for West Bromwich Albion at home - 8 (38%);
- number of BTTS matches for Derby away - 13 (62%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for West Bromwich Albion at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Derby away - 2 (50%).
Editor's Prediction
Given the current form and motivation of both teams, we're anticipating a tightly contested match, with the home side focusing on defense and Derby County posing potential threats on the counter-attack. Historical data indicates low-scoring outcomes in their past encounters, with the total under three goals occurring several times consecutively-following a trend of the total under hitting six times in a row. Therefore, the most reasonable betting option seems to be total under 2.5 goals.No comments
Betting Tips: West Bromwich Albion - Derby
in 8 of last 9 games against Derby.
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
