Derry City vs Saint Patr. Prediction 22 May 2026
🔊 Derry City head into the match sitting sixth in the table, having delivered inconsistent performances with just two wins in their last ten outings. St Patrick's Athletic, meanwhile, are second and have been steadily collecting points, though their recent defeat hints at potential defensive issues. The main difference between the sides lies in their average goals per game: the hosts both score and concede around 1.2 goals per match, while the visitors have showcased a more potent attack and a consistently solid defense throughout the season.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 16 March 2026 and ended in a goalless draw. Here’s a statistical breakdown from that match (St Patrick’s Athletic were the home team):
- Possession: 52% vs 48%;
- Corners: 7 vs 5;
- Fouls committed: 14 vs 16;
- Yellow cards: 0 vs 4;
- Shots on target: 2 vs 2.
📊 Head-to-head statistical preview: Derry City vs St. Patrick's Athletic
- 59 official meetings played;
- Hosts have claimed 24 wins, visitors 18, with 17 draws;
- Total goals scored: 71 for Derry City, 72 for St. Patrick's Athletic;
- Average goals in the first half: 1.00; in the second half: 1.42;
- Overall average goals per match: 2.42.
Head-to-head statistics Derry City - Saint Patr.

Derry City Team Overview
The team’s most recent official fixture took place on in the Premier Division, with Waterford United hosting Derry City. The match ended in a 2-2 draw.
Key match statistics (Derry City vs Waterford United):
- Possession: 63% vs 37%;
- Corners: 3 vs 4;
- Fouls: 12 vs 12;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 7.
🔴Derry City are navigating a tough stretch, with just two wins and six draws in their last ten outings. Over their most recent five matches, the side have managed one victory, three draws, and suffered a single defeat. Their scoring average remains modest-1.2 goals both scored and conceded per game, consistent across the season and this ten-match spell. This balance highlights a pragmatic approach: Derry rarely lose by a wide margin, but they also struggle to deliver high-scoring performances, even at home.
Match Results: Derry City

Saint Patrick´s Athletic Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Premier Division, facing St Patrick's Athletic away from home. Shelbourne came away with a 1-0 victory.
Here’s a breakdown of the key stats from St Patrick's Athletic vs Shelbourne:
- Possession: 61% vs 39%;
- Corners: 5 vs 4;
- Fouls committed: 3 vs 16;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 6;
- Shots on target: 2 vs 4.
🟠 St Patrick’s Athletic have climbed the table on the back of a potent attack, averaging nearly two goals per game over their last ten outings, while maintaining a solid defensive record with just 1.1 goals conceded per match. Over their previous five fixtures, the visitors have picked up two wins, two draws, and suffered only one defeat, underlining their resilience regardless of the opposition. However, their previous head-to-head with Derry City ended in a goalless draw-a result that reflects the typically cagey nature of this fixture, even when St Patrick’s are in impressive form.
Match Results: Saint Patrick´s Athletic
Match Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head record:
- Matches played - 59;
- Home wins - 24, Away wins - 18, Draws - 17.
Stats: Derry City vs St Patrick’s Athletic
- Matches in the competition: 17 vs 17;
- Wins: 4 vs 9;
- Win percentage: 24% vs 53%;
- Losses: 5 vs 4;
- Draws: 8 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- Wins: 2 vs 5;
- Losses: 2 vs 3;
- Draws: 6 vs 2.
- Derry City have avoided defeat at home in 20 of their last 21 head-to-head meetings with St Patrick’s Athletic.
- Derry City are unbeaten at home in 17 of their last 18 Premier Division encounters against St Patrick’s Athletic.
- Derry City have not lost at home in 16 of their last 18 matches overall.
- Derry City are unbeaten at home in 15 of their last 17 Premier Division fixtures.
- Derry City have avoided defeat in seven of their last eight Premier Division games.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head (average total goals):
- Home side - 1.2, Away side - 1.22;
- Overall in head-to-head - 2.42;
- Both teams have scored: all-time - 26 times; at Derry’s ground - 14 times.
Average total stats: Derry City vs St Patrick’s Athletic
- In this competition: 2.47 vs 2.76;
- Goals scored: 1.24 vs 1.82;
- First half: 0.47 vs 0.76;
- Second half: 0.76 vs 1.06;
- Derry City at home in this competition - 1.63;
- St Patrick’s Athletic away in this competition - 1.38;
- Last 10 matches: Derry City - 1.2 (home - 1.33) vs St Patrick’s Athletic - 1.9 (away - 1.6).
- Derry City have scored under 1.5 goals in six of the last seven Premier Division head-to-head meetings with St Patrick’s Athletic.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head record:
- Matches played - 59;
- Both teams have scored all-time - 26 times;
- At Derry’s ground - 14 times.
Stats: Derry City vs St Patrick’s Athletic
- Matches played in this competition: 17 vs 17;
- Matches this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): 11 vs 8;
- Derry City at home BTTS - 6 (75%);
- St Patrick’s Athletic away BTTS - 4 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 7 vs 6;
- Derry City at home BTTS - 2 (67%);
- St Patrick’s Athletic away BTTS - 3 (60%).
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent results (current season):
- The most common scoreline in the competition: 1-1 (11/84, 13.1%);
- Derry City’s most frequent home result: 2-2 (2/8, 25%);
- St Patrick’s Athletic’s most frequent away result: 2-0 (2/8, 25%).
Based on statistical data and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top three outcomes:
1-1 - 12.48% (odds: 6)
0-1 - 9.47% (odds: 7)
1-0 - 8.83% (odds: 7.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Despite St Patrick’s Athletic showcasing attacking potential this season, recent head-to-heads between these sides have been tight affairs: under 2.5 goals has landed in six of their last seven league meetings. Both teams’ current form also suggests a cagey contest-Derry City do not hold a clear edge in converting chances at home, while St Patrick’s Athletic are capable of keeping things compact on the road without risking an open game. The main prediction from our editorial team is under 2.5 goals.