Saint Patr. vs Derry City Prediction 2 August 2026
🔊 St Patrick's Athletic come into this home match as the second-placed side in the league, while Derry City sit mid-table with nothing much left to play for - and it shows in their results. The key contrast going into this one is St Pat's solid attack backed by a reliable defence against Derry's more open style, especially away from home.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between these two sides took place on 22 May 2026 and ended 0-0. Here's how the stats looked that day (Derry City were the home side):
- possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corners: 9 vs 3;
- fouls: 10 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 8 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 1.
📊 Statistical preview from official meetings between St Patrick's Athletic and Derry City:
- 60 matches played;
- home wins - 18, away wins - 24, draws - 18;
- goals scored - 72 vs 71;
- average first-half total - 0.98, second-half - 1.4;
- average total goals per match - 2.38.
Head-to-head statistics Saint Patr. - Derry City
Saint Patrick´s Athletic Team Overview
Their last official match was played on in the Premier Division (St Patrick's Athletic at home, Dundalk away). The match ended 1-1.
Stats from that game (St Patrick's Athletic vs Dundalk):
- possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corners: 7 vs 3;
- fouls: 11 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
In the last round, Stephen Kenny's side drew at home with Dundalk (1-1). St Patrick's Athletic have been inconsistent: four wins from their last ten league matches, three draws, three defeats. Over those ten games, they're averaging 1.3 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded - a decent balance between attack and defence. The title race is effectively over for them, with an eight-point gap to first place, so the pressure is off to some extent - even sitting second.
Match Results: Saint Patrick´s Athletic
Derry City Team Overview
The visitors' last official match took place in the Conference League (Derry City at home, Rijeka away). The match ended 0-1.
Match stats (Derry City vs Rijeka):
- possession: 42% vs 58%;
- corners: 1 vs 5;
- fouls: 5 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 4.
Derry City have had a rougher season: two wins from their last ten Premier Division matches, with four draws and four defeats - points have been hard to come by. They haven't played in the league since July 3rd. In that time, Derry played five matches - they were knocked out of both the Europa League and Conference League qualifiers, but did reach the Round of 16 in the FAI Cup. The goals have kept coming, though - an average of 1.6 scored per match over that ten-game stretch, above their overall season rate - but they've also been conceding more, at 1.5 per game in the same period. As for motivation, there isn't much: sixth place, with no real chance of moving up or dropping down the table.
Match Results: Derry City
Total Prediction
Head-to-head matches (average total):
- home side - 1.2, away side - 1.18;
- in head-to-head matches - 2.38;
- both teams scored: all time - 26 times; at the home team's ground - 11 times.
Average total stats: St Patrick's Athletic vs Derry City
- in the league: 2.44 vs 2.52;
- goals scored: 1.6 vs 1.28;
- 1st half: 0.68 vs 0.44;
- 2nd half: 0.92 vs 0.84;
- St Patrick's Athletic: at home in the league - 2.15;
- Derry City: away in the league - 0.92;
- last 10 matches: 1.3 (home - 2) vs 1.6 (away - 1).
- Under 2.5 goals has landed in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches between these sides (Premier Division).
- Under 2.5 goals has landed in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head matches between these sides.
- Under 2.5 goals has landed in 5 consecutive head-to-head matches at the home side's ground (Premier Division).
Corners Prediction
St Patrick's Athletic: Stats
- season: average total in the league - 6.12; at home - 6.92;
- last 10 matches: average total - 8; at home - 10.
Derry City: Stats
- season: average total in the league - 5.8; away - 4.83;
- last 10 matches: average total - 5.6; away - 3.75.
- Total corners over 9.5 has landed in 8 consecutive St Patrick's Athletic matches (Premier Division).
- Total corners over 9.5 has landed in 6 of Derry City's last 7 matches.
Both Teams To Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- matches played - 60;
- both teams scored across all meetings - 26 times;
- at the home team's ground - 11 times.
Stats: St Patrick's Athletic vs Derry City
- matches played this season: 25 vs 25;
- season matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): 10 vs 16;
- St Patrick's Athletic: BTTS at home - 5 (38%);
- Derry City: BTTS away - 8 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
- St Patrick's Athletic: BTTS at home - 2 (40%);
- Derry City: BTTS away - 3 (75%).
- Derry City have scored and conceded away in 7 of their last 8 matches (Premier Division).
Correct Score Prediction
Most common results this season:
- most frequent score in the tournament: 1:1 (17/126, 13.5%);
- St Patrick's Athletic at home most often finish matches: 4:1 (3/13, 23.1%);
- Derry City away most often play: 2:1 (3/12, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 12.94% (odds 6)
1:1 - 12.19% (odds 6.5)
2:0 - 10.78% (odds 7.5)
⭐ Editorial prediction
Derry City's style of play will largely determine the match scenario: the team often plays openly away from home, combining a decent attacking approach with defensive issues, which is confirmed by a series of trends - the visitors regularly score and concede in away matches (7 of their last 8 league games).
The hosts' form looks more stable thanks to their reliable defence and organized attacking play. Although the title is most likely out of reach for Kenny's side, the team will try to keep second place, which is also being challenged by Bohemians Dublin.
Against this background, the main prediction is based on the high probability of both teams scoring - the bet is both teams to score (yes). Expected score - 1:1.
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Betting Tips: Saint Patrick´s Athletic - Derry City
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in 25 of last 26 games against Derry City.in 23 of last 24 games against Derry City (Premier Division).in 13 of last 14 home games against Derry City (Premier Division).in 11 of last 12 games.in 8 of last 9 games (Premier Division).in last 12 Saint Patrick´s Athletic games.in last 9 Saint Patrick´s Athletic games (Premier Division).in last 6 Saint Patrick´s Athletic home games.in last 5 Saint Patrick´s Athletic home games (Premier Division).in 6 of last 7 Derry City away games (Premier Division).in last 8 Saint Patrick´s Athletic games.in last 6 Saint Patrick´s Athletic games (Premier Division).in last 5 Saint Patrick´s Athletic home games.in 7 of last 8 Derry City away games (Premier Division).in last 6 Derry City games (Premier Division).Comparison of Teams Stats
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