Padova vs Virtus Ent. Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 October 2026
📢 Padova and Virtus Entella have both struggled for consistency at the start of the season. The hosts sit tenth after six rounds, alternating decent results with dropped points. The visitors are in 14th and are also finding it difficult to pick up points, gradually drifting towards the lower end of the table. Neither side has been particularly prolific, with both tending towards a more restrained style of play. The upcoming match gives both teams a good opportunity to improve their position and build some confidence.
Head-to-Head
Virtus Entella beat Padova 1-0 in their Serie B match on 25 April 2026. The score was level at half-time, but the hosts were well ahead in shots on target - 7-1 - and scored just the once.
In their five official meetings, Padova have won three times and Virtus Entella two; there have been no draws. All of Padova's victories have come at home, and all six of their goals in those matches were scored in the second half.
Head-to-head statistics Padova - Virtus Ent.
Padova have seen under 2.5 goals in each of their last seven home matches
Padova lost at home to Carrarese 0-2 in their most recent Serie B match on 11 October 2026. The hosts dominated possession with 57% to 43% and had one more shot than their opponents, but managed only one shot on target compared to four for the visitors.
Padova sit tenth in the table with seven points and have struggled to find any consistency at the start of the season. In six rounds played, they have won twice, drawn once and lost three times, alternating between decent and poor performances. Across their last ten matches, Padova have won four and lost five, averaging one goal scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Their home matches have been particularly low-scoring, with no more than two goals in each of the last seven. Padova themselves rarely score more than once in a game, which limits their attacking output.
Match Results: Padova
Virtus Entella have managed just one win in their last six matches and continue to struggle to pick up points
A 1-1 draw with Juve Stabia was Virtus Entella's most recent Serie B match 10 October 2026. At home, they had 14 shots to their opponents' 13 and delivered 35 crosses to 11, though shots on target were level at 2-2.
Virtus Entella sit 14th with six points and are also struggling for results early in the season. In six league matches they have won once, drawn three times and lost twice, so they have been unable to establish themselves in mid-table. Over their last ten matches, Virtus Entella have shown slightly higher attacking output than their opponents, averaging 1.3 goals per game. Their defence also looks somewhat more solid, conceding 1.2 per match, though that has not been enough to produce wins on a regular basis.
Match Results: Virtus Entella
Match Result Prediction
Virtus Entella have failed to win away in 20 of their last 22 Serie B matches, which confirms a long-term negative trend for the visitors. Padova have been reasonably consistent at home, winning once and drawing once in three home matches this season, while Entella have managed just one win in three away matches. The odds on the Double Chance in favour of Padova are 1.39*.
Total Goals Prediction
Padova have now gone seven consecutive home matches with fewer than 2.5 goals scored, confirming a clear trend. Across their last 10 home matches, Padova average just 0.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game, reflecting low output at both ends. Virtus Entella's numbers are similarly modest: 1.33 goals scored and 1.17 conceded on average this season. All of this points to a persistent pattern of low-scoring matches. The price on Total Goals - Under 2.5 is 1.64*.
*Odds are given for indicative purposes and may vary between bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13.14%), 1-0 (12.94%) and 0-0 (12.88%). These outcomes reflect an overall low-scoring scenario and a high probability of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-1.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Padova are considered slight favourites thanks to home advantage, though there is no significant difference in quality between the two sides. Both teams struggle to convert chances, so an open game is unlikely. Padova's home record is particularly telling: their last seven matches at home have all finished with under 2.5 goals. Virtus Entella are also not a high-scoring side, which further increases the likelihood of a low-scoring affair. Our bet is Total Goals - Under 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Padova - Virtus Entella
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