Saint Patr. vs Derry City Prediction 16 March 2026

    ⚽️ The upcoming clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Derry City promises to be a tense battle. The hosts have been in impressive form, particularly on their home turf, while the visitors are looking to regain confidence after a series of lackluster performances. Both teams have their strengths, but the home side holds the advantage of playing at their own ground.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 29 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Derry City):

    • ball possession percentage: 59% vs 41%;
    • corner kicks: 7 vs 2;
    • fouls: 9 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 4.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Saint Patrick´s Athletic and Derry City:

    • played 58 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 18, for the away team - 24, draws - 16;
    • number of goals - 72 against 71;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.02, in the 2nd half - 1.45;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.47.

    Head-to-head statistics Saint Patr. - Derry City

    30%
    18 Wins
    31%
    19 Draws
    39%
    24 Wins
    Total games
    61
    Total Goals Avg
    2.38
    Both teams scored
    44%
    1.2
    Total average
    1.18
    0.89
    Yellow cards
    1.38
    Last matches
    02.08.26
    Premier Division
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic
    Derry City
    Derry City
    1.97
    0.57
    3
    9
    16
    15
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.97
    0.57
    3
    9
    16
    15
    3
    2
    22.05.26
    Premier Division
    Derry City
    Derry City
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic
    0.62
    0.63
    9
    3
    10
    6
    8
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.62
    0.63
    9
    3
    10
    6
    8
    2
    16.03.26
    Premier Division
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic
    Derry City
    Derry City
    1.26
    0.44
    7
    5
    14
    16
    0
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.26
    0.44
    7
    5
    14
    16
    0
    4
    29.08.25
    Premier Division
    Derry City
    Derry City
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic
    0.72
    1.01
    7
    2
    9
    13
    3
    1
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    0.72
    1.01
    7
    2
    9
    13
    3
    1
    23.06.25
    Premier Division
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic
    Derry City
    Derry City
    1.04
    0.59
    7
    2
    9
    17
    3
    6
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.04
    0.59
    7
    2
    9
    17
    3
    6
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    Saint Patrick´s Athletic Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on in the Premier Division, featuring St Patrick's Athletic as the home side against Drogheda United. The match concluded with a 4-1 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (St Patrick's Athletic vs Drogheda United):

    • possession percentage: 66% vs 34%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 1;
    • fouls: 9 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 8 vs 3.

    St Patrick's Athletic are in excellent form, having won four of their last five matches and currently sitting second in the table. The team is renowned for their solid defense and efficient attack, averaging 1.8 goals per game while conceding just 0.6 over their last ten matches. They are particularly strong at home, securing victories in eight of their last ten home fixtures.

    Match Results: Saint Patrick´s Athletic

    Last matches
    21.08.26
    Premier Division
    Drogheda United
    Drogheda United
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic
    0.34
    0.87
    2
    7
    8
    8
    2
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0.34
    0.87
    2
    7
    8
    8
    2
    0
    W
    16.08.26
    FAI Cup
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic
    Shamrock Rovers
    Shamrock Rovers
    -
    -
    6
    1
    12
    12
    3
    3
    3
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    1
    12
    12
    3
    3
    W
    09.08.26
    Premier Division
    Shelbourne
    Shelbourne
    2
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic
    1.12
    3.14
    5
    5
    8
    11
    2
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    1.12
    3.14
    5
    5
    8
    11
    2
    4
    W
    02.08.26
    Premier Division
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic
    Derry City
    Derry City
    1.97
    0.57
    3
    9
    16
    15
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.97
    0.57
    3
    9
    16
    15
    3
    2
    D
    24.07.26
    Premier Division
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic
    Dundalk
    Dundalk
    1.98
    1.43
    7
    3
    11
    18
    3
    4
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.98
    1.43
    7
    3
    11
    18
    3
    4
    D
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    Derry City Team Overview

    The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Premier Division, with Derry City hosting Shelbourne. The match ended with a scoreline of 1-2.

    Here are the game statistics (Derry City vs Shelbourne):

    • possession percentage: 57% vs 43%;
    • corners: 7 vs 3;
    • fouls: 11 vs 7;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 4.

    Derry City are experiencing a period of fluctuation, with three losses in their last five games highlighting their inconsistency. Despite this, the team can still create chances thanks to their attacking potential, averaging 1.5 goals per game over the last ten matches. However, their defensive frailties remain a concern, as they concede an average of 1.5 goals per match as well.

    Match Results: Derry City

    Last matches
    21.08.26
    Premier Division
    Bohemians Dublin
    Bohemians Dublin
    Derry City
    Derry City
    1
    1.14
    0.60
    8
    3
    9
    11
    1
    1
    5
    3
    0
    1
    5
    2
    1.14
    0.60
    8
    3
    9
    11
    1
    1
    L
    14.08.26
    FAI Cup
    University College Dublin
    University College Dublin
    Derry City
    Derry City
    -
    -
    3
    3
    5
    11
    0
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    3
    5
    11
    0
    2
    W
    07.08.26
    Premier Division
    Derry City
    Derry City
    Sligo Rovers
    Sligo Rovers
    1.68
    0.23
    10
    2
    15
    8
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1.68
    0.23
    10
    2
    15
    8
    2
    0
    W
    02.08.26
    Premier Division
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic
    Derry City
    Derry City
    1.97
    0.57
    3
    9
    16
    15
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.97
    0.57
    3
    9
    16
    15
    3
    2
    D
    30.07.26
    UECL
    Derry City
    Derry City
    Rijeka
    Rijeka
    -
    -
    1
    5
    5
    9
    4
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    5
    5
    9
    4
    1
    L
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 58;
    • home team wins - 18, away team wins - 24, draws - 16.

    Statistics: Saint Patrick´s Athletic vs Derry City

    • matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
    • wins: 4 vs 2;
    • win percentage: 67% vs 33%;
    • losses: 1 vs 3;
    • draws: 1 vs 1.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 5 vs 6;
    • losses: 1 vs 3;
    • draws: 4 vs 1.
    Trends
    • Saint Patrick´s Athletic have won in 7 of last 8 home games.
    👉Prediction: Saint Patrick´s Athletic Win(odds: 2.17)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.24, the guests - 1.22;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.47;
    • both teams scored: overall - 26; at the home team's field - 11.

    Statistics: Saint Patrick´s Athletic vs Derry City

    • average total in the tournament: 2.83 vs 3;
    • average total goals scored: 2 vs 1.5;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.33 vs 0.17;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 1.67 vs 1.33;
    • Saint Patrick´s Athletic: average total at home in the tournament -  3;
    • Derry City: average total away in the tournament - 0;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 3) vs 1.5 (away - 1).
    Trends
    • Under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Saint Patrick´s Athletic home games against Derry City (Premier Division).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Under (2,5)(odds: 1.61)

    Prediction on corners

    Saint Patrick´s Athletic: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.33; at home field - 5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; at home field - 4.4.

    Derry City: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.67, away - 7;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.2; away - 4.67.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Over (10,5)(odds: 2.31)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 58;
    • both teams scored all-time - 26 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 11 times.

    Statistics: Saint Patrick´s Athletic vs Derry City

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 4;
    • number of BTTS matches for Saint Patrick´s Athletic at home - 1 (33%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Derry City away - 0 (0%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 6;
    • BTTS matches for Saint Patrick´s Athletic at home - 2 (40%);
    • BTTS matches for Derry City away - 1 (33%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.78)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (4/30, 13.3%), 1:1 (4/30, 13.3%);
    • Saint Patrick´s Athletic at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 4:0 , 4:1 (1/3, 33.3%);
    • Derry City away most often play: 1:0 (1/1, 100%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 12.89% (odds 5.2)
    1:0 - 12.75% (odds 5.8)
    2:0 - 10.42% (odds 8.6)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:0)(odds: 5.8)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Considering St Patrick's Athletic's dominance at home and the current form of both teams, a bet on a home win seems well-founded. The trend highlights their success on home turf with victories in most recent matches, giving them a clear edge over the less consistent visitors from Derry City.

    Saint Patrick´s Athletic Win
    Bovada
    Place a bet+115
    Published: 15/03/2026, 19:19

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    Betting Tips: Saint Patrick´s Athletic - Derry City

    Saint Patrick´s Athletic have won:
    saint-patrick-s-athletic-fcin 7 of last 8 home games.
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic Win
    Bovada
    +110
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic have not lost:
    saint-patrick-s-athletic-fcin last 17 home games.
    saint-patrick-s-athletic-fcin 11 of last 12 games.
    saint-patrick-s-athletic-fcin 9 of last 10 games (Premier Division).
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic will not lose
    Everygame
    -357
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic have scored:
    saint-patrick-s-athletic-fcin last 16 home games.
    saint-patrick-s-athletic-fcin last 8 home games (Premier Division).
    Derry City have conceded:
    derry-city-fcin 8 of last 9 games (Premier Division).
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic will score goal
    Everygame
    -357
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    saint-patrick-s-athletic-fcderry-city-fcin 6 of last 7 Saint Patrick´s Athletic games against Derry City.
    derry-city-fcin 13 of last 14 Derry City away games (Premier Division).
    derry-city-fcin 6 of last 7 Derry City away games.
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -556
    View more facts

    Saint Patr. - Derry City Table position

    Premier Division 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Shamrock Rovers
    Shamrock Rovers
    27166543-2454
    2.
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic
    Saint Patrick´s Athletic
    28148645-2350
    3.
    Bohemians Dublin
    Bohemians Dublin
    28138747-3447
    5.
    Shelbourne
    Shelbourne
    26810836-3834
    6.
    Derry City
    Derry City
    28712938-3733
    7.
    Galway United
    Galway United
    27891035-4133

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 16
    Conceded - 11
    +5
    -2
    16 - Scored
    18 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    3
    3
    Draws
    1
    2
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    16
    Scored
    16
    11
    Conceded
    18
    2.7
    Match goals average
    3.4
    1.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.6
    1.1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.8
    7
    Both teams scored
    6
    58'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    56'
    View all stats