Saint Patr. vs Derry City Prediction 16 March 2026
⚽️ The upcoming clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Derry City promises to be a tense battle. The hosts have been in impressive form, particularly on their home turf, while the visitors are looking to regain confidence after a series of lackluster performances. Both teams have their strengths, but the home side holds the advantage of playing at their own ground.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 29 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Derry City):
- ball possession percentage: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 2;
- fouls: 9 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 4.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Saint Patrick´s Athletic and Derry City:
- played 58 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 18, for the away team - 24, draws - 16;
- number of goals - 72 against 71;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.02, in the 2nd half - 1.45;
- average total goals in the match - 2.47.
Head-to-head statistics Saint Patr. - Derry City

Saint Patrick´s Athletic Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Premier Division, featuring St Patrick's Athletic as the home side against Drogheda United. The match concluded with a 4-1 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (St Patrick's Athletic vs Drogheda United):
- possession percentage: 66% vs 34%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 1;
- fouls: 9 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 8 vs 3.
St Patrick's Athletic are in excellent form, having won four of their last five matches and currently sitting second in the table. The team is renowned for their solid defense and efficient attack, averaging 1.8 goals per game while conceding just 0.6 over their last ten matches. They are particularly strong at home, securing victories in eight of their last ten home fixtures.
Match Results: Saint Patrick´s Athletic

Derry City Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Premier Division, with Derry City hosting Shelbourne. The match ended with a scoreline of 1-2.
Here are the game statistics (Derry City vs Shelbourne):
- possession percentage: 57% vs 43%;
- corners: 7 vs 3;
- fouls: 11 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
Derry City are experiencing a period of fluctuation, with three losses in their last five games highlighting their inconsistency. Despite this, the team can still create chances thanks to their attacking potential, averaging 1.5 goals per game over the last ten matches. However, their defensive frailties remain a concern, as they concede an average of 1.5 goals per match as well.
Match Results: Derry City
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 58;
- home team wins - 18, away team wins - 24, draws - 16.
Statistics: Saint Patrick´s Athletic vs Derry City
- matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- wins: 4 vs 2;
- win percentage: 67% vs 33%;
- losses: 1 vs 3;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 6;
- losses: 1 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 1.
- Saint Patrick´s Athletic have won in 7 of last 8 home games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.24, the guests - 1.22;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.47;
- both teams scored: overall - 26; at the home team's field - 11.
Statistics: Saint Patrick´s Athletic vs Derry City
- average total in the tournament: 2.83 vs 3;
- average total goals scored: 2 vs 1.5;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.33 vs 0.17;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.67 vs 1.33;
- Saint Patrick´s Athletic: average total at home in the tournament - 3;
- Derry City: average total away in the tournament - 0;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 3) vs 1.5 (away - 1).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Saint Patrick´s Athletic home games against Derry City (Premier Division).
Prediction on corners
Saint Patrick´s Athletic: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.33; at home field - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; at home field - 4.4.
Derry City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.67, away - 7;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.2; away - 4.67.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 58;
- both teams scored all-time - 26 times;
- on the home team’s field - 11 times.
Statistics: Saint Patrick´s Athletic vs Derry City
- number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 4;
- number of BTTS matches for Saint Patrick´s Athletic at home - 1 (33%);
- number of BTTS matches for Derry City away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Saint Patrick´s Athletic at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Derry City away - 1 (33%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (4/30, 13.3%), 1:1 (4/30, 13.3%);
- Saint Patrick´s Athletic at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 4:0 , 4:1 (1/3, 33.3%);
- Derry City away most often play: 1:0 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.89% (odds 5.2)
1:0 - 12.75% (odds 5.8)
2:0 - 10.42% (odds 8.6)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering St Patrick's Athletic's dominance at home and the current form of both teams, a bet on a home win seems well-founded. The trend highlights their success on home turf with victories in most recent matches, giving them a clear edge over the less consistent visitors from Derry City.