PSV vs Heerenveen Prediction
🔊 The Saturday action of the 24th round in the Eredivisie kicks off with PSV taking on Heerenveen. The "Red and White Army" are at the top of the table, showcasing excellent form throughout the season. Their attacking prowess is impressive, with the team consistently scoring over two goals per game. Heerenveen, sitting in eighth place, are striving to maintain their position in the upper half of the table and are currently on a two-match winning streak. Can the "Super Frisians" pose a challenge to the best club in the Netherlands at their home ground? We'll assess their chances in our editorial prediction.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 04 February 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 4:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - PSV):
- ball possession percentage: 62% vs 38%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 1;
- fouls: 10 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 12 vs 2.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams PSV and Heerenveen:
- played 39 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 18, for the away team - 7, draws - 14;
- number of goals - 87 against 51;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.38, in the 2nd half - 2.15;
- average total goals in the match - 3.54.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

PSV Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Volendam, away team - PSV). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here's the game statistics (PSV vs Volendam):
- ball possession: 67% vs 33%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 4;
- fouls: 12 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
PSV firmly hold the top spot in the league, showcasing consistently high performance both offensively and defensively. Over their last 23 matches, the "Red and Whites" have secured 19 victories, suffering just two defeats, one of which came in the previous Eredivisie round away to Volendam (1-2). Nonetheless, the "Farmers" remain the dominant force in Dutch domestic competitions. This is largely due to their effective attack, averaging nearly three goals per game. However, their defense occasionally falters: despite leading the standings, PSV trail behind Twente, who sit in seventh place, in terms of goals conceded.
Match Results: PSV

Heerenveen Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Heerenveen, away - PEC Zwolle). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:2.
Here are the match stats (Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle):
- ball possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 5;
- fouls: 8 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 5 vs 6.
Heerenveen find themselves in eighth place in the Eredivisie, maintaining a position within the European competition spots. Over their last five matches, the "Super Frisians" have secured two victories, both coming in their most recent outings. Heerenveen have a neutral goal difference, reflecting a balance between their attack and defense. The team's offense is indeed impressive, averaging nearly two goals per game, making them a formidable opponent even for the league leaders. However, a trip to Eindhoven promises to be challenging, as their last head-to-head encounter in the cup at the same venue ended in a heavy defeat for the visitors (1-4).
Match Results: Heerenveen
Latest news
PSV
🎙 PSV defender Sergiño Dest recently faced a tricky question about his club loyalties in the Netherlands. The player opted not to respond: "I won't answer that." Dest, who made his breakthrough in Amsterdam and is now a key player in Eindhoven, deliberately maintained his neutrality. Later, Dest expressed hope for Ajax's return to the top, stating, "It's better for Dutch football."
❌ PSV's injury list still includes Ricardo Pepi, Alassane Pléa, Ruben van Bommel, and first-choice goalkeeper Matěj Kovář. One of the club's top scorers, Ismael Saibari, was given some time off, missing the match against Volendam and is likely to sit out the upcoming fixture as well.
Heerenveen
🎙 As we wrap up the winter transfer window, we can't overlook the departure of Heerenveen's fan-favorite defender, Pawel Bochniewicz, who made 118 official appearances for the club. The Polish player has returned to Górnik Zabrze, who currently sit second in the Polish league.
❌ Heerenveen have been less affected by injuries compared to PSV. Midfielder Levi Smans has been sidelined since August due to knee issues. In the most recent Eredivisie round, defender Oliver Braude was unable to finish the match.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 39;
- home team wins - 18, away team wins - 7, draws - 14.
Statistics: PSV vs Heerenveen
- matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 23;
- wins: 19 vs 8;
- win percentage: 83% vs 35%;
- losses: 2 vs 8;
- draws: 2 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 5;
- losses: 3 vs 3;
- draws: 1 vs 2.
- PSV have won in 15 of last 17 games (Eredivisie).
- PSV have won in 6 of last 7 home games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.23, the guests - 1.31;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.54;
- both teams scored: overall - 29; at the home team's field - 16.
Statistics: PSV vs Heerenveen
- average total in the tournament: 4.13 vs 3.39;
- average total goals scored: 2.91 vs 1.7;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.57 vs 0.65;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.35 vs 1.04;
- PSV: average total at home in the tournament - 3.27;
- Heerenveen: average total away in the tournament - 1.55;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.4 (home - 3) vs 2 (away - 2).
- Heerenveen have scored under 1.5 goals in 9 of last 10 games against PSV.
Prediction on corners
PSV: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.35; at home field - 7.73;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.7; at home field - 7.2.
Heerenveen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.61, away - 5.55;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; away - 3.
- PSV have taken over 6.5 corners in 12 of last 14 games against Heerenveen.
- PSV have taken over 6.5 corners in last 7 home games against Heerenveen.
- PSV have taken over 6.5 corners in last 6 home games against Heerenveen (Eredivisie).
- PSV have taken over 6.5 corners in last 5 games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 39;
- both teams scored all-time - 29 times;
- on the home team’s field - 16 times.
Statistics: PSV vs Heerenveen
- number of matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 23;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 16 vs 16;
- number of BTTS matches for PSV at home - 8 (73%);
- number of BTTS matches for Heerenveen away - 6 (55%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for PSV at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Heerenveen away - 3 (60%).
- PSV have scored and conceded in 13 of last 15 home games against Heerenveen (Eredivisie).
- PSV have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games against Heerenveen.
- PSV have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games (Eredivisie).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (25/207, 12.1%);
- PSV at home most often finish matches: 2:2 , 3:0 (2/11, 18.2%);
- Heerenveen away most often play: 0:3 , 2:1 (2/11, 18.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 9.26% (odds 7.5)
3:1 - 8.13% (odds 8)
2:0 - 7.26% (odds 8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
PSV, sitting atop the table, are showcasing impressive scoring prowess with an average of nearly three goals per game. Heerenveen also display decent offensive capabilities, yet they often struggle in head-to-heads against the "Farmers." In 9 of their last 10 encounters, the "Super Frisians" have failed to score more than a goal. Despite significant roster issues, the hosts should outgun the visitors, making it reasonable to back PSV with a -1.5 handicap.