PSV vs Heerenveen Prediction

    🔊 The Saturday action of the 24th round in the Eredivisie kicks off with PSV taking on Heerenveen. The "Red and White Army" are at the top of the table, showcasing excellent form throughout the season. Their attacking prowess is impressive, with the team consistently scoring over two goals per game. Heerenveen, sitting in eighth place, are striving to maintain their position in the upper half of the table and are currently on a two-match winning streak. Can the "Super Frisians" pose a challenge to the best club in the Netherlands at their home ground? We'll assess their chances in our editorial prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 04 February 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 4:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - PSV):

    • ball possession percentage: 62% vs 38%;
    • corner kicks: 7 vs 1;
    • fouls: 10 vs 9;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 12 vs 2.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams PSV and Heerenveen:

    • played 39 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 18, for the away team - 7, draws - 14;
    • number of goals - 87 against 51;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.38, in the 2nd half - 2.15;
    • average total goals in the match - 3.54.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    48%
    19 Wins
    35%
    14 Draws
    18%
    7 Wins
    Total games
    40
    Total Goals Avg
    3.55
    Both teams scored
    75%
    2.25
    Total average
    1.3
    1.15
    Yellow cards
    1.2
    Last matches
    21.02.26
    Eredivisie
    PSV
    PSV
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    3.7
    0.89
    9
    3
    8
    4
    2
    1
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    3.7
    0.89
    9
    3
    8
    4
    2
    1
    04.02.26
    KNVB beker
    PSV
    PSV
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    -
    -
    7
    1
    10
    9
    2
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    7
    1
    10
    9
    2
    1
    06.12.25
    Eredivisie
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    PSV
    PSV
    0.84
    0.72
    7
    3
    13
    5
    1
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0.84
    0.72
    7
    3
    13
    5
    1
    0
    08.03.25
    Eredivisie
    PSV Eindhoven
    PSV Eindhoven
    SC Heerenveen
    SC Heerenveen
    2.92
    0.73
    8
    4
    10
    10
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    2.92
    0.73
    8
    4
    10
    10
    2
    1
    14.12.24
    Eredivisie
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    PSV
    PSV
    1.12
    1.17
    7
    7
    4
    6
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.12
    1.17
    7
    7
    4
    6
    0
    0
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    PSV Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Volendam, away team - PSV). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.

    Here's the game statistics (PSV vs Volendam):

    • ball possession: 67% vs 33%;
    • corner kicks: 8 vs 4;
    • fouls: 12 vs 9;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 4.

    PSV firmly hold the top spot in the league, showcasing consistently high performance both offensively and defensively. Over their last 23 matches, the "Red and Whites" have secured 19 victories, suffering just two defeats, one of which came in the previous Eredivisie round away to Volendam (1-2). Nonetheless, the "Farmers" remain the dominant force in Dutch domestic competitions. This is largely due to their effective attack, averaging nearly three goals per game. However, their defense occasionally falters: despite leading the standings, PSV trail behind Twente, who sit in seventh place, in terms of goals conceded.

    Match Results: PSV

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Eredivisie
    PSV
    PSV
    Twente
    Twente
    2.21
    1.71
    11
    9
    7
    5
    1
    1
    5
    1
    2
    1
    3
    0
    2.21
    1.71
    11
    9
    7
    5
    1
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Go Ahead Eagles
    Go Ahead Eagles
    PSV
    PSV
    1.21
    2.76
    8
    4
    9
    7
    0
    0
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1.21
    2.76
    8
    4
    9
    7
    0
    0
    W
    02.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Ajax Amsterdam
    PSV
    PSV
    1.2
    1.81
    6
    4
    7
    14
    1
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1.2
    1.81
    6
    4
    7
    14
    1
    2
    D
    23.04.26
    Eredivisie
    PSV
    PSV
    PEC Zwolle
    PEC Zwolle
    2.02
    0.51
    4
    4
    10
    4
    1
    1
    6
    1
    1
    0
    5
    1
    2.02
    0.51
    4
    4
    10
    4
    1
    1
    W
    11.04.26
    Eredivisie
    Sparta
    Sparta
    PSV
    PSV
    1.16
    1.85
    2
    5
    6
    12
    1
    6
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    1.16
    1.85
    2
    5
    6
    12
    1
    6
    W
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    Heerenveen Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Heerenveen, away - PEC Zwolle). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:2.

    Here are the match stats (Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle):

    • ball possession: 44% vs 56%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 5;
    • fouls: 8 vs 6;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 6.

    Heerenveen find themselves in eighth place in the Eredivisie, maintaining a position within the European competition spots. Over their last five matches, the "Super Frisians" have secured two victories, both coming in their most recent outings. Heerenveen have a neutral goal difference, reflecting a balance between their attack and defense. The team's offense is indeed impressive, averaging nearly two goals per game, making them a formidable opponent even for the league leaders. However, a trip to Eindhoven promises to be challenging, as their last head-to-head encounter in the cup at the same venue ended in a heavy defeat for the visitors (1-4).

    Match Results: Heerenveen

    Last matches
    21.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Utrecht
    Utrecht
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    2.07
    1.29
    9
    6
    11
    6
    0
    1
    3
    2
    0
    0
    3
    2
    2.07
    1.29
    9
    6
    11
    6
    0
    1
    L
    17.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Ajax Amsterdam
    2.47
    2.02
    10
    6
    9
    8
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2.47
    2.02
    10
    6
    9
    8
    0
    3
    D
    11.05.26
    Eredivisie
    NAC Breda
    NAC Breda
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    1.95
    0.99
    7
    3
    10
    13
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.95
    0.99
    7
    3
    10
    13
    1
    1
    L
    03.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Volendam
    Volendam
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    1.45
    1.94
    7
    5
    8
    14
    3
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    1.45
    1.94
    7
    5
    8
    14
    3
    3
    W
    25.04.26
    Eredivisie
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    Fortuna Sittard
    Fortuna Sittard
    1
    2.61
    0.73
    7
    0
    10
    6
    2
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    2.61
    0.73
    7
    0
    10
    6
    2
    0
    W
    Empty
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    Latest news

    PSV

    🎙 PSV defender Sergiño Dest recently faced a tricky question about his club loyalties in the Netherlands. The player opted not to respond: "I won't answer that." Dest, who made his breakthrough in Amsterdam and is now a key player in Eindhoven, deliberately maintained his neutrality. Later, Dest expressed hope for Ajax's return to the top, stating, "It's better for Dutch football."

    ❌ PSV's injury list still includes Ricardo Pepi, Alassane Pléa, Ruben van Bommel, and first-choice goalkeeper Matěj Kovář. One of the club's top scorers, Ismael Saibari, was given some time off, missing the match against Volendam and is likely to sit out the upcoming fixture as well.

    Heerenveen

    🎙 As we wrap up the winter transfer window, we can't overlook the departure of Heerenveen's fan-favorite defender, Pawel Bochniewicz, who made 118 official appearances for the club. The Polish player has returned to Górnik Zabrze, who currently sit second in the Polish league. 

    ❌ Heerenveen have been less affected by injuries compared to PSV. Midfielder Levi Smans has been sidelined since August due to knee issues. In the most recent Eredivisie round, defender Oliver Braude was unable to finish the match.

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 39;
    • home team wins - 18, away team wins - 7, draws - 14.

    Statistics: PSV vs Heerenveen

    • matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 23;
    • wins: 19 vs 8;
    • win percentage: 83% vs 35%;
    • losses: 2 vs 8;
    • draws: 2 vs 7.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 6 vs 5;
    • losses: 3 vs 3;
    • draws: 1 vs 2.
    Trends
    • PSV have won in 15 of last 17 games (Eredivisie).
    • PSV have won in 6 of last 7 home games (Eredivisie).
    👉Prediction: PSV Win(odds: 1.4)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 2.23, the guests - 1.31;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.54;
    • both teams scored: overall - 29; at the home team's field - 16.

    Statistics: PSV vs Heerenveen

    • average total in the tournament: 4.13 vs 3.39;
    • average total goals scored: 2.91 vs 1.7;
    • average total in the 1st half: 1.57 vs 0.65;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 1.35 vs 1.04;
    • PSV: average total at home in the tournament -  3.27;
    • Heerenveen: average total away in the tournament - 1.55;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 2.4 (home - 3) vs 2 (away - 2).
    Trends
    • Heerenveen have scored under 1.5 goals in 9 of last 10 games against PSV.
    👉Prediction: Heerenveen Total goals Under (1.5)(odds: 1.36)

    Prediction on corners

    PSV: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.35; at home field - 7.73;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.7; at home field - 7.2.

    Heerenveen: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.61, away - 5.55;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; away - 3.
    Trends
    • PSV have taken over 6.5 corners in 12 of last 14 games against Heerenveen.
    • PSV have taken over 6.5 corners in last 7 home games against Heerenveen.
    • PSV have taken over 6.5 corners in last 6 home games against Heerenveen (Eredivisie).
    • PSV have taken over 6.5 corners in last 5 games (Eredivisie).
    👉Prediction: Corners - PSV Total Over (6.5)(odds: 1.64)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 39;
    • both teams scored all-time - 29 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 16 times.

    Statistics: PSV vs Heerenveen

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 23;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 16 vs 16;
    • number of BTTS matches for PSV at home - 8 (73%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Heerenveen away - 6 (55%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 7;
    • BTTS matches for PSV at home - 4 (80%);
    • BTTS matches for Heerenveen away - 3 (60%).
    Trends
    • PSV have scored and conceded in 13 of last 15 home games against Heerenveen (Eredivisie).
    • PSV have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games against Heerenveen.
    • PSV have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games (Eredivisie).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.49)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (25/207, 12.1%);
    • PSV at home most often finish matches: 2:2 , 3:0 (2/11, 18.2%);
    • Heerenveen away most often play: 0:3 , 2:1 (2/11, 18.2%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    2:1 - 9.26% (odds 7.5)
    3:1 - 8.13% (odds 8)
    2:0 - 7.26% (odds 8)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (2:1)(odds: 7.5)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    PSV, sitting atop the table, are showcasing impressive scoring prowess with an average of nearly three goals per game. Heerenveen also display decent offensive capabilities, yet they often struggle in head-to-heads against the "Farmers." In 9 of their last 10 encounters, the "Super Frisians" have failed to score more than a goal. Despite significant roster issues, the hosts should outgun the visitors, making it reasonable to back PSV with a -1.5 handicap.

    Our choice
    PSV Handicap (-1.5) at odds of -105*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (19 February 2026, 14:33)

    Betting Tips: PSV - Heerenveen

    PSV have won
    psv-eindhoven-2in 15 of last 17 games (Eredivisie).
    psv-eindhoven-2in 6 of last 7 home games (Eredivisie).
    PSV Win
    Everygame
    -400
    PSV have not lost
    psv-eindhoven-2sc-heerenveen-2in last 17 home games against Heerenveen.
    psv-eindhoven-2sc-heerenveen-2in last 16 home games against Heerenveen (Eredivisie).
    psv-eindhoven-2sc-heerenveen-2in 15 of last 16 games against Heerenveen.
    psv-eindhoven-2sc-heerenveen-2in 14 of last 15 games against Heerenveen (Eredivisie).
    psv-eindhoven-2in 18 of last 19 games (Eredivisie).
    psv-eindhoven-2in 13 of last 14 home games (Eredivisie).
    PSV will not lose
    Everygame
    -1667
    PSV have scored
    psv-eindhoven-2sc-heerenveen-2in last 19 home games against Heerenveen.
    psv-eindhoven-2sc-heerenveen-2in last 18 home games against Heerenveen (Eredivisie).
    psv-eindhoven-2sc-heerenveen-2in 15 of last 16 games against Heerenveen.
    psv-eindhoven-2sc-heerenveen-2in 14 of last 15 games against Heerenveen (Eredivisie).
    psv-eindhoven-2in 29 of last 30 games (Eredivisie).
    psv-eindhoven-2in last 14 home games.
    psv-eindhoven-2in 13 of last 14 home games (Eredivisie).
    Heerenveen have conceded
    sc-heerenveen-2in 22 of last 24 games (Eredivisie).
    sc-heerenveen-2in 20 of last 22 away games (Eredivisie).
    sc-heerenveen-2in last 8 games.
    PSV will score goal
    -3333
    PSV have scored under 3.5 goals
    psv-eindhoven-2sc-heerenveen-2in 15 of last 16 games against Heerenveen (Eredivisie).
    psv-eindhoven-2sc-heerenveen-2in last 8 home games against Heerenveen (Eredivisie).
    psv-eindhoven-2in 7 of last 8 games.
    psv-eindhoven-2in last 5 games (Eredivisie).
    PSV Total goals Under (3.5)
    Everygame
    -250
    View more facts

    PSV - Heerenveen Table position

    Eredivisie 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    PSV
    PSV
    342734101-4584
    2.
    Feyenoord Rotterdam
    Feyenoord Rotterdam
    34198770-4465
    3.
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    341611777-5359
    7.
    AZ Alkmaar
    AZ Alkmaar
    3414101058-5152
    8.
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    341491157-5351
    9.
    Groningen
    Groningen
    341461449-4548

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 30
    Conceded - 18
    +12
    +4
    17 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    5
    1
    Draws
    2
    3
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    30
    Scored
    17
    18
    Conceded
    13
    4.8
    Match goals average
    3
    3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.7
    1.8
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    9
    Both teams scored
    5
    30'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    53'
    View all stats